Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#181
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#220
Pace72.8#101
Improvement-0.5#247

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#237
First Shot-3.8#273
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#93
Layup/Dunks+0.2#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#288
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-0.8#290

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#143
First Shot-1.7#217
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#50
Layups/Dunks-1.3#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#311
Freethrows+1.1#129
Improvement+0.2#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.3% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 38.2% 46.0% 23.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 53.4% 41.1%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.8% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 6.1% 10.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round4.4% 5.2% 2.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 66.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 75 - 13
Quad 49 - 314 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 31   @ Michigan L 71-79 7%     0 - 1 +7.3 -0.3 +8.3
  Nov 12, 2019 238   East Carolina W 68-62 72%     1 - 1 -1.2 -7.3 +6.2
  Nov 15, 2019 203   Montana St. L 56-59 54%     1 - 2 -5.4 -18.1 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2019 306   Tennessee Tech W 69-47 77%     2 - 2 +12.9 +6.5 +9.8
  Nov 18, 2019 90   @ UNC Greensboro L 41-55 18%     2 - 3 -5.4 -21.4 +15.1
  Nov 21, 2019 212   Charlotte W 67-63 66%    
  Nov 26, 2019 71   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-76 14%    
  Dec 14, 2019 347   @ Howard W 82-71 85%    
  Dec 19, 2019 161   @ South Alabama L 70-74 35%    
  Dec 21, 2019 295   @ Troy W 73-70 62%    
  Dec 29, 2019 39   @ North Carolina St. L 69-85 8%    
  Jan 02, 2020 146   Georgia St. W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 04, 2020 110   Georgia Southern L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 06, 2020 224   Louisiana W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 09, 2020 109   @ Texas Arlington L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 11, 2020 119   @ Texas St. L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 16, 2020 234   Arkansas St. W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 18, 2020 156   Arkansas Little Rock W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 25, 2020 166   @ Coastal Carolina L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 30, 2020 234   @ Arkansas St. L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 01, 2020 156   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 06, 2020 109   Texas Arlington L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 119   Texas St. L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 13, 2020 146   @ Georgia St. L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 15, 2020 110   @ Georgia Southern L 74-82 25%    
  Feb 20, 2020 161   South Alabama W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 22, 2020 295   Troy W 76-67 79%    
  Feb 29, 2020 166   Coastal Carolina W 76-74 57%    
  Mar 03, 2020 235   @ Louisiana Monroe L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.2 3.3 0.8 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.4 2.0 0.6 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.1 7.5 9.7 11.0 11.9 11.8 10.7 9.1 7.0 4.8 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 92.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 74.3% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 45.5% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 19.4% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 48.3% 46.7% 1.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1%
18-2 0.3% 35.0% 35.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 33.7% 33.7% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.6% 30.3% 30.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 3.1% 22.7% 22.7% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
14-6 4.8% 15.4% 15.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.0
13-7 7.0% 10.7% 10.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.3
12-8 9.1% 6.5% 6.5% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.5
11-9 10.7% 3.5% 3.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.4
10-10 11.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6
9-11 11.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.8
8-12 11.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 10.9
7-13 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-14 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-15 5.1% 5.1
4-16 3.2% 3.2
3-17 1.5% 1.5
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.2 95.6 0.0%