Texas
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#24
Expected Predictive Rating+22.4#2
Pace65.0#298
Improvement-0.9#281

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#51
First Shot+6.1#40
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#206
Layup/Dunks+3.0#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#40
Freethrows-1.9#280
Improvement+0.0#170

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#15
First Shot+6.0#37
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#72
Layups/Dunks+2.8#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#46
Freethrows+1.0#133
Improvement-0.8#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.1% 1.4% 0.4%
#1 Seed 5.2% 6.3% 2.2%
Top 2 Seed 13.2% 15.7% 6.8%
Top 4 Seed 34.0% 38.8% 21.6%
Top 6 Seed 54.5% 60.0% 40.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 78.6% 82.9% 67.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 76.4% 80.9% 65.2%
Average Seed 5.2 5.0 5.9
.500 or above 91.0% 94.2% 82.7%
.500 or above in Conference 63.5% 67.2% 53.7%
Conference Champion 9.9% 11.3% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 5.5% 10.2%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 2.4%
First Round77.7% 82.1% 66.2%
Second Round55.1% 59.5% 43.8%
Sweet Sixteen28.4% 31.4% 20.5%
Elite Eight12.8% 14.4% 8.6%
Final Four5.7% 6.6% 3.4%
Championship Game2.5% 2.9% 1.5%
National Champion1.0% 1.2% 0.5%

Next Game: Georgetown (Neutral) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 9
Quad 25 - 212 - 11
Quad 33 - 015 - 11
Quad 46 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 181   Northern Colorado W 69-45 94%     1 - 0 +19.7 -2.9 +23.4
  Nov 09, 2019 16   @ Purdue W 70-66 36%     2 - 0 +21.0 +10.4 +10.9
  Nov 12, 2019 221   California Baptist W 67-54 95%     3 - 0 +6.7 -10.8 +17.5
  Nov 15, 2019 268   Prairie View W 70-56 97%     4 - 0 +5.4 -7.0 +11.9
  Nov 21, 2019 76   Georgetown W 77-71 72%    
  Nov 30, 2019 302   McNeese St. W 81-56 99%    
  Dec 03, 2019 186   UAB W 73-55 95%    
  Dec 08, 2019 107   Texas A&M W 69-59 82%    
  Dec 14, 2019 132   Central Michigan W 84-70 89%    
  Dec 21, 2019 33   @ Providence L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 30, 2019 329   High Point W 76-49 99%    
  Jan 04, 2020 19   @ Baylor L 69-72 37%    
  Jan 08, 2020 40   Oklahoma W 70-65 66%    
  Jan 11, 2020 58   Kansas St. W 63-56 74%    
  Jan 15, 2020 48   @ Oklahoma St. W 65-64 50%    
  Jan 18, 2020 3   Kansas L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 20, 2020 46   @ West Virginia L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 25, 2020 32   LSU W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 29, 2020 55   @ TCU W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 01, 2020 38   Iowa St. W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 03, 2020 3   @ Kansas L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 08, 2020 11   Texas Tech L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 10, 2020 19   Baylor W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 38   @ Iowa St. L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 19, 2020 55   TCU W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 22, 2020 58   @ Kansas St. W 60-59 54%    
  Feb 24, 2020 46   West Virginia W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 29, 2020 11   @ Texas Tech L 64-70 30%    
  Mar 03, 2020 40   @ Oklahoma L 67-68 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 48   Oklahoma St. W 68-62 71%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.9 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 9.9 1st
2nd 0.3 2.0 4.4 4.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.2 1.9 0.3 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.7 6.8 9.0 10.9 12.6 12.3 11.4 9.9 7.4 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.2% 1.4    1.3 0.1
15-3 82.3% 2.4    1.9 0.5 0.0
14-4 57.1% 2.9    1.8 1.0 0.2
13-5 26.7% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0
12-6 7.6% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 6.1 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 75.0% 25.0% 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 42.4% 57.6% 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.4% 100.0% 37.7% 62.3% 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.9% 100.0% 31.1% 68.9% 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.1% 100.0% 26.5% 73.5% 2.2 1.3 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.4% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 2.8 0.8 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 9.9% 100.0% 14.5% 85.5% 3.6 0.3 1.4 3.4 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 11.4% 99.8% 10.1% 89.7% 4.6 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.0 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-8 12.3% 99.6% 8.5% 91.0% 5.6 0.1 1.0 1.8 3.1 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.5%
9-9 12.6% 96.1% 5.4% 90.7% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.8 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 95.9%
8-10 10.9% 83.8% 3.0% 80.8% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.8 83.3%
7-11 9.0% 54.3% 1.8% 52.5% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.2 4.1 53.5%
6-12 6.8% 20.6% 1.4% 19.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.4 19.5%
5-13 4.7% 5.2% 0.5% 4.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 4.7%
4-14 2.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.2%
3-15 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.4%
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 78.6% 9.4% 69.2% 5.2 5.2 8.0 10.9 9.9 10.6 9.9 7.3 5.8 4.8 3.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 21.4 76.4%