Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#276
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#79
Pace91.5#2
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#245
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#288
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.4% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 28.6% 50.9% 24.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.5% 55.6% 37.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.9% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 6.6% 11.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.8% 3.2% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Home) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 410 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 245   Chattanooga W 79-68 56%     1 - 0 +3.5 -6.8 +8.8
  Nov 08, 2019 5   @ Kentucky L 49-91 1%     1 - 1 -20.4 -19.4 +6.3
  Nov 15, 2019 71   Western Kentucky L 78-88 17%    
  Nov 22, 2019 166   Florida International L 90-95 30%    
  Nov 23, 2019 317   Cleveland St. W 85-81 65%    
  Dec 03, 2019 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 84-80 65%    
  Dec 08, 2019 139   @ Northern Kentucky L 77-87 17%    
  Dec 14, 2019 3   @ Louisville L 68-96 0.5%   
  Dec 19, 2019 240   @ Marshall L 90-95 34%    
  Dec 21, 2019 294   Charleston Southern W 83-78 67%    
  Dec 28, 2019 219   @ East Carolina L 78-84 31%    
  Jan 02, 2020 297   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 68%    
  Jan 04, 2020 212   Jacksonville St. W 80-79 50%    
  Jan 09, 2020 190   Eastern Illinois L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 11, 2020 331   SIU Edwardsville W 90-81 78%    
  Jan 16, 2020 73   @ Belmont L 81-97 9%    
  Jan 18, 2020 243   @ Tennessee St. L 82-86 35%    
  Jan 23, 2020 212   @ Jacksonville St. L 77-83 31%    
  Jan 25, 2020 297   @ Tennessee Tech L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 30, 2020 264   Tennessee Martin W 90-88 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 300   Southeast Missouri St. W 86-81 67%    
  Feb 06, 2020 190   @ Eastern Illinois L 78-85 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 331   @ SIU Edwardsville W 87-84 58%    
  Feb 13, 2020 218   @ Morehead St. L 79-85 31%    
  Feb 15, 2020 228   @ Austin Peay L 84-89 34%    
  Feb 20, 2020 243   Tennessee St. W 85-83 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 73   Belmont L 84-94 20%    
  Feb 27, 2020 115   @ Murray St. L 77-89 17%    
  Feb 29, 2020 218   Morehead St. W 82-81 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.5 2.9 3.6 1.2 0.2 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.4 1.8 0.2 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.1 2.0 0.2 11.0 6th
7th 0.3 2.9 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 5.3 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 3.5 0.5 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.2 3.0 0.6 9.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.3 2.1 0.6 8.3 11th
12th 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.3 12th
Total 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.0 6.6 8.8 11.2 12.7 12.8 11.5 10.1 8.3 4.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 57.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 32.0% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 16.3% 16.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 34.7% 34.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 33.6% 33.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.8% 15.1% 15.1% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.1% 10.9% 10.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.8
12-6 4.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.4
11-7 8.3% 2.8% 2.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.0
10-8 10.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.9
9-9 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.4
8-10 12.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.7
7-11 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 8.8% 8.8
4-14 6.6% 6.6
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%