Stanford
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#82
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#77
Pace73.3#91
Improvement-0.2#194

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#102
First Shot+5.1#59
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#306
Layup/Dunks+9.6#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#202
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement+0.3#121

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#75
First Shot+1.7#116
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#57
Layups/Dunks+1.7#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#154
Freethrows+1.0#131
Improvement-0.4#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.0% 2.3% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 20.7% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.9% 19.0% 8.7%
Average Seed 9.4 9.3 9.8
.500 or above 72.6% 77.1% 54.7%
.500 or above in Conference 39.5% 42.0% 29.8%
Conference Champion 1.7% 1.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.7% 8.6% 14.2%
First Four5.4% 5.9% 3.6%
First Round15.4% 17.5% 7.5%
Second Round6.8% 7.8% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 2.0% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 79.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 46 - 12
Quad 35 - 211 - 13
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 198   Montana W 73-62 86%     1 - 0 +5.7 -1.9 +7.7
  Nov 09, 2019 215   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-54 87%     2 - 0 +10.1 -5.8 +15.3
  Nov 12, 2019 253   Long Beach St. W 86-58 90%     3 - 0 +20.1 +9.0 +11.0
  Nov 16, 2019 140   Santa Clara W 82-64 77%     4 - 0 +16.6 +5.4 +10.2
  Nov 19, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-55 98%     5 - 0 +1.0 +11.3 -9.4
  Nov 21, 2019 150   William & Mary W 78-69 80%    
  Nov 25, 2019 40   Oklahoma L 70-75 32%    
  Dec 01, 2019 280   UNC Wilmington W 85-69 93%    
  Dec 14, 2019 315   @ San Jose St. W 79-66 88%    
  Dec 17, 2019 86   San Francisco W 75-72 62%    
  Dec 21, 2019 171   San Diego W 71-64 74%    
  Dec 29, 2019 3   Kansas L 69-79 18%    
  Jan 02, 2020 138   California W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 09, 2020 58   Washington W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 11, 2020 141   Washington St. W 79-71 76%    
  Jan 15, 2020 79   @ UCLA L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 57   @ USC L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 26, 2020 138   @ California W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 30, 2020 68   Oregon St. W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 01, 2020 13   Oregon L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 06, 2020 80   @ Utah L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 28   @ Colorado L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 13, 2020 52   Arizona St. L 78-79 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 11   Arizona L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 20, 2020 58   @ Washington L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 23, 2020 141   @ Washington St. W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 26, 2020 80   Utah W 78-75 60%    
  Mar 01, 2020 28   Colorado L 68-71 39%    
  Mar 05, 2020 68   @ Oregon St. L 71-76 34%    
  Mar 07, 2020 13   @ Oregon L 63-76 14%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.7 5.8 2.8 0.2 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 5.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.9 6.4 9.1 12.1 13.3 13.3 12.2 10.0 7.1 4.9 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 91.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 94.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 69.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 29.2% 70.8% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 22.7% 77.3% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 99.1% 12.8% 86.3% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
14-4 1.5% 98.2% 12.8% 85.4% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.9%
13-5 3.0% 89.9% 8.6% 81.3% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 88.9%
12-6 4.9% 75.0% 6.4% 68.6% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.2 73.3%
11-7 7.1% 55.0% 4.3% 50.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.2 53.0%
10-8 10.0% 31.8% 3.0% 28.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.8 29.7%
9-9 12.2% 15.4% 1.1% 14.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 10.3 14.4%
8-10 13.3% 4.4% 0.7% 3.7% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.7 3.8%
7-11 13.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.1 0.6%
6-12 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.1%
5-13 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 6.4
3-15 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 3.9
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 18.5% 1.9% 16.6% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.5 5.4 1.5 0.0 0.0 81.6 16.9%