Texas
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#54
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#44
Pace64.5#300
Improvement-0.7#213

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#88
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#104
Layup/Dunks+2.5#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#76
Freethrows-3.3#344
Improvement-0.3#196

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#36
First Shot+7.0#25
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#233
Layups/Dunks-0.1#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#15
Freethrows+2.2#48
Improvement-0.4#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 2.7% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.9% 11.9% 3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.2% 57.3% 29.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.2% 56.2% 28.6%
Average Seed 8.8 8.3 9.1
.500 or above 87.2% 96.4% 84.8%
.500 or above in Conference 27.5% 49.0% 22.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 2.7% 9.6%
First Four6.9% 8.1% 6.6%
First Round31.7% 53.1% 26.2%
Second Round15.2% 26.8% 12.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.8% 9.0% 3.8%
Elite Eight1.8% 3.3% 1.4%
Final Four0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Away) - 20.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 48 - 14
Quad 35 - 013 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 137   Northern Colorado W 69-45 83%     1 - 0 +23.0 -1.9 +25.6
  Nov 09, 2019 19   @ Purdue W 70-66 24%     2 - 0 +20.7 +14.2 +6.8
  Nov 12, 2019 183   California Baptist W 67-54 88%     3 - 0 +9.4 -9.3 +18.7
  Nov 15, 2019 210   Prairie View W 70-56 91%     4 - 0 +8.1 -5.7 +13.4
  Nov 21, 2019 48   Georgetown L 66-82 46%     4 - 1 -5.8 -2.4 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2019 177   California W 62-45 82%     5 - 1 +16.5 -0.7 +19.9
  Nov 30, 2019 275   McNeese St. W 73-71 95%     6 - 1 -7.2 -4.7 -2.4
  Dec 03, 2019 167   UAB W 67-57 87%     7 - 1 +7.2 +5.7 +3.1
  Dec 08, 2019 131   Texas A&M W 60-50 75%     8 - 1 +12.3 -0.8 +14.3
  Dec 14, 2019 187   Central Michigan W 87-76 89%     9 - 1 +7.1 -2.1 +7.7
  Dec 21, 2019 62   @ Providence L 48-70 43%     9 - 2 -11.0 -18.3 +7.4
  Dec 30, 2019 343   High Point W 89-58 98%     10 - 2 +14.1 +7.1 +6.9
  Jan 04, 2020 5   @ Baylor L 44-59 15%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +5.4 -11.2 +14.3
  Jan 08, 2020 49   Oklahoma L 62-72 58%     10 - 4 0 - 2 -2.8 -7.0 +4.1
  Jan 11, 2020 82   Kansas St. W 64-50 70%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +17.8 +1.2 +17.9
  Jan 15, 2020 65   @ Oklahoma St. W 76-64 45%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +22.6 +14.9 +8.3
  Jan 18, 2020 1   Kansas L 57-66 20%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +9.2 +1.9 +6.1
  Jan 20, 2020 11   @ West Virginia L 60-69 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 31   LSU W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 29, 2020 67   @ TCU L 62-63 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 56   Iowa St. W 70-67 63%    
  Feb 03, 2020 1   @ Kansas L 57-72 8%    
  Feb 08, 2020 18   Texas Tech L 61-63 44%    
  Feb 10, 2020 5   Baylor L 60-66 31%    
  Feb 15, 2020 56   @ Iowa St. L 68-70 40%    
  Feb 19, 2020 67   TCU W 64-60 66%    
  Feb 22, 2020 82   @ Kansas St. L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 24, 2020 11   West Virginia L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 29, 2020 18   @ Texas Tech L 58-66 24%    
  Mar 03, 2020 49   @ Oklahoma L 66-70 36%    
  Mar 07, 2020 65   Oklahoma St. W 65-61 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 7.3 7.3 1.9 0.2 18.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 7.8 8.2 2.0 0.1 19.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 6.9 7.7 1.9 0.1 17.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.0 7.1 1.8 0.1 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.3 1.3 0.1 9.5 9th
10th 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.4 10th
Total 0.3 1.7 5.3 10.8 16.9 19.1 18.4 13.8 8.1 3.8 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 37.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 11.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.3% 100.0% 3.6% 96.4% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.5% 99.6% 6.0% 93.6% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 3.8% 98.5% 6.6% 91.9% 6.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.4%
10-8 8.1% 93.5% 3.4% 90.1% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.5 93.3%
9-9 13.8% 79.2% 2.6% 76.5% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.0 2.7 1.6 0.1 2.9 78.6%
8-10 18.4% 45.0% 1.6% 43.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.7 0.7 10.1 44.1%
7-11 19.1% 13.0% 0.8% 12.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.6 0.0 16.6 12.3%
6-12 16.9% 2.2% 0.6% 1.6% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 16.5 1.6%
5-13 10.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.1%
4-14 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 35.2% 1.6% 33.7% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.9 5.5 6.2 5.9 7.2 1.6 0.0 64.8 34.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%