IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#285
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.4	#216
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.9	#285

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#258

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.1	12.0	13.4

.500 or above	10.2%	34.3%	9.2%
.500 or above in Conference	5.8%	16.3%	5.4%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	49.7%	31.9%	50.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 4	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	64	@ USC	L	65-83	4%
Nov 10, 2019	330	@ San Jose St.	W	73-72	54%
Nov 16, 2019	333	Maine	W	69-62	75%
Nov 20, 2019	270	@ Portland St.	L	72-76	37%
Nov 23, 2019	266	UC Davis	W	67-65	56%
Dec 01, 2019	344	Incarnate Word	W	74-64	81%
Dec 04, 2019	208	Cal St. Northridge	L	76-77	46%
Dec 07, 2019	168	@ Seattle	L	64-74	20%
Dec 16, 2019	341	Florida A&M	W	69-60	79%
Dec 19, 2019	303	Jackson St.	W	67-63	65%
Dec 22, 2019	32	Houston	L	58-77	5%
Jan 02, 2020	8	Gonzaga	L	65-86	4%
Jan 04, 2020	111	San Francisco	L	66-74	26%
Jan 11, 2020	67	@ BYU	L	68-86	7%
Jan 16, 2020	247	Pacific	W	67-66	52%
Jan 18, 2020	164	San Diego	L	66-70	38%
Jan 23, 2020	149	@ Loyola Marymount	L	59-70	19%
Jan 25, 2020	117	@ Pepperdine	L	69-82	14%
Jan 30, 2020	19	@ St. Mary's	L	55-78	3%
Feb 01, 2020	128	Santa Clara	L	66-72	32%
Feb 06, 2020	67	BYU	L	71-83	17%
Feb 08, 2020	164	@ San Diego	L	63-73	21%
Feb 13, 2020	247	@ Pacific	L	64-69	33%
Feb 20, 2020	117	Pepperdine	L	72-79	27%
Feb 22, 2020	149	Loyola Marymount	L	62-67	34%
Feb 27, 2020	111	@ San Francisco	L	63-77	13%
Feb 29, 2020	128	@ Santa Clara	L	63-75	16%
Projected Record						9 - 18	4 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.0	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.0							2.1	4th
5th						0.0	0.4	1.7	1.4	0.5	0.0	0.0							4.0	5th
6th					0.0	0.6	3.0	2.6	0.6	0.0									6.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.9	4.2	3.7	0.9	0.0										9.8	7th
8th			0.1	2.1	6.6	5.3	1.1	0.0											15.3	8th
9th		0.7	5.2	9.9	6.3	1.3	0.1												23.5	9th
10th	6.7	13.1	11.5	4.9	0.9	0.0													37.2	10th

Total	6.7	13.8	16.8	16.9	14.8	11.4	8.4	5.4	2.8	1.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	65.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0
13-3	69.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-4	1.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
11-5	2.2%	0.0		0.0		0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%																							0.0
14-2	0.0%		31.8%		31.8%	11.0												0.0						0.0		31.8%
13-3	0.1%		22.5%	11.7%	10.8%	11.5												0.0	0.0					0.0		12.3%
12-4	0.2%		9.5%	9.5%		11.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
11-5	0.4%		6.3%	6.3%		13.8												0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.3
10-6	0.8%		2.0%	2.0%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.8
9-7	1.6%		0.3%	0.3%		13.8														0.0	0.0	0.0		1.6
8-8	2.8%		0.3%	0.3%		14.1													0.0		0.0		0.0	2.8
7-9	5.4%		0.1%	0.1%		14.9															0.0	0.0		5.3
6-10	8.4%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		8.4
5-11	11.4%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		11.4
4-12	14.8%																							14.8
3-13	16.9%																							16.9
2-14	16.8%																							16.8
1-15	13.8%																							13.8
0-16	6.7%																							6.7

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%