Preseason Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#159
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.9#52
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#179
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#155
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 20.8% 13.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.4
.500 or above 67.1% 76.1% 50.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.9% 83.7% 70.1%
Conference Champion 23.5% 27.1% 16.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.8% 4.3%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.3%
First Round17.6% 20.4% 12.5%
Second Round2.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 64.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 412 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 288   @ Fairfield W 75-71 65%    
  Nov 10, 2019 84   Vermont L 69-72 39%    
  Nov 13, 2019 148   Hofstra W 79-77 58%    
  Nov 16, 2019 295   @ Canisius W 77-72 67%    
  Nov 19, 2019 43   @ Penn St. L 67-81 11%    
  Nov 23, 2019 59   @ Syracuse L 65-77 15%    
  Nov 25, 2019 168   Seattle W 74-73 52%    
  Nov 30, 2019 143   Princeton W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 03, 2019 180   @ Rider L 82-83 45%    
  Dec 07, 2019 178   Albany W 76-71 65%    
  Dec 21, 2019 251   @ Siena W 67-65 58%    
  Dec 28, 2019 189   @ La Salle L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 02, 2020 244   Army W 79-71 74%    
  Jan 05, 2020 261   @ Lafayette W 80-77 58%    
  Jan 08, 2020 267   Navy W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 11, 2020 312   Holy Cross W 75-63 85%    
  Jan 15, 2020 184   @ American L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 18, 2020 227   Lehigh W 85-78 72%    
  Jan 20, 2020 127   @ Colgate L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 25, 2020 209   Loyola Maryland W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 29, 2020 244   @ Army W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 01, 2020 200   Boston University W 78-72 68%    
  Feb 03, 2020 261   Lafayette W 83-74 76%    
  Feb 08, 2020 209   @ Loyola Maryland W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 12, 2020 267   @ Navy W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 15, 2020 184   American W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 17, 2020 312   @ Holy Cross W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 23, 2020 227   @ Lehigh W 82-81 53%    
  Feb 26, 2020 127   Colgate W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 29, 2020 200   @ Boston University L 74-75 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 5.2 6.1 5.0 2.4 0.7 23.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.0 5.9 4.1 1.4 0.2 18.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 4.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.9 1.0 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.4 3.7 5.4 7.2 9.0 10.2 11.5 11.8 11.0 9.6 7.4 5.1 2.4 0.7 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 2.4    2.4 0.1
16-2 96.2% 5.0    4.5 0.5 0.0
15-3 81.3% 6.1    4.5 1.5 0.1
14-4 53.5% 5.2    2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 27.8% 3.1    1.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.5% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.5% 23.5 15.9 6.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 73.3% 64.3% 9.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 25.1%
17-1 2.4% 55.4% 51.7% 3.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 7.7%
16-2 5.1% 50.5% 49.9% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 1.1%
15-3 7.4% 38.1% 37.8% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.6 0.5%
14-4 9.6% 30.1% 30.0% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 6.7 0.1%
13-5 11.0% 24.4% 24.4% 14.2 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.2 8.4
12-6 11.8% 16.9% 16.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 9.8
11-7 11.5% 12.0% 12.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 10.2
10-8 10.2% 8.0% 8.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 9.4
9-9 9.0% 6.5% 6.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.4
8-10 7.2% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.9
7-11 5.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.3
6-12 3.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.7
5-13 2.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.4
4-14 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.1% 17.9% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.1 4.9 3.9 2.3 81.9 0.3%