Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#213
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#177
Pace70.9#136
Improvement-5.2#340

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#148
First Shot+1.7#120
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#230
Layup/Dunks+0.3#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
Freethrows-2.1#319
Improvement-1.4#257

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#301
First Shot-2.1#229
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#333
Layups/Dunks-1.0#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#326
Freethrows+0.9#128
Improvement-3.8#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 7.2% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 47.8% 52.3% 23.5%
.500 or above in Conference 79.1% 83.5% 55.8%
Conference Champion 6.7% 7.6% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 2.9%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 1.3%
First Round6.4% 6.8% 4.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 84.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 411 - 416 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 42   @ Wichita St. L 54-68 7%     0 - 1 -0.3 -7.5 +6.9
  Nov 11, 2019 299   Bethune-Cookman W 90-61 78%     1 - 1 +17.9 +0.9 +13.8
  Nov 13, 2019 107   @ Colorado St. L 65-80 17%     1 - 2 -7.9 -3.6 -4.5
  Nov 19, 2019 10   @ Dayton L 68-93 3%     1 - 3 -6.6 +2.8 -9.7
  Nov 21, 2019 122   @ Washington St. W 85-77 20%     2 - 3 +13.8 +10.8 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2019 332   Southern W 78-51 84%     3 - 3 +13.3 +0.6 +13.5
  Nov 26, 2019 272   Loyola Maryland W 70-65 72%     4 - 3 -4.0 -7.4 +3.5
  Dec 01, 2019 37   @ St. Mary's L 66-75 6%     4 - 4 +5.3 +7.1 -3.0
  Dec 03, 2019 214   @ Arkansas St. L 73-78 39%     4 - 5 -5.4 -3.3 -2.0
  Dec 08, 2019 226   @ Northern Arizona L 65-73 41%     4 - 6 -8.9 -12.8 +4.2
  Dec 11, 2019 11   @ Arizona L 49-99 4%     4 - 7 -32.0 -16.5 -15.3
  Dec 15, 2019 261   UT Rio Grande Valley W 92-82 69%     5 - 7 +1.6 +6.1 -5.5
  Dec 17, 2019 180   @ Eastern Washington L 56-97 31%     5 - 8 -38.8 -23.9 -9.7
  Dec 21, 2019 176   Montana W 87-82 OT 51%     6 - 8 +1.6 +1.6 -0.7
  Dec 29, 2019 144   South Dakota St. W 81-78 44%     7 - 8 1 - 0 +1.4 +6.4 -4.9
  Jan 04, 2020 126   Oral Roberts W 74-67 39%     8 - 8 2 - 0 +6.8 +4.4 +3.2
  Jan 08, 2020 238   @ North Dakota W 66-62 44%     9 - 8 3 - 0 +2.5 -8.8 +11.4
  Jan 11, 2020 191   @ South Dakota L 81-91 35%     9 - 9 3 - 1 -9.0 -1.1 -7.3
  Jan 18, 2020 317   @ Denver L 76-91 64%     9 - 10 3 - 2 -21.7 -0.2 -21.3
  Jan 23, 2020 331   Western Illinois W 85-75 84%    
  Jan 25, 2020 260   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-71 69%    
  Feb 02, 2020 191   South Dakota W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 05, 2020 149   North Dakota St. L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 08, 2020 144   @ South Dakota St. L 73-80 25%    
  Feb 12, 2020 126   @ Oral Roberts L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 16, 2020 317   Denver W 79-70 81%    
  Feb 20, 2020 260   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 22, 2020 331   @ Western Illinois W 82-77 66%    
  Feb 26, 2020 238   North Dakota W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 29, 2020 149   @ North Dakota St. L 69-76 26%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.1 1.1 0.1 6.7 1st
2nd 0.3 3.8 6.1 1.5 0.1 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 5.3 10.3 3.0 0.1 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 7.1 13.4 4.5 0.1 25.9 4th
5th 0.5 5.3 10.6 3.6 0.1 20.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 5.5 2.0 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.1 0.1 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.9 6.0 12.5 20.2 22.7 18.9 11.3 4.7 1.2 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-3 94.2% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
12-4 65.5% 3.1    1.2 1.4 0.4
11-5 19.3% 2.2    0.3 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 2.5 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 10.2% 10.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 1.2% 15.7% 15.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-4 4.7% 14.0% 14.0% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.0
11-5 11.3% 12.5% 12.5% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 9.9
10-6 18.9% 8.8% 8.8% 15.1 0.2 1.1 0.4 17.2
9-7 22.7% 6.2% 6.2% 15.4 0.1 0.8 0.6 21.3
8-8 20.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.7 0.3 0.6 19.3
7-9 12.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.1
6-10 6.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 5.9
5-11 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-12 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.3 2.3 93.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%
Lose Out 0.0%