Michigan
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#31
Expected Predictive Rating+15.5#21
Pace63.2#326
Improvement+0.7#91

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#45
First Shot+6.9#29
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#235
Layup/Dunks+1.4#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#89
Freethrows+0.1#165
Improvement+0.3#120

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#33
First Shot+6.2#34
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#159
Layups/Dunks+0.4#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#8
Freethrows+2.3#68
Improvement+0.4#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 5.6% 5.6% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 17.9% 18.2% 4.1%
Top 6 Seed 33.1% 33.5% 10.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.2% 62.7% 29.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.4% 61.0% 27.6%
Average Seed 6.4 6.4 7.4
.500 or above 83.2% 83.7% 50.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.1% 65.5% 39.5%
Conference Champion 4.5% 4.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.4% 7.4%
First Four4.4% 4.4% 2.2%
First Round60.2% 60.7% 27.5%
Second Round39.5% 39.9% 15.6%
Sweet Sixteen18.4% 18.6% 6.1%
Elite Eight8.4% 8.5% 2.2%
Final Four3.7% 3.8% 1.0%
Championship Game1.6% 1.6% 0.5%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.3%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Home) - 98.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 12
Quad 33 - 114 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 185   Appalachian St. W 79-71 93%     1 - 0 +3.5 -1.9 +4.7
  Nov 12, 2019 44   Creighton W 79-69 67%     2 - 0 +17.8 +13.3 +5.3
  Nov 15, 2019 305   Elon W 70-50 98%     3 - 0 +7.9 -1.8 +11.5
  Nov 22, 2019 296   Houston Baptist W 90-67 98%    
  Nov 27, 2019 38   Iowa St. W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 03, 2019 4   @ Louisville L 62-72 17%    
  Dec 06, 2019 64   Iowa W 76-69 73%    
  Dec 11, 2019 49   @ Illinois L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 14, 2019 13   Oregon L 64-65 47%    
  Dec 21, 2019 318   Presbyterian W 78-53 99%    
  Dec 29, 2019 276   Umass Lowell W 83-62 97%    
  Jan 05, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 62-74 15%    
  Jan 09, 2020 16   Purdue W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 12, 2020 73   @ Minnesota W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 17, 2020 64   @ Iowa W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 22, 2020 22   Penn St. W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 25, 2020 49   Illinois W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 28, 2020 137   @ Nebraska W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 01, 2020 91   Rutgers W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 04, 2020 6   Ohio St. L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 08, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 12, 2020 136   @ Northwestern W 66-59 74%    
  Feb 16, 2020 35   Indiana W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 19, 2020 91   @ Rutgers W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 22, 2020 16   @ Purdue L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 27, 2020 29   Wisconsin W 62-59 59%    
  Mar 01, 2020 6   @ Ohio St. L 59-67 25%    
  Mar 05, 2020 137   Nebraska W 72-59 87%    
  Mar 08, 2020 7   @ Maryland L 63-71 25%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 1.8 0.5 0.1 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 3.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.4 6.4 8.6 10.4 11.8 11.9 11.3 9.9 7.9 5.7 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 91.4% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
17-3 71.3% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1
16-4 38.3% 1.4    0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 11.3% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 41.7% 58.3% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 41.5% 58.5% 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 28.5% 71.5% 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.9% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 2.0 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.6% 100.0% 18.6% 81.4% 2.7 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.7% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 3.6 0.3 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 7.9% 99.9% 8.3% 91.6% 4.6 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 9.9% 99.1% 5.6% 93.5% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.3 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.0%
12-8 11.3% 94.8% 4.5% 90.3% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.6 94.5%
11-9 11.9% 85.0% 2.4% 82.6% 8.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.6 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 1.8 84.7%
10-10 11.8% 61.9% 1.3% 60.6% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.5 61.4%
9-11 10.4% 29.8% 0.9% 28.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.3 29.2%
8-12 8.6% 10.2% 0.6% 9.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 7.7 9.7%
7-13 6.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.9%
6-14 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 4.4 0.1%
5-15 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 10.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 62.2% 4.5% 57.7% 6.4 2.1 3.5 6.0 6.4 7.3 7.9 6.8 6.5 5.3 4.7 4.9 0.9 0.0 37.8 60.4%