Lamar
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#279
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#275
Pace69.9#163
Improvement-4.6#327

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#314
First Shot-6.0#328
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#143
Layup/Dunks-1.4#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#315
Freethrows-1.7#301
Improvement-2.8#311

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#189
First Shot+0.5#145
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#293
Layups/Dunks+1.1#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows+1.4#90
Improvement-1.8#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.8% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 16.4% 20.1% 5.8%
.500 or above in Conference 38.8% 46.0% 17.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 2.8%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 74.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 90   @ Duquesne L 56-66 8%     0 - 1 -1.2 -12.3 +11.2
  Nov 15, 2019 269   Mount St. Mary's W 76-61 59%     1 - 1 +6.0 +4.2 +2.6
  Nov 21, 2019 276   @ Utah Valley W 74-68 39%     2 - 1 +2.5 -3.3 +5.5
  Nov 24, 2019 14   @ Kentucky L 56-81 2%     2 - 2 -7.4 -5.3 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2019 169   @ UAB L 48-57 19%     2 - 3 -6.2 -18.0 +11.1
  Nov 30, 2019 242   @ Texas Southern L 73-76 32%     2 - 4 -4.7 -7.8 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2019 240   Rice W 73-60 53%     3 - 4 +5.6 -8.1 +13.2
  Dec 14, 2019 64   @ TCU L 50-79 6%     3 - 5 -18.3 -16.8 -0.8
  Dec 18, 2019 326   SE Louisiana W 79-73 OT 73%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -6.9 -2.2 -5.0
  Dec 21, 2019 328   @ Northwestern St. L 61-67 54%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -13.5 -11.7 -2.1
  Jan 02, 2020 322   @ New Orleans W 74-67 52%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +0.0 -4.8 +4.7
  Jan 04, 2020 207   Abilene Christian L 62-74 47%     5 - 7 2 - 2 -17.7 -11.4 -6.4
  Jan 08, 2020 209   Nicholls St. L 52-61 47%     5 - 8 2 - 3 -14.8 -23.1 +8.5
  Jan 11, 2020 344   @ Houston Baptist W 102-92 71%     6 - 8 3 - 3 -2.1 +4.1 -7.2
  Jan 15, 2020 186   Sam Houston St. L 75-80 OT 39%     6 - 9 3 - 4 -8.7 -12.4 +4.5
  Jan 18, 2020 294   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 58-64 43%     6 - 10 3 - 5 -10.8 -13.7 +2.9
  Jan 22, 2020 346   @ Incarnate Word W 69-62 74%    
  Jan 25, 2020 138   Stephen F. Austin L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 278   @ McNeese St. L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 05, 2020 306   Central Arkansas W 78-73 69%    
  Feb 08, 2020 207   @ Abilene Christian L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 12, 2020 209   @ Nicholls St. L 63-69 27%    
  Feb 15, 2020 344   Houston Baptist W 91-80 85%    
  Feb 19, 2020 186   @ Sam Houston St. L 66-74 21%    
  Feb 22, 2020 294   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 64-60 65%    
  Feb 26, 2020 346   Incarnate Word W 72-59 88%    
  Feb 29, 2020 138   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-75 15%    
  Mar 07, 2020 278   McNeese St. W 73-70 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 5.0 2.3 0.2 9.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 8.3 4.7 0.5 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 9.0 6.8 1.0 0.0 18.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.9 8.2 1.7 0.1 17.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.7 7.6 2.4 0.1 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 2.2 0.2 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.1 0.1 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.5 12.0 18.9 22.9 19.2 11.8 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.4% 13.4% 13.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 1.8% 11.3% 11.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
12-8 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.2
11-9 11.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.5
10-10 19.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 18.9
9-11 22.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 22.7
8-12 18.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 18.9
7-13 12.0% 12.0
6-14 5.5% 5.5
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 98.5 0.0%