Stanford
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#41
Expected Predictive Rating+15.2#18
Pace70.6#148
Improvement-0.6#196

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#129
First Shot+3.5#74
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#294
Layup/Dunks+7.4#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#115
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement-2.1#284

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#12
First Shot+7.7#14
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#68
Layups/Dunks+4.0#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#169
Freethrows+3.3#21
Improvement+1.5#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 9.8% 15.0% 4.9%
Top 6 Seed 24.8% 34.5% 15.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.0% 83.4% 65.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.4% 80.7% 61.3%
Average Seed 7.6 7.1 8.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 94.0% 97.8% 90.6%
Conference Champion 26.7% 36.1% 18.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four8.2% 6.3% 9.9%
First Round69.7% 80.0% 60.2%
Second Round37.7% 45.4% 30.6%
Sweet Sixteen14.2% 18.5% 10.2%
Elite Eight5.3% 6.7% 3.9%
Final Four2.0% 2.6% 1.4%
Championship Game0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 48.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 7
Quad 25 - 29 - 8
Quad 39 - 117 - 9
Quad 47 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 167   Montana W 73-62 90%     1 - 0 +8.1 +0.4 +7.7
  Nov 09, 2019 281   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-54 96%     2 - 0 +6.4 -7.6 +13.3
  Nov 12, 2019 302   Long Beach St. W 86-58 97%     3 - 0 +16.7 +7.6 +9.0
  Nov 16, 2019 146   Santa Clara W 82-64 88%     4 - 0 +16.4 +4.4 +11.1
  Nov 19, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-55 99.5%    5 - 0 -2.3 +3.8 -5.2
  Nov 21, 2019 143   William & Mary W 81-50 87%     6 - 0 +29.6 +5.2 +24.2
  Nov 25, 2019 52   Oklahoma W 73-54 56%     7 - 0 +28.4 +0.5 +26.7
  Nov 26, 2019 12   Butler L 67-68 34%     7 - 1 +14.0 +11.8 +2.1
  Dec 01, 2019 321   UNC Wilmington W 72-54 98%     8 - 1 +5.1 +0.5 +6.5
  Dec 14, 2019 291   @ San Jose St. W 78-58 92%     9 - 1 +15.5 -3.4 +17.4
  Dec 17, 2019 103   San Francisco W 64-56 81%     10 - 1 +9.7 -12.7 +22.3
  Dec 21, 2019 198   San Diego W 62-59 89%     11 - 1 +0.6 -12.2 +12.7
  Dec 29, 2019 1   Kansas L 56-72 24%     11 - 2 +2.3 -8.2 +11.0
  Jan 02, 2020 179   California W 68-52 91%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +12.4 -4.0 +17.0
  Jan 09, 2020 45   Washington W 61-55 63%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +13.5 -5.1 +18.6
  Jan 11, 2020 132   Washington St. W 88-62 86%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +25.2 +16.5 +8.9
  Jan 15, 2020 126   @ UCLA W 74-59 71%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +20.2 +7.0 +14.4
  Jan 18, 2020 62   @ USC L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 26, 2020 179   @ California W 68-59 79%    
  Jan 30, 2020 63   Oregon St. W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 01, 2020 22   Oregon W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 06, 2020 105   @ Utah W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 08, 2020 21   @ Colorado L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 13, 2020 74   Arizona St. W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 15, 2020 14   Arizona L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 20, 2020 45   @ Washington L 64-66 40%    
  Feb 23, 2020 132   @ Washington St. W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 26, 2020 105   Utah W 74-65 80%    
  Mar 01, 2020 21   Colorado W 66-65 52%    
  Mar 05, 2020 63   @ Oregon St. L 68-69 48%    
  Mar 07, 2020 22   @ Oregon L 63-68 31%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 5.9 9.0 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.1 26.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 6.6 7.8 2.8 0.3 18.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 5.5 8.0 2.3 0.1 16.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.8 7.3 2.4 0.1 13.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.5 2.2 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.6 0.2 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.8 12.7 16.3 18.3 16.2 12.0 7.1 2.9 0.8 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8
16-2 100.0% 2.9    2.8 0.1
15-3 96.1% 6.8    5.7 1.1 0.0
14-4 75.6% 9.0    5.1 3.4 0.5 0.0
13-5 36.7% 5.9    1.4 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 6.0% 1.1    0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 26.7% 26.7 15.9 7.5 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 45.2% 54.8% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.8% 100.0% 24.1% 75.9% 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.9% 100.0% 29.0% 71.0% 3.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 7.1% 99.6% 21.6% 77.9% 4.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
14-4 12.0% 98.7% 18.7% 80.0% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.6 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.4%
13-5 16.2% 95.7% 15.5% 80.2% 7.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 2.6 3.6 3.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.7 94.9%
12-6 18.3% 87.5% 12.1% 75.3% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.4 4.1 3.0 1.8 0.1 2.3 85.7%
11-7 16.3% 71.1% 8.2% 62.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 0.4 4.7 68.5%
10-8 12.7% 48.4% 5.2% 43.2% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 3.0 0.6 6.5 45.6%
9-9 7.8% 24.0% 3.7% 20.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 6.0 21.1%
8-10 3.8% 6.5% 1.6% 4.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6 5.0%
7-11 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5%
6-12 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.4
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 74.0% 11.9% 62.0% 7.6 0.3 1.1 3.0 5.3 7.0 8.0 8.9 9.5 10.6 8.9 9.7 1.6 0.0 26.0 70.4%