California Baptist
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#201
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#190
Pace69.9#145
Improvement-3.1#296

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#116
First Shot+1.5#127
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#126
Layup/Dunks-2.0#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#39
Freethrows-0.6#224
Improvement-0.8#224

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#296
First Shot-4.4#311
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks-6.5#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#94
Freethrows-0.5#230
Improvement-2.3#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 32 - 5
Quad 415 - 517 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 287   Jackson St. W 93-70 78%     1 - 0 +12.7 +7.6 +2.4
  Nov 12, 2019 62   @ Texas L 54-67 11%     1 - 1 -1.7 -10.1 +8.3
  Nov 15, 2019 144   @ California L 62-82 27%     1 - 2 -15.5 -6.9 -8.9
  Nov 22, 2019 296   Central Arkansas W 104-98 OT 80%     2 - 2 -4.8 +4.6 -10.6
  Nov 23, 2019 131   Georgia St. L 60-69 44%     2 - 3 -9.6 -16.7 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2019 178   South Dakota L 83-84 56%     2 - 4 -4.6 +0.9 -5.4
  Dec 04, 2019 220   UC Riverside W 79-67 67%     3 - 4 +5.4 +9.0 -3.1
  Dec 07, 2019 116   @ UC Irvine W 68-60 20%     4 - 4 +14.8 +0.9 +14.2
  Dec 14, 2019 290   Bethune-Cookman W 87-68 79%     5 - 4 +8.6 +4.4 +2.9
  Dec 18, 2019 261   Southern W 78-61 75%     6 - 4 +8.1 +10.8 -0.7
  Dec 22, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 103-66 97%     7 - 4 +12.4 +2.9 +4.6
  Jan 02, 2020 244   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-67 71%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +1.3 -2.9 +4.0
  Jan 04, 2020 98   New Mexico St. L 71-86 34%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -12.9 +2.9 -16.7
  Jan 08, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 83-75 53%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +5.1 +10.3 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2020 250   @ Grand Canyon W 61-57 51%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +1.7 -20.1 +21.6
  Jan 22, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 85-53 98%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +5.9 +4.4 +3.7
  Jan 25, 2020 231   UMKC L 57-67 68%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -16.9 -10.4 -7.9
  Jan 29, 2020 255   @ Utah Valley W 65-61 52%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +1.6 -2.3 +4.2
  Feb 01, 2020 211   @ Seattle W 72-65 41%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +7.4 -1.6 +9.0
  Feb 06, 2020 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-69 75%     14 - 6 7 - 2 -3.9 +8.6 -11.8
  Feb 08, 2020 250   Grand Canyon L 98-103 73%     14 - 7 7 - 3 -13.3 +13.1 -26.2
  Feb 19, 2020 231   @ UMKC L 63-69 46%     14 - 8 7 - 4 -6.9 -0.5 -7.2
  Feb 22, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 95-53 94%     15 - 8 8 - 4 +21.9 +23.2 +3.9
  Feb 26, 2020 255   Utah Valley W 73-66 73%     16 - 8 9 - 4 -1.4 -6.9 +5.0
  Feb 29, 2020 211   Seattle W 88-87 OT 64%     17 - 8 10 - 4 -4.6 +9.0 -13.6
  Mar 05, 2020 98   @ New Mexico St. L 50-83 17%     17 - 9 10 - 5 -24.8 -14.4 -13.7
  Mar 07, 2020 244   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-79 OT 49%     17 - 10 10 - 6 -4.6 -7.0 +2.7
Projected Record 17 - 10 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%