Incarnate Word
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.7#347
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#291
Pace66.0#280
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#312
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-9.5#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.4% 5.7% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 13.4% 7.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 40.8% 33.6% 47.6%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 47 - 147 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 44   @ Missouri L 42-82 1%     0 - 1 -26.6 -25.3 +2.7
  Nov 08, 2019 211   @ Northern Colorado L 61-83 9%     0 - 2 -21.8 -5.1 -18.9
  Nov 16, 2019 332   SIU Edwardsville L 74-75 48%    
  Nov 22, 2019 337   Bethune-Cookman W 75-74 51%    
  Nov 24, 2019 191   Eastern Illinois L 67-77 17%    
  Dec 01, 2019 254   @ Portland L 63-76 12%    
  Dec 03, 2019 236   @ Seattle L 63-77 11%    
  Dec 18, 2019 295   @ Central Arkansas L 72-82 18%    
  Dec 21, 2019 131   @ Washington St. L 65-85 4%    
  Jan 02, 2020 246   @ Nicholls St. L 66-79 12%    
  Jan 08, 2020 343   Northwestern St. W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 11, 2020 259   New Orleans L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 15, 2020 309   @ McNeese St. L 67-76 23%    
  Jan 18, 2020 260   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-78 14%    
  Jan 22, 2020 281   Lamar L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 25, 2020 304   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 29, 2020 291   @ Houston Baptist L 76-86 20%    
  Feb 01, 2020 285   @ Abilene Christian L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 05, 2020 183   Sam Houston St. L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 08, 2020 310   SE Louisiana L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 12, 2020 343   @ Northwestern St. L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 259   @ New Orleans L 65-78 14%    
  Feb 19, 2020 309   McNeese St. L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 260   Stephen F. Austin L 68-75 29%    
  Feb 26, 2020 281   @ Lamar L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 29, 2020 304   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 62-72 21%    
  Mar 04, 2020 291   Houston Baptist L 79-83 35%    
  Mar 07, 2020 285   Abilene Christian L 65-70 34%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.2 1.0 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.2 4.2 1.7 0.1 10.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.8 4.4 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 14.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.5 6.7 5.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 20.0 12th
13th 2.1 5.0 8.3 8.2 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 30.8 13th
Total 2.1 5.1 9.2 11.8 13.6 13.1 11.6 9.9 7.9 5.6 4.2 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 30.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.3% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.1 0.3
14-6 0.5% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 0.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
12-8 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6
11-9 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
10-10 4.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.2
9-11 5.6% 5.6
8-12 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 9.9% 9.9
6-14 11.6% 11.6
5-15 13.1% 13.1
4-16 13.6% 13.6
3-17 11.8% 11.8
2-18 9.2% 9.2
1-19 5.1% 5.1
0-20 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%