California
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#177
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#130
Pace64.8#296
Improvement-2.1#268

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#197
First Shot+0.0#177
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#246
Layup/Dunks+1.0#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#292
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement-2.4#297

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#152
First Shot-0.5#174
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#114
Layups/Dunks+2.8#77
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#310
Freethrows-1.3#264
Improvement+0.2#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 12.6 14.1
.500 or above 1.2% 3.0% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 3.0% 6.9% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.4% 22.4% 58.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 28.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 10
Quad 22 - 83 - 18
Quad 34 - 37 - 21
Quad 44 - 011 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 148   Pepperdine W 87-71 55%     1 - 0 +14.3 +8.9 +5.2
  Nov 12, 2019 124   UNLV W 79-75 OT 48%     2 - 0 +3.9 +5.3 -1.3
  Nov 15, 2019 183   California Baptist W 82-62 62%     3 - 0 +16.4 +6.4 +10.3
  Nov 18, 2019 210   Prairie View W 54-50 70%     4 - 0 -1.9 -16.8 +15.1
  Nov 21, 2019 2   Duke L 52-87 4%     4 - 1 -14.8 -7.7 -9.4
  Nov 22, 2019 54   Texas L 45-62 18%     4 - 2 -7.7 -14.3 +3.9
  Nov 26, 2019 250   UC Davis W 72-66 76%     5 - 2 -1.8 +0.3 -1.6
  Dec 04, 2019 103   @ San Francisco L 64-76 22%     5 - 3 -4.6 -7.5 +2.8
  Dec 07, 2019 142   @ Santa Clara L 52-71 32%     5 - 4 -14.7 -21.0 +7.0
  Dec 11, 2019 132   Fresno St. W 69-63 50%     6 - 4 +5.4 +6.5 -0.2
  Dec 14, 2019 38   St. Mary's L 77-89 19%     6 - 5 -3.4 +9.6 -13.6
  Dec 21, 2019 150   Boston College L 60-64 44%     6 - 6 -3.0 -6.4 +3.2
  Dec 29, 2019 94   Harvard L 63-71 38%     6 - 7 -5.4 -7.1 +1.6
  Jan 02, 2020 44   @ Stanford L 52-68 10%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -2.5 -9.3 +6.3
  Jan 09, 2020 122   Washington St. W 73-66 47%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +7.1 +1.5 +5.7
  Jan 11, 2020 47   Washington W 61-58 OT 22%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +10.5 -3.7 +14.4
  Jan 16, 2020 59   @ USC L 56-88 14%     8 - 9 2 - 2 -20.7 -14.0 -4.5
  Jan 19, 2020 128   @ UCLA L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 26, 2020 44   Stanford L 60-68 22%    
  Jan 30, 2020 21   Oregon L 60-71 15%    
  Feb 01, 2020 75   Oregon St. L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 06, 2020 25   @ Colorado L 57-73 7%    
  Feb 08, 2020 114   @ Utah L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 13, 2020 10   Arizona L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 16, 2020 70   Arizona St. L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 19, 2020 122   @ Washington St. L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 22, 2020 47   @ Washington L 57-71 10%    
  Feb 27, 2020 25   Colorado L 60-70 18%    
  Feb 29, 2020 114   Utah L 68-70 45%    
  Mar 05, 2020 21   @ Oregon L 57-74 6%    
  Mar 07, 2020 75   @ Oregon St. L 63-74 16%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 2.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 4.1 1.4 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 6.3 3.6 0.3 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 8.0 6.9 1.0 0.0 17.4 10th
11th 0.1 2.5 10.7 10.0 1.9 0.0 25.3 11th
12th 5.2 12.9 10.5 2.4 0.1 31.1 12th
Total 5.3 15.5 22.6 21.8 16.9 10.1 4.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 46.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 4.1% 4.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1%
11-7 0.2% 2.8% 2.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.7
9-9 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 1.9
8-10 4.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 4.7
7-11 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 16.9% 16.9
5-13 21.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 21.8
4-14 22.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.6
3-15 15.5% 15.5
2-16 5.3% 5.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.8%