Portland
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#266
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#236
Pace67.5#234
Improvement-1.9#264

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#286
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#338
Layup/Dunks-2.6#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
Freethrows+0.6#132
Improvement-2.1#287

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#218
First Shot-1.5#207
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#194
Layups/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#283
Freethrows+2.7#37
Improvement+0.1#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 n/a
.500 or above 0.7% 1.2% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.1% 3.7% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.9% 23.8% 62.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 33 - 74 - 16
Quad 46 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 62   @ USC L 65-76 7%     0 - 1 +0.2 +0.6 -0.6
  Nov 10, 2019 291   @ San Jose St. W 72-57 45%     1 - 1 +10.5 -5.9 +15.9
  Nov 16, 2019 340   Maine W 71-62 82%     2 - 1 -6.6 -3.9 -2.0
  Nov 20, 2019 213   @ Portland St. W 82-75 30%     3 - 1 +6.7 -0.7 +6.9
  Nov 23, 2019 255   UC Davis W 72-62 59%     4 - 1 +1.8 +1.2 +1.5
  Dec 01, 2019 347   Incarnate Word W 65-56 89%     5 - 1 -10.0 -5.0 -3.3
  Dec 04, 2019 262   Cal St. Northridge L 64-71 60%     5 - 2 -15.6 -20.0 +4.8
  Dec 07, 2019 197   @ Seattle L 71-73 27%     5 - 3 -1.4 -1.5 +0.1
  Dec 16, 2019 304   Florida A&M W 66-60 71%     6 - 3 -5.6 -11.7 +5.8
  Dec 19, 2019 327   Jackson St. L 63-73 76%     6 - 4 -23.3 -16.6 -6.4
  Dec 22, 2019 34   Houston L 56-81 6%     6 - 5 -13.2 -12.0 -1.7
  Dec 23, 2019 113   Boise St. L 69-85 18%     6 - 6 -12.1 -2.1 -10.3
  Dec 25, 2019 99   Ball St. L 46-61 16%     6 - 7 -10.2 -19.3 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2020 3   Gonzaga L 72-85 3%     6 - 8 0 - 1 +2.6 +8.6 -6.7
  Jan 04, 2020 103   San Francisco W 76-65 23%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +12.7 +2.1 +10.9
  Jan 11, 2020 33   @ BYU L 70-96 4%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -11.3 +1.6 -12.5
  Jan 16, 2020 164   Pacific L 55-65 37%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -12.6 -19.4 +7.2
  Jan 18, 2020 198   San Diego L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 23, 2020 201   @ Loyola Marymount L 60-66 28%    
  Jan 25, 2020 149   @ Pepperdine L 68-78 17%    
  Jan 30, 2020 39   @ St. Mary's L 56-76 3%    
  Feb 01, 2020 146   Santa Clara L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 06, 2020 33   BYU L 64-79 8%    
  Feb 08, 2020 198   @ San Diego L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 13, 2020 164   @ Pacific L 58-67 19%    
  Feb 20, 2020 149   Pepperdine L 71-75 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 201   Loyola Marymount L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 27, 2020 103   @ San Francisco L 66-79 11%    
  Feb 29, 2020 146   @ Santa Clara L 65-75 17%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.5 4.8 5.6 0.9 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 2.1 10.1 10.7 2.0 0.1 24.9 8th
9th 2.1 11.4 10.9 2.2 0.0 26.6 9th
10th 4.4 12.0 9.4 1.9 0.0 27.7 10th
Total 4.4 14.2 22.8 23.4 18.0 10.5 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.1
9-7 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.4
8-8 1.5% 1.5
7-9 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.7
6-10 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-11 18.0% 18.0
4-12 23.4% 23.4
3-13 22.8% 22.8
2-14 14.2% 14.2
1-15 4.4% 4.4
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.8%