Preseason Rankings
Seattle
Western Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#168
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.6#181
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#216
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 12.1% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.9 13.5 14.4
.500 or above 65.2% 81.1% 56.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 80.6% 67.6%
Conference Champion 9.5% 13.8% 6.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.7% 1.8%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round8.4% 11.8% 6.4%
Second Round1.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 412 - 316 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 157   @ Washington St. L 74-77 37%    
  Nov 09, 2019 192   Eastern Washington W 74-69 67%    
  Nov 16, 2019 59   @ Syracuse L 61-73 13%    
  Nov 19, 2019 51   @ Mississippi L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 25, 2019 159   Bucknell L 73-74 48%    
  Nov 30, 2019 338   Idaho W 75-60 91%    
  Dec 03, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 77-61 92%    
  Dec 07, 2019 285   Portland W 74-64 80%    
  Dec 17, 2019 44   @ Washington L 61-75 12%    
  Dec 21, 2019 341   Florida A&M W 72-56 92%    
  Dec 23, 2019 289   Long Beach St. W 80-70 80%    
  Dec 28, 2019 19   @ St. Mary's L 57-74 8%    
  Jan 02, 2020 234   @ UMKC W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 04, 2020 351   @ Chicago St. W 81-67 88%    
  Jan 11, 2020 236   Utah Valley W 74-67 72%    
  Jan 16, 2020 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-68 71%    
  Jan 18, 2020 55   New Mexico St. L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 23, 2020 137   @ Grand Canyon L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 25, 2020 197   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 228   California Baptist W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 08, 2020 236   @ Utah Valley W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 13, 2020 55   @ New Mexico St. L 63-76 14%    
  Feb 15, 2020 230   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 20, 2020 137   Grand Canyon W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 22, 2020 197   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-64 65%    
  Feb 29, 2020 228   @ California Baptist W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 05, 2020 351   Chicago St. W 84-64 95%    
  Mar 07, 2020 234   UMKC W 73-66 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.0 2.7 1.4 0.3 9.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 6.0 7.0 3.5 0.8 20.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.4 4.9 1.4 0.1 18.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.5 7.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.6 4.4 1.3 0.1 10.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 4.9 7.6 10.1 12.1 13.4 13.4 11.7 10.0 6.6 3.6 1.4 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.4    1.2 0.1
14-2 76.7% 2.7    1.8 0.9 0.0
13-3 45.1% 3.0    1.4 1.3 0.2
12-4 16.5% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-5 3.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.3 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 63.9% 57.9% 6.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.4%
15-1 1.4% 40.8% 37.3% 3.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 5.7%
14-2 3.6% 32.3% 31.3% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.4 1.4%
13-3 6.6% 23.2% 22.5% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 5.0 1.0%
12-4 10.0% 17.2% 17.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 8.3 0.1%
11-5 11.7% 11.9% 11.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 10.3
10-6 13.4% 6.6% 6.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 12.5
9-7 13.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.7
8-8 12.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.7
7-9 10.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.0
6-10 7.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.5
5-11 4.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
4-12 3.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-13 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.8% 8.6% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.4 2.1 1.1 91.2 0.2%