Nicholls St.
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#246
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#48
Pace71.1#138
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#256
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.3% 25.9% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.1 15.0
.500 or above 61.6% 89.2% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.9% 91.9% 76.4%
Conference Champion 15.4% 33.3% 14.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.3% 1.8%
First Four2.0% 0.7% 2.0%
First Round12.2% 25.6% 11.8%
Second Round0.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 31 - 32 - 7
Quad 413 - 715 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 52   @ Illinois L 70-78 OT 7%     0 - 1 +4.2 -5.7 +10.8
  Nov 09, 2019 84   @ Pittsburgh W 75-70 10%     1 - 1 +14.3 +7.1 +7.2
  Nov 16, 2019 26   @ LSU L 70-90 3%    
  Nov 19, 2019 92   @ Rhode Island L 65-78 11%    
  Nov 22, 2019 323   N.C. A&T W 73-67 71%    
  Nov 24, 2019 204   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 14, 2019 47   @ West Virginia L 72-90 6%    
  Dec 18, 2019 304   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-64 72%    
  Dec 21, 2019 285   @ Abilene Christian L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 02, 2020 347   Incarnate Word W 79-66 88%    
  Jan 04, 2020 183   @ Sam Houston St. L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 08, 2020 281   @ Lamar L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 11, 2020 310   @ SE Louisiana W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 15, 2020 343   Northwestern St. W 78-66 85%    
  Jan 18, 2020 295   Central Arkansas W 81-75 71%    
  Jan 22, 2020 291   Houston Baptist W 86-80 69%    
  Jan 25, 2020 259   @ New Orleans L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 29, 2020 309   @ McNeese St. W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 05, 2020 260   @ Stephen F. Austin L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 08, 2020 183   Sam Houston St. L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 12, 2020 281   Lamar W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 15, 2020 310   SE Louisiana W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 19, 2020 343   @ Northwestern St. W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 22, 2020 295   @ Central Arkansas W 79-78 50%    
  Feb 26, 2020 291   @ Houston Baptist L 82-83 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 259   New Orleans W 74-71 61%    
  Mar 04, 2020 309   McNeese St. W 76-68 73%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 3.9 3.6 2.5 1.1 0.3 15.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 5.0 4.5 2.5 0.6 0.1 14.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 5.0 3.8 1.3 0.2 12.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 4.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.0 3.3 0.7 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.3 0.9 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.3 1.3 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.4 1.4 0.2 5.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.2 0.2 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.7 4.0 5.8 7.6 9.5 10.5 11.4 11.2 10.9 8.6 6.6 4.3 2.5 1.1 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
18-2 97.6% 2.5    2.3 0.2
17-3 85.2% 3.6    2.8 0.8 0.1
16-4 59.0% 3.9    2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0
15-5 31.6% 2.7    1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.6% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 10.0 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 57.1% 57.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
19-1 1.1% 56.0% 56.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5
18-2 2.5% 47.8% 47.8% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3
17-3 4.3% 39.8% 39.8% 14.5 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 2.6
16-4 6.6% 36.2% 36.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.4 4.2
15-5 8.6% 25.9% 25.9% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 6.4
14-6 10.9% 19.9% 19.9% 15.5 0.2 0.8 1.2 8.7
13-7 11.2% 12.6% 12.6% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.8
12-8 11.4% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.1 0.6 10.7
11-9 10.5% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.1
10-10 9.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
9-11 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.5
8-12 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
7-13 4.0% 4.0
6-14 2.7% 2.7
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.8 4.8 86.7 0.0%