Incarnate Word
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-16.6#346
Expected Predictive Rating-21.1#349
Pace67.1#245
Improvement+1.4#126

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#342
First Shot-8.7#348
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#128
Layup/Dunks-0.4#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#322
Freethrows-3.2#340
Improvement+1.7#86

Defense
Total Defense-8.5#344
First Shot-6.3#339
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#333
Layups/Dunks-3.6#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#280
Freethrows-2.5#311
Improvement-0.3#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 65.7% 50.3% 72.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Home) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 44 - 164 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 79   @ Missouri L 42-82 2%     0 - 1 -30.2 -29.2 +3.1
  Nov 08, 2019 135   @ Northern Colorado L 61-83 3%     0 - 2 -17.2 -3.1 -16.1
  Nov 16, 2019 338   SIU Edwardsville L 55-57 42%     0 - 3 -16.5 -21.9 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2019 301   Bethune-Cookman L 58-83 30%     0 - 4 -36.1 -23.4 -11.6
  Nov 24, 2019 217   Eastern Illinois L 63-72 17%     0 - 5 -15.2 -12.5 -2.8
  Dec 01, 2019 278   @ Portland L 56-65 12%     0 - 6 -12.7 -7.3 -7.1
  Dec 03, 2019 196   @ Seattle L 60-81 7%     0 - 7 -20.6 -11.1 -9.8
  Dec 18, 2019 308   @ Central Arkansas L 82-88 OT 16%     0 - 8 0 - 1 -11.8 -9.9 -0.9
  Dec 21, 2019 127   @ Washington St. L 59-87 3%     0 - 9 -22.5 -14.0 -6.8
  Jan 02, 2020 219   @ Nicholls St. L 60-76 7%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -16.4 -9.5 -7.2
  Jan 08, 2020 325   Northwestern St. L 66-72 37%     0 - 11 0 - 3 -19.1 -16.4 -2.3
  Jan 11, 2020 320   New Orleans W 73-70 35%     1 - 11 1 - 3 -9.6 -7.2 -2.4
  Jan 15, 2020 261   @ McNeese St. L 56-72 10%     1 - 12 1 - 4 -18.6 -13.0 -7.8
  Jan 18, 2020 138   @ Stephen F. Austin L 56-80 4%     1 - 13 1 - 5 -19.5 -15.1 -3.6
  Jan 22, 2020 276   Lamar L 77-89 24%     1 - 14 1 - 6 -21.3 -1.9 -18.8
  Jan 25, 2020 297   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-67 29%    
  Jan 29, 2020 344   @ Houston Baptist L 84-89 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 210   @ Abilene Christian L 60-76 6%    
  Feb 05, 2020 182   Sam Houston St. L 64-77 12%    
  Feb 08, 2020 330   SE Louisiana L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 12, 2020 325   @ Northwestern St. L 66-75 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 320   @ New Orleans L 67-77 17%    
  Feb 19, 2020 261   McNeese St. L 68-76 23%    
  Feb 22, 2020 138   Stephen F. Austin L 63-78 8%    
  Feb 26, 2020 276   @ Lamar L 61-74 11%    
  Feb 29, 2020 297   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 58-70 13%    
  Mar 04, 2020 344   Houston Baptist W 87-86 53%    
  Mar 07, 2020 210   Abilene Christian L 62-73 17%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.7 2.2 1.7 0.2 4.9 10th
11th 0.2 2.2 5.8 4.3 0.8 0.0 13.2 11th
12th 0.7 6.5 11.1 8.1 1.6 0.1 28.1 12th
13th 5.8 16.3 17.7 8.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 50.1 13th
Total 5.8 17.0 24.4 21.8 16.1 8.5 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.2% 0.2
9-11 0.5% 0.5
8-12 1.6% 1.6
7-13 4.2% 4.2
6-14 8.5% 8.5
5-15 16.1% 16.1
4-16 21.8% 21.8
3-17 24.4% 24.4
2-18 17.0% 17.0
1-19 5.8% 5.8
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.8%