Arkansas
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#31
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#62
Pace75.5#65
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#32
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#40
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.1% 3.3% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 8.0% 8.4% 1.3%
Top 4 Seed 21.0% 21.7% 6.2%
Top 6 Seed 35.9% 37.0% 13.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.4% 71.7% 44.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.6% 68.9% 42.0%
Average Seed 6.4 6.3 7.8
.500 or above 91.7% 92.6% 73.3%
.500 or above in Conference 71.0% 72.0% 50.8%
Conference Champion 10.2% 10.5% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.4% 5.5%
First Four4.5% 4.5% 6.0%
First Round68.2% 69.6% 41.1%
Second Round44.4% 45.4% 22.9%
Sweet Sixteen20.0% 20.6% 8.8%
Elite Eight8.9% 9.2% 3.4%
Final Four3.7% 3.8% 1.5%
Championship Game1.5% 1.6% 0.8%
National Champion0.6% 0.6% 0.3%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 95.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 25 - 211 - 10
Quad 36 - 116 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 217   Rice W 91-43 95%     1 - 0 +41.8 -0.7 +34.7
  Nov 12, 2019 145   North Texas W 66-43 90%     2 - 0 +21.1 +3.8 +20.4
  Nov 16, 2019 205   Montana W 82-64 95%    
  Nov 19, 2019 268   Texas Southern W 92-71 97%    
  Nov 22, 2019 158   South Dakota W 83-68 92%    
  Nov 25, 2019 61   @ Georgia Tech W 71-70 56%    
  Nov 30, 2019 139   Northern Kentucky W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 03, 2019 227   Austin Peay W 88-69 96%    
  Dec 07, 2019 72   @ Western Kentucky W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 14, 2019 124   Tulsa W 79-66 88%    
  Dec 21, 2019 180   Valparaiso W 84-67 93%    
  Dec 29, 2019 45   @ Indiana L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 74   Texas A&M W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 08, 2020 26   @ LSU L 80-83 40%    
  Jan 11, 2020 51   @ Mississippi L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 15, 2020 121   Vanderbilt W 80-67 87%    
  Jan 18, 2020 5   Kentucky L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 22, 2020 57   @ Mississippi St. W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 25, 2020 53   TCU W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 29, 2020 63   South Carolina W 78-71 75%    
  Feb 01, 2020 52   @ Alabama L 79-80 50%    
  Feb 04, 2020 33   Auburn W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 08, 2020 44   @ Missouri L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 11, 2020 29   @ Tennessee L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 15, 2020 57   Mississippi St. W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 18, 2020 22   @ Florida L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 44   Missouri W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 26, 2020 29   Tennessee W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 29, 2020 65   @ Georgia W 80-79 55%    
  Mar 04, 2020 26   LSU W 83-80 60%    
  Mar 07, 2020 74   @ Texas A&M W 74-72 57%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.2 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.8 3.1 0.6 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.2 4.2 0.9 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.5 1.7 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.6 2.4 0.2 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.0 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.1 0.2 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 2.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.2 3.4 4.9 7.3 9.6 11.5 12.6 12.1 11.1 8.8 6.9 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 97.9% 0.9    0.9 0.1
16-2 88.4% 2.1    1.6 0.5 0.0
15-3 69.0% 3.0    1.9 1.0 0.2
14-4 39.2% 2.7    1.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
13-5 11.1% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 5.8 3.3 0.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 52.5% 47.5% 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.9% 100.0% 41.5% 58.5% 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.4% 100.0% 35.8% 64.2% 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 100.0%
15-3 4.4% 100.0% 26.7% 73.3% 2.5 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 6.9% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 3.5 0.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 8.8% 99.7% 15.0% 84.6% 4.7 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 11.1% 98.6% 11.4% 87.2% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.4%
11-7 12.1% 95.9% 7.6% 88.3% 7.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.3 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.5 95.6%
10-8 12.6% 86.7% 5.3% 81.4% 8.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.2 1.7 86.0%
9-9 11.5% 67.9% 2.6% 65.4% 9.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 3.7 67.1%
8-10 9.6% 41.7% 1.6% 40.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 0.3 5.6 40.7%
7-11 7.3% 17.0% 1.3% 15.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 6.0 15.9%
6-12 4.9% 4.5% 0.5% 4.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.7 4.0%
5-13 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.4%
4-14 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 70.4% 8.8% 61.6% 6.4 3.1 4.9 5.7 7.2 7.3 7.6 7.7 7.5 7.3 5.8 5.3 1.0 0.0 29.6 67.6%