Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.8#11
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#14
Pace66.5#246
Improvement-3.5#308

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#12
First Shot+6.9#18
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#67
Layup/Dunks+1.2#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#54
Freethrows+1.6#63
Improvement-1.1#239

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#31
First Shot+4.9#45
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#42
Layups/Dunks+6.7#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#254
Freethrows+1.3#91
Improvement-2.4#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 9.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 83.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round82.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen50.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight23.9% n/a n/a
Final Four11.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.4% n/a n/a
National Champion2.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 6
Quad 26 - 110 - 7
Quad 39 - 019 - 7
Quad 45 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 92   @ Miami (FL) W 87-74 73%     1 - 0 +21.5 +15.3 +5.9
  Nov 10, 2019 225   Youngstown St. W 78-55 97%     2 - 0 +16.2 +2.4 +14.8
  Nov 13, 2019 128   Indiana St. W 91-62 91%     3 - 0 +28.7 +20.1 +9.5
  Nov 17, 2019 278   NC Central W 87-58 98%     4 - 0 +19.5 +20.6 +1.9
  Nov 20, 2019 323   South Carolina Upstate W 76-50 99%     5 - 0 +12.6 +5.9 +10.1
  Nov 24, 2019 90   Akron W 82-76 87%     6 - 0 +8.9 +3.7 +4.7
  Nov 29, 2019 111   Western Kentucky W 71-54 84%     7 - 0 +21.0 +5.1 +17.6
  Dec 03, 2019 15   Michigan W 58-43 64%     8 - 0 +26.2 -6.0 +33.2
  Dec 06, 2019 104   Pittsburgh W 64-46 89%     9 - 0 1 - 0 +19.6 +5.2 +17.9
  Dec 10, 2019 17   Texas Tech L 57-70 53%     9 - 1 +0.9 -12.0 +14.0
  Dec 14, 2019 273   Eastern Kentucky W 99-67 98%     10 - 1 +22.7 +24.9 -1.5
  Dec 18, 2019 213   Miami (OH) W 70-46 96%     11 - 1 +18.3 -4.4 +23.6
  Dec 28, 2019 23   @ Kentucky L 70-78 OT 44%     11 - 2 +8.4 +4.7 +3.7
  Jan 04, 2020 12   Florida St. L 65-78 63%     11 - 3 1 - 1 -1.5 +3.6 -6.1
  Jan 07, 2020 92   Miami (FL) W 74-58 87%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +18.4 +3.4 +15.4
  Jan 11, 2020 51   @ Notre Dame W 67-64 60%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +15.3 +1.9 +13.6
  Jan 14, 2020 104   @ Pittsburgh W 73-68 OT 75%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +12.7 +2.6 +9.9
  Jan 18, 2020 3   @ Duke W 79-73 29%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +26.7 +8.5 +17.7
  Jan 22, 2020 58   Georgia Tech W 68-64 81%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +9.5 +6.1 +3.7
  Jan 25, 2020 67   Clemson W 80-62 83%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +22.7 +16.2 +7.4
  Jan 29, 2020 159   @ Boston College W 86-69 85%     18 - 3 8 - 1 +20.6 +18.6 +2.4
  Feb 01, 2020 45   @ North Carolina St. W 77-57 57%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +33.0 +9.9 +23.2
  Feb 05, 2020 94   Wake Forest W 86-76 88%     20 - 3 10 - 1 +12.3 +12.3 +0.0
  Feb 08, 2020 40   Virginia W 80-73 76%     21 - 3 11 - 1 +14.4 +32.6 -16.8
  Feb 12, 2020 58   @ Georgia Tech L 58-64 63%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +5.6 -5.8 +11.3
  Feb 15, 2020 67   @ Clemson L 62-77 65%     21 - 5 11 - 3 -4.3 +0.1 -5.1
  Feb 19, 2020 46   Syracuse W 90-66 77%     22 - 5 12 - 3 +30.9 +12.5 +17.0
  Feb 22, 2020 68   North Carolina W 72-55 83%     23 - 5 13 - 3 +21.7 +7.5 +15.7
  Feb 24, 2020 12   @ Florida St. L 67-82 40%     23 - 6 13 - 4 +2.6 +3.4 -0.8
  Mar 01, 2020 100   Virginia Tech W 68-52 88%     24 - 6 14 - 4 +18.0 +2.6 +16.7
  Mar 07, 2020 40   @ Virginia L 54-57 55%     24 - 7 14 - 5 +10.5 +2.3 +7.8
Projected Record 24 - 7 14 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 3.7 1.7 8.0 26.0 47.3 15.0 1.8 0.0 0.1 99.9%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 3.7 1.7 8.0 26.0 47.3 15.0 1.8 0.0 0.1 99.9%