Portland
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#246
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#134
Pace67.4#248
Improvement+0.3#133

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#258
First Shot+3.9#73
After Offensive Rebound-6.6#352
Layup/Dunks-1.1#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#54
Freethrows-0.5#208
Improvement-0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#224
First Shot-3.1#264
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#103
Layups/Dunks-6.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#328
Freethrows+4.1#17
Improvement+0.4#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.1 14.3
.500 or above 23.7% 35.0% 14.8%
.500 or above in Conference 10.2% 13.4% 7.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.0% 32.1% 42.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 32 - 53 - 14
Quad 49 - 312 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 59   @ USC L 65-76 7%     0 - 1 +1.0 -2.0 +2.8
  Nov 10, 2019 323   @ San Jose St. W 72-57 62%     1 - 1 +7.4 -6.2 +13.1
  Nov 16, 2019 306   Maine W 71-62 77%     2 - 1 -3.3 -2.6 +0.0
  Nov 20, 2019 273   @ Portland St. L 72-74 44%    
  Nov 23, 2019 310   UC Davis W 70-62 77%    
  Dec 01, 2019 346   Incarnate Word W 74-61 88%    
  Dec 04, 2019 294   Cal St. Northridge W 79-73 70%    
  Dec 07, 2019 240   @ Seattle L 66-69 38%    
  Dec 16, 2019 339   Florida A&M W 73-61 86%    
  Dec 19, 2019 315   Jackson St. W 73-65 78%    
  Dec 22, 2019 44   Houston L 61-76 9%    
  Jan 02, 2020 5   Gonzaga L 64-83 4%    
  Jan 04, 2020 85   San Francisco L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 11, 2020 71   @ BYU L 66-81 9%    
  Jan 16, 2020 243   Pacific W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 18, 2020 159   San Diego L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 23, 2020 175   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-68 28%    
  Jan 25, 2020 116   @ Pepperdine L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 30, 2020 34   @ St. Mary's L 54-73 4%    
  Feb 01, 2020 140   Santa Clara L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 06, 2020 71   BYU L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 08, 2020 159   @ San Diego L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 13, 2020 243   @ Pacific L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 20, 2020 116   Pepperdine L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 175   Loyola Marymount L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 27, 2020 85   @ San Francisco L 64-78 12%    
  Feb 29, 2020 140   @ Santa Clara L 65-74 21%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.4 2.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.7 4.0 3.6 1.1 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.2 5.4 1.3 0.1 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 6.5 6.9 1.6 0.1 16.6 8th
9th 0.2 3.3 9.1 7.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 22.1 9th
10th 2.5 7.7 9.4 5.7 1.4 0.0 26.7 10th
Total 2.5 7.9 12.7 16.3 16.1 14.9 11.4 8.0 5.2 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 95.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 7.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 3.7% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 4.9% 2.4% 2.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.5%
12-4 0.2% 1.3% 1.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.6% 4.0% 4.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-6 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
9-7 2.8% 1.1% 1.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
8-8 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
7-9 8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
6-10 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
5-11 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 14.9
4-12 16.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 16.1
3-13 16.3% 16.3
2-14 12.7% 12.7
1-15 7.9% 7.9
0-16 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%