Preseason Rankings
Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#239
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#178
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 14.1% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 50.1% 67.9% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 67.0% 77.0% 61.4%
Conference Champion 12.2% 17.3% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.4% 6.0%
First Four2.6% 2.3% 2.8%
First Round9.1% 13.0% 6.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 414 - 716 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 227   @ Lehigh L 74-78 36%    
  Nov 09, 2019 148   @ Hofstra L 69-77 22%    
  Nov 13, 2019 50   @ Kansas St. L 54-71 6%    
  Nov 15, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 60-87 1%    
  Nov 18, 2019 72   @ Pittsburgh L 61-76 10%    
  Nov 22, 2019 320   Kennesaw St. W 73-67 70%    
  Nov 23, 2019 336   Stetson W 76-68 75%    
  Nov 26, 2019 134   Radford L 65-68 39%    
  Nov 27, 2019 318   Norfolk St. W 74-65 78%    
  Dec 10, 2019 143   @ Princeton L 64-72 23%    
  Dec 21, 2019 178   Albany L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 03, 2020 251   @ Siena L 61-63 43%    
  Jan 05, 2020 161   Iona L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 10, 2020 295   Canisius W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 12, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 16, 2020 328   Marist W 70-61 78%    
  Jan 18, 2020 259   @ Manhattan L 60-62 44%    
  Jan 24, 2020 315   Niagara W 79-71 75%    
  Jan 26, 2020 161   @ Iona L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 29, 2020 307   @ St. Peter's W 63-62 53%    
  Feb 02, 2020 180   Rider W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 04, 2020 288   @ Fairfield L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 09, 2020 307   St. Peter's W 66-59 72%    
  Feb 14, 2020 295   @ Canisius W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 16, 2020 315   @ Niagara W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 21, 2020 328   @ Marist W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 23, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 28, 2020 180   @ Rider L 74-80 31%    
  Mar 01, 2020 259   Manhattan W 63-59 63%    
  Mar 04, 2020 288   Fairfield W 72-66 68%    
  Mar 06, 2020 251   Siena W 64-60 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.4 3.1 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 12.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.9 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.6 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.5 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.4 4.0 1.4 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.8 1.1 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.7 4.1 6.0 7.7 9.0 9.8 10.8 10.4 9.8 8.4 6.8 5.0 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 96.7% 1.6    1.5 0.2 0.0
17-3 86.9% 2.9    2.3 0.6 0.0
16-4 62.0% 3.1    2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.8% 2.4    1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 11.7% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 8.1 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 54.1% 54.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 44.0% 44.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
18-2 1.7% 39.9% 39.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
17-3 3.4% 33.1% 33.1% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.2
16-4 5.0% 30.6% 30.5% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 3.5 0.2%
15-5 6.8% 23.9% 23.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 5.2
14-6 8.4% 18.8% 18.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 6.8
13-7 9.8% 13.4% 13.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.5
12-8 10.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 9.6
11-9 10.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.2
10-10 9.8% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.4
9-11 9.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
8-12 7.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.6
7-13 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.9
6-14 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.2 4.6 89.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%