Arizona
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#18
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#43
Pace70.8#124
Improvement-5.6#342

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#41
First Shot+4.7#47
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#85
Layup/Dunks+1.0#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#243
Freethrows+2.7#17
Improvement-6.0#351

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#15
First Shot+5.1#41
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#6
Layups/Dunks+4.3#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#127
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement+0.4#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 10.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 94.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round94.8% n/a n/a
Second Round58.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen22.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.8% n/a n/a
Final Four5.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 26 - 39 - 11
Quad 38 - 017 - 11
Quad 44 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 229   Northern Arizona W 91-52 96%     1 - 0 +32.1 +12.1 +19.6
  Nov 10, 2019 31   Illinois W 90-69 66%     2 - 0 +30.3 +13.5 +14.9
  Nov 14, 2019 299   San Jose St. W 87-39 98%     3 - 0 +37.2 +5.8 +29.7
  Nov 17, 2019 98   New Mexico St. W 83-53 86%     4 - 0 +32.1 +12.1 +20.7
  Nov 21, 2019 129   South Dakota St. W 71-64 90%     5 - 0 +6.7 -3.9 +10.7
  Nov 24, 2019 306   Long Beach St. W 104-67 98%     6 - 0 +25.9 +9.6 +9.8
  Nov 28, 2019 135   Pepperdine W 93-91 86%     7 - 0 +4.2 +13.4 -9.3
  Nov 29, 2019 136   Penn W 92-82 86%     8 - 0 +12.1 +18.8 -6.9
  Dec 01, 2019 94   Wake Forest W 73-66 79%     9 - 0 +12.3 +0.8 +11.6
  Dec 07, 2019 5   @ Baylor L 58-63 26%     9 - 1 +15.3 -6.4 +21.9
  Dec 11, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 99-49 96%     10 - 1 +43.1 +20.0 +22.8
  Dec 14, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 80-84 40%     10 - 2 +12.2 +8.2 +4.2
  Dec 21, 2019 63   St. John's L 67-70 70%     10 - 3 +5.2 -0.7 +6.0
  Jan 04, 2020 60   Arizona St. W 75-47 79%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +33.3 +1.3 +30.3
  Jan 09, 2020 20   @ Oregon L 73-74 OT 39%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +15.7 +5.4 +10.3
  Jan 12, 2020 82   @ Oregon St. L 65-82 66%     11 - 5 1 - 2 -7.6 +0.6 -9.9
  Jan 16, 2020 105   Utah W 93-77 87%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +17.6 +16.2 +0.7
  Jan 18, 2020 38   Colorado W 75-54 71%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +28.9 +15.4 +16.0
  Jan 25, 2020 60   @ Arizona St. L 65-66 59%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +10.4 -5.6 +16.0
  Jan 30, 2020 56   @ Washington W 75-72 57%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +14.8 +6.9 +7.7
  Feb 01, 2020 122   @ Washington St. W 66-49 76%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +23.2 +3.0 +21.5
  Feb 06, 2020 53   USC W 85-80 77%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +11.1 +18.2 -7.2
  Feb 08, 2020 71   UCLA L 52-65 81%     16 - 7 6 - 4 -8.7 -12.2 +1.6
  Feb 13, 2020 144   @ California W 68-52 81%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +20.5 +2.6 +18.9
  Feb 15, 2020 50   @ Stanford W 69-60 55%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +21.4 +5.6 +15.8
  Feb 20, 2020 82   Oregon St. W 89-63 83%     19 - 7 9 - 4 +29.4 +11.8 +16.6
  Feb 22, 2020 20   Oregon L 72-73 OT 62%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +9.6 +1.9 +7.7
  Feb 27, 2020 53   @ USC L 48-57 56%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +3.1 -12.3 +14.8
  Feb 29, 2020 71   @ UCLA L 64-69 63%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +5.3 -0.2 +5.1
  Mar 05, 2020 122   Washington St. W 83-62 89%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +21.2 +6.0 +13.7
  Mar 07, 2020 56   Washington L 63-69 78%     20 - 11 10 - 8 -0.2 -6.5 +6.4
  Mar 11, 2020 56   Washington W 77-70 68%     21 - 11 +15.8 +4.4 +10.8
Projected Record 21 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 94.9% 94.9% 8.0 1.0 9.9 20.2 32.5 21.8 9.0 0.6 5.1 94.9%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.9% 0.0% 94.9% 8.0 1.0 9.9 20.2 32.5 21.8 9.0 0.6 5.1 94.9%