Arkansas
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#48
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#59
Pace74.8#49
Improvement-6.2#348

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#47
First Shot+7.3#13
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#311
Layup/Dunks+0.6#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#105
Freethrows+3.9#6
Improvement+4.7#8

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#66
First Shot+5.2#40
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#260
Layups/Dunks-0.4#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#8
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement-11.0#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.9% n/a n/a
First Round9.1% n/a n/a
Second Round3.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b4 - 44 - 6
Quad 22 - 66 - 12
Quad 310 - 016 - 12
Quad 44 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 203   Rice W 91-43 91%     1 - 0 +42.8 -2.5 +37.5
  Nov 12, 2019 85   North Texas W 66-43 73%     2 - 0 +26.1 +1.3 +28.0
  Nov 16, 2019 153   Montana W 64-46 86%     3 - 0 +15.9 -7.6 +24.0
  Nov 19, 2019 291   Texas Southern W 82-51 96%     4 - 0 +20.5 -5.1 +22.7
  Nov 22, 2019 178   South Dakota W 77-56 89%     5 - 0 +17.4 -2.4 +19.6
  Nov 25, 2019 58   @ Georgia Tech W 62-61 OT 42%     6 - 0 +12.6 -7.6 +20.0
  Nov 30, 2019 145   Northern Kentucky W 66-60 85%     7 - 0 +4.4 -3.7 +8.4
  Dec 03, 2019 172   Austin Peay W 69-61 88%     8 - 0 +4.9 -8.0 +12.9
  Dec 07, 2019 111   @ Western Kentucky L 79-86 OT 60%     8 - 1 +0.1 -4.8 +6.0
  Dec 14, 2019 75   Tulsa W 98-79 71%     9 - 1 +22.9 +21.9 -0.7
  Dec 21, 2019 146   Valparaiso W 73-71 85%     10 - 1 +0.4 -12.0 +12.1
  Dec 29, 2019 34   @ Indiana W 71-64 32%     11 - 1 +21.5 +7.2 +14.3
  Jan 04, 2020 110   Texas A&M W 69-59 79%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +11.2 +4.3 +7.7
  Jan 08, 2020 36   @ LSU L 77-79 33%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +12.3 +5.9 +6.3
  Jan 11, 2020 93   @ Mississippi W 76-72 54%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +12.5 +5.8 +6.5
  Jan 15, 2020 151   Vanderbilt W 75-55 86%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +18.1 +0.4 +17.8
  Jan 18, 2020 23   Kentucky L 66-73 47%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +3.4 -4.9 +8.5
  Jan 22, 2020 47   @ Mississippi St. L 70-77 38%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +5.8 +1.8 +3.9
  Jan 25, 2020 76   TCU W 78-67 71%     15 - 4 +14.8 +13.1 +2.4
  Jan 29, 2020 64   South Carolina L 77-79 67%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +3.1 -2.9 +6.3
  Feb 01, 2020 54   @ Alabama W 82-78 41%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +15.9 +10.3 +5.4
  Feb 04, 2020 33   Auburn L 76-79 OT 54%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +5.5 +1.7 +3.9
  Feb 08, 2020 87   @ Missouri L 79-83 OT 52%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +5.1 -0.2 +5.9
  Feb 11, 2020 61   @ Tennessee L 61-82 43%     16 - 8 4 - 7 -9.7 -3.9 -6.3
  Feb 15, 2020 47   Mississippi St. L 77-78 61%     16 - 9 4 - 8 +5.7 +2.7 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2020 32   @ Florida L 59-73 29%     16 - 10 4 - 9 +1.3 -2.7 +2.9
  Feb 22, 2020 87   Missouri W 78-68 73%     17 - 10 5 - 9 +13.1 +9.7 +3.7
  Feb 26, 2020 61   Tennessee W 86-69 66%     18 - 10 6 - 9 +22.3 +20.0 +3.0
  Feb 29, 2020 89   @ Georgia L 89-99 52%     18 - 11 6 - 10 -1.0 +14.3 -14.8
  Mar 04, 2020 36   LSU W 99-90 55%     19 - 11 7 - 10 +17.2 +11.6 +4.4
  Mar 07, 2020 110   @ Texas A&M L 69-77 59%     19 - 12 7 - 11 -0.8 +2.4 -3.2
  Mar 11, 2020 151   Vanderbilt W 86-73 79%     20 - 12 +14.1 +9.7 +4.0
Projected Record 20 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 17.8% 17.8% 11.4 0.3 10.0 7.5 82.2 17.8%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.8% 0.0% 17.8% 11.4 0.3 10.0 7.5 82.2 17.8%