Charlotte
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#214
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#106
Pace62.9#330
Improvement+1.4#30

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#277
First Shot-0.3#177
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#311
Layup/Dunks+3.2#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#194
Freethrows-1.4#251
Improvement-0.1#205

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#151
First Shot-1.7#215
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#56
Layups/Dunks-4.3#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#323
Freethrows+6.7#3
Improvement+1.5#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.2% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 48.9% 65.6% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.8% 44.8% 32.8%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.8% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 15.9% 10.8% 18.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round2.1% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 76 - 10
Quad 47 - 413 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 238   @ James Madison L 74-79 44%     0 - 1 -6.2 -6.6 +0.8
  Nov 12, 2019 70   Davidson W 71-58 23%     1 - 1 +17.8 +6.4 +12.6
  Nov 17, 2019 106   Wake Forest W 67-65 OT 36%     2 - 1 +2.7 -8.3 +10.8
  Nov 21, 2019 184   @ Appalachian St. L 62-67 33%    
  Nov 27, 2019 149   @ Georgia St. L 65-72 27%    
  Nov 30, 2019 343   South Carolina Upstate W 73-59 90%    
  Dec 03, 2019 281   UNC Asheville W 70-64 72%    
  Dec 07, 2019 284   @ UNC Wilmington W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 16, 2019 174   Valparaiso W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 19, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 58-41 94%    
  Dec 22, 2019 240   @ East Carolina L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 02, 2020 186   UAB W 64-62 55%    
  Jan 04, 2020 200   Middle Tennessee W 68-66 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 114   Old Dominion L 57-60 40%    
  Jan 16, 2020 225   @ Marshall L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 18, 2020 78   @ Western Kentucky L 60-73 14%    
  Jan 20, 2020 114   @ Old Dominion L 54-63 22%    
  Jan 23, 2020 175   Florida Atlantic W 64-63 53%    
  Jan 25, 2020 165   Florida International W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 30, 2020 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-69 17%    
  Feb 01, 2020 233   @ Southern Miss L 61-63 42%    
  Feb 06, 2020 136   UTEP L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 219   Texas San Antonio W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 13, 2020 156   @ North Texas L 54-60 31%    
  Feb 15, 2020 210   @ Rice L 69-72 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.6 0.2 4.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.5 4.7 2.2 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.8 4.8 0.5 8.2 7th
8th 0.9 5.8 1.9 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 4.7 0.3 8.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.6 1.5 8.8 10th
11th 0.8 4.5 3.6 0.1 9.0 11th
12th 0.3 2.9 5.0 0.9 9.1 12th
13th 0.3 2.5 4.5 1.8 0.1 9.2 13th
14th 0.6 2.4 3.7 1.7 0.1 8.5 14th
Total 0.6 2.7 6.5 9.9 13.3 14.8 15.4 13.5 9.8 6.8 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 74.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
11-3 44.6% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-4 11.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 24.7% 24.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.6% 24.3% 24.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
11-3 1.9% 18.0% 18.0% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
10-4 4.1% 10.8% 10.8% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
9-5 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.3
8-6 9.8% 4.1% 4.1% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.4
7-7 13.5% 1.2% 1.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3
6-8 15.4% 0.8% 0.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
5-9 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 14.7
4-10 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 13.3
3-11 9.9% 9.9
2-12 6.5% 6.5
1-13 2.7% 2.7
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 97.9 0.0%