IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.9	#59
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.4	#274
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.8	#95

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.0	#33

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.5%	1.2%	0.2%
Top 2 Seed	1.6%	3.6%	0.6%
Top 4 Seed	5.7%	11.4%	2.9%
Top 6 Seed	12.4%	22.8%	7.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	36.3%	54.2%	27.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	35.4%	52.9%	27.0%
Average Seed	7.6	7.1	8.1

.500 or above	64.9%	82.0%	56.6%
.500 or above in Conference	44.8%	65.3%	34.8%
Conference Champion	1.5%	3.6%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.9%	2.0%	9.3%

First Four	4.6%	5.2%	4.3%
First Round	34.1%	51.5%	25.6%
Second Round	18.9%	29.8%	13.6%
Sweet Sixteen	7.3%	12.2%	4.9%
Elite Eight	2.9%	5.0%	1.8%
Final Four	1.0%	2.0%	0.6%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.8%	0.2%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

Next Game: Virginia (Home) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 3	8 - 13
Quad 3	5 - 1	13 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	10	Virginia	L	56-61	33%
Nov 13, 2019	127	Colgate	W	74-65	81%
Nov 16, 2019	168	Seattle	W	73-61	87%
Nov 20, 2019	282	Cornell	W	78-59	95%
Nov 23, 2019	159	Bucknell	W	77-65	85%
Nov 27, 2019	49	Oklahoma St.	L	67-68	47%
Dec 03, 2019	39	Iowa	W	75-74	53%
Dec 07, 2019	75	@ Georgia Tech	L	66-67	45%
Dec 14, 2019	54	@ Georgetown	L	73-77	37%
Dec 18, 2019	201	Oakland	W	77-63	89%
Dec 21, 2019	155	North Florida	W	81-69	84%
Dec 28, 2019	315	Niagara	W	84-63	96%
Jan 04, 2020	41	Notre Dame	W	67-66	53%
Jan 07, 2020	85	Virginia Tech	W	67-61	69%
Jan 11, 2020	10	@ Virginia	L	53-64	19%
Jan 15, 2020	101	Boston College	W	72-64	73%
Jan 18, 2020	85	@ Virginia Tech	L	63-64	49%
Jan 22, 2020	41	@ Notre Dame	L	64-69	33%
Jan 25, 2020	72	Pittsburgh	W	70-65	65%
Jan 28, 2020	81	@ Clemson	L	63-64	48%
Feb 01, 2020	3	Duke	L	70-78	26%
Feb 08, 2020	91	Wake Forest	W	72-65	71%
Feb 11, 2020	22	North Carolina St.	L	74-75	48%
Feb 15, 2020	18	@ Florida St.	L	65-72	26%
Feb 19, 2020	6	@ Louisville	L	62-75	14%
Feb 22, 2020	75	Georgia Tech	W	69-64	65%
Feb 26, 2020	72	@ Pittsburgh	L	67-68	46%
Feb 29, 2020	5	North Carolina	L	74-81	29%
Mar 03, 2020	101	@ Boston College	W	69-67	55%
Mar 07, 2020	63	@ Miami (FL)	L	67-70	41%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.4	0.0				3.0	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	1.0	1.6	1.4	0.5	0.0	0.0				4.7	3rd
4th											0.0	0.3	1.3	2.7	1.8	0.5	0.0						6.5	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	1.8	2.9	2.2	0.5	0.0							7.6	5th
6th									0.0	0.2	1.7	3.5	2.4	0.6	0.0	0.0							8.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	1.8	3.8	3.1	0.8	0.0									9.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	3.4	0.8	0.0	0.0									9.6	8th
9th							0.0	0.9	3.6	3.1	1.0	0.1											8.7	9th
10th						0.0	0.6	3.2	3.8	1.4	0.1	0.0											9.1	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	2.4	4.0	1.5	0.2	0.0												8.5	11th
12th				0.0	0.3	1.9	3.4	1.6	0.2	0.0													7.4	12th
13th			0.0	0.3	1.3	2.7	1.6	0.4															6.2	13th
14th		0.0	0.3	1.3	2.1	1.3	0.2	0.0															5.2	14th
15th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0																3.9	15th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.9	4.4	6.3	8.2	10.2	10.5	10.7	10.3	9.6	7.6	6.6	4.4	3.1	1.8	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	89.4%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
17-3	55.4%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
16-4	20.5%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	5.3%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	0.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0		0.0
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	49.1%	50.9%	1.4		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.4%		100.0%	19.8%	80.2%	1.8		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
17-3	0.9%		100.0%	14.7%	85.3%	2.5		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	1.8%		99.6%	10.4%	89.2%	3.6		0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.6%
15-5	3.1%		99.5%	6.8%	92.7%	4.7		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		99.4%
14-6	4.4%		98.1%	5.0%	93.1%	6.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		98.0%
13-7	6.6%		94.5%	3.5%	91.0%	7.2			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.4	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0				0.4		94.3%
12-8	7.6%		83.7%	1.8%	82.0%	8.3				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0				1.2		83.4%
11-9	9.6%		65.5%	1.2%	64.3%	9.4				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.3	1.3	1.4	0.5	0.0				3.3		65.0%
10-10	10.3%		42.0%	0.5%	41.5%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.4	0.6	0.0				6.0		41.7%
9-11	10.7%		18.7%	0.4%	18.2%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.0				8.7		18.3%
8-12	10.5%		4.3%	0.2%	4.2%	10.6								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				10.0		4.2%
7-13	10.2%		0.6%	0.1%	0.5%	10.1										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					10.1		0.5%
6-14	8.2%		0.0%		0.0%	12.0													0.0					8.2		0.0%
5-15	6.3%																							6.3
4-16	4.4%																							4.4
3-17	2.9%																							2.9
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		36.3%	1.5%	34.8%	7.6		0.5	1.1	1.8	2.3	3.2	3.6	4.1	4.2	4.7	4.5	4.7	1.6	0.1				63.7		35.4%