IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rutgers
Big Ten
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.1	#66
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.5	#182
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.0	#88

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.2	#44

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.9%	1.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	3.8%	3.9%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	8.8%	9.0%	1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	28.0%	28.5%	9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	27.1%	27.6%	9.2%
Average Seed	7.8	7.7	8.9

.500 or above	56.5%	57.6%	23.5%
.500 or above in Conference	30.1%	30.7%	12.6%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.0%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	12.6%	12.1%	26.6%

First Four	3.4%	3.5%	2.0%
First Round	26.2%	26.8%	8.2%
Second Round	14.4%	14.8%	3.6%
Sweet Sixteen	5.3%	5.4%	1.3%
Elite Eight	2.0%	2.0%	0.7%
Final Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 0	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2019	314	Bryant	W	82-62	97%
Nov 10, 2019	315	Niagara	W	85-65	97%
Nov 13, 2019	254	Drexel	W	82-66	93%
Nov 16, 2019	115	St. Bonaventure	W	67-62	66%
Nov 20, 2019	290	Stephen F. Austin	W	79-61	95%
Nov 26, 2019	175	NJIT	W	75-63	85%
Nov 29, 2019	237	Massachusetts	W	78-63	91%
Dec 03, 2019	72	@ Pittsburgh	L	68-70	43%
Dec 08, 2019	1	@ Michigan St.	L	64-81	7%
Dec 11, 2019	33	Wisconsin	L	63-64	47%
Dec 14, 2019	17	Seton Hall	L	70-73	41%
Dec 22, 2019	261	Lafayette	W	82-65	92%
Jan 03, 2020	88	@ Nebraska	L	69-70	47%
Jan 07, 2020	43	Penn St.	W	70-69	51%
Jan 11, 2020	42	@ Illinois	L	72-78	31%
Jan 15, 2020	47	Indiana	W	69-68	53%
Jan 19, 2020	70	Minnesota	W	73-69	62%
Jan 22, 2020	39	@ Iowa	L	74-80	31%
Jan 25, 2020	88	Nebraska	W	72-67	67%
Jan 28, 2020	12	Purdue	L	68-73	33%
Feb 01, 2020	21	Michigan	L	63-68	35%
Feb 04, 2020	9	@ Maryland	L	63-75	17%
Feb 09, 2020	99	Northwestern	W	69-62	71%
Feb 12, 2020	14	@ Ohio St.	L	62-72	21%
Feb 15, 2020	42	Illinois	W	76-75	51%
Feb 19, 2020	21	Michigan	L	65-67	45%
Feb 23, 2020	33	@ Wisconsin	L	60-67	29%
Feb 26, 2020	43	@ Penn St.	L	67-73	32%
Mar 03, 2020	9	Maryland	L	66-72	32%
Mar 07, 2020	12	@ Purdue	L	65-76	18%
Projected Record						16 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd													0.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	1.2	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0					3.3	3rd
4th											0.1	0.6	1.5	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0						4.5	4th
5th										0.0	0.6	2.2	2.1	0.8	0.1								5.9	5th
6th									0.0	0.5	2.5	2.7	1.0	0.1									6.8	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.5	3.3	1.3	0.2										7.6	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	2.4	3.8	2.0	0.2	0.0										8.7	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.4	2.6	0.3	0.0											9.6	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	2.0	4.5	3.1	0.5	0.0												10.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.8	4.6	3.4	0.8	0.0													10.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.4	2.0	4.4	3.2	1.0	0.1														11.0	12th
13th		0.1	0.7	2.5	3.8	2.7	0.9	0.1															10.7	13th
14th	0.3	1.2	2.1	2.2	1.3	0.4	0.0																7.5	14th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.8	5.1	7.3	9.7	10.9	11.4	11.1	10.1	8.7	7.0	5.2	3.9	2.5	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	98.5%	0.0		0.0
18-2	86.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-3	56.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
16-4	42.0%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
15-5	15.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	4.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0								0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	7.5%	92.5%	1.7		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	20.7%	79.3%	1.5		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	14.0%	86.0%	2.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.8%		100.0%	16.0%	84.0%	3.0		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	1.4%		100.0%	10.2%	89.7%	4.0		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		100.0%
14-6	2.5%		99.4%	8.1%	91.3%	5.1		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.3%
13-7	3.9%		98.3%	5.3%	93.0%	6.6		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		98.2%
12-8	5.2%		92.2%	2.4%	89.8%	7.6			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.0	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		92.0%
11-9	7.0%		80.6%	1.6%	78.9%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.1	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0				1.4		80.2%
10-10	8.7%		56.9%	1.1%	55.8%	9.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.0	1.4	0.5	0.0				3.7		56.4%
9-11	10.1%		24.1%	0.6%	23.6%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0				7.7		23.7%
8-12	11.1%		7.7%	0.3%	7.5%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0				10.3		7.5%
7-13	11.4%		1.3%	0.1%	1.1%	10.1								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				11.2		1.1%
6-14	10.9%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	11.8												0.0	0.0					10.9		0.1%
5-15	9.7%		0.1%	0.1%		12.9												0.0		0.0				9.6
4-16	7.3%		0.2%	0.2%		13.5													0.0			0.0		7.3
3-17	5.1%																							5.1
2-18	2.8%																							2.8
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		28.0%	1.2%	26.7%	7.8		0.2	0.7	1.2	1.6	2.1	2.9	3.2	3.9	3.5	3.5	3.7	1.3	0.1		0.0		72.0		27.1%