Chattanooga
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#170
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#141
Pace66.7#254
Improvement+4.6#20

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#160
First Shot+0.1#174
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#117
Layup/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#59
Freethrows-2.9#334
Improvement+3.7#23

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#187
First Shot-0.7#190
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#186
Layups/Dunks-3.0#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#28
Freethrows+0.5#153
Improvement+0.9#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.4% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 85.4% 89.1% 66.0%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 72.7% 40.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round3.2% 3.4% 2.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 84.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 33 - 34 - 11
Quad 413 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 311   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-79 73%     0 - 1 -17.5 -17.3 +1.4
  Nov 09, 2019 247   Tennessee St. W 59-57 76%     1 - 1 -5.7 -18.3 +12.7
  Nov 12, 2019 264   @ Troy W 74-68 61%     2 - 1 +3.1 -2.0 +4.8
  Nov 15, 2019 174   South Alabama W 90-72 62%     3 - 1 +14.7 +14.7 +0.1
  Nov 20, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 53-89 6%     3 - 2 -18.8 -10.9 -7.1
  Nov 25, 2019 52   @ Tennessee L 46-58 13%     3 - 3 +0.3 -10.6 +8.8
  Nov 29, 2019 340   Alabama St. W 74-56 88%     4 - 3 +5.1 -5.8 +10.3
  Nov 30, 2019 233   Jacksonville St. W 63-60 65%     5 - 3 -1.0 -3.0 +2.3
  Dec 03, 2019 166   @ Western Carolina L 77-87 39%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -7.2 +0.4 -7.4
  Dec 11, 2019 60   @ Virginia Tech L 58-63 14%     5 - 5 +6.3 +1.4 +3.9
  Dec 15, 2019 264   Troy W 84-80 OT 79%     6 - 5 -4.6 +6.7 -11.3
  Dec 21, 2019 279   @ UNC Asheville W 68-64 64%     7 - 5 +0.2 -4.8 +5.2
  Jan 04, 2020 238   @ Mercer W 70-61 55%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +7.6 +2.4 +6.0
  Jan 08, 2020 89   Furman L 66-73 37%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -3.8 +0.3 -4.7
  Jan 11, 2020 280   Samford W 105-67 81%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +28.4 +18.3 +7.6
  Jan 15, 2020 127   Wofford W 72-59 51%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +12.7 +6.6 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2020 79   @ UNC Greensboro L 52-72 18%     10 - 7 3 - 3 -10.2 -13.6 +3.5
  Jan 22, 2020 292   The Citadel W 82-72 84%    
  Jan 25, 2020 66   @ East Tennessee St. L 61-72 15%    
  Jan 29, 2020 280   @ Samford W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 01, 2020 166   Western Carolina W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 05, 2020 66   East Tennessee St. L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 08, 2020 127   @ Wofford L 65-70 30%    
  Feb 12, 2020 290   VMI W 76-66 84%    
  Feb 15, 2020 89   @ Furman L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 19, 2020 292   @ The Citadel W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 22, 2020 238   Mercer W 73-66 74%    
  Feb 26, 2020 290   @ VMI W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 79   UNC Greensboro L 64-68 35%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.2 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.7 0.7 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.5 7.2 2.2 0.0 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 9.9 12.5 4.6 0.2 30.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 6.1 12.0 10.6 3.4 0.2 33.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.5 9.7 16.8 21.6 20.6 14.7 7.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 71.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 10.4% 10.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 18.3% 18.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 2.6% 13.4% 13.4% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2
12-6 7.3% 6.1% 6.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.9
11-7 14.7% 4.6% 4.6% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 14.0
10-8 20.6% 3.3% 3.3% 14.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 20.0
9-9 21.6% 2.5% 2.5% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 21.1
8-10 16.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 16.5
7-11 9.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.6
6-12 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
5-13 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.2 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%