Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#68
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#63
Pace62.3#332
Improvement+0.0#180

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#94
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#45
Layup/Dunks+0.4#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#296
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement-1.3#242

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#58
First Shot+6.0#32
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#266
Layups/Dunks+4.2#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#271
Freethrows+2.7#38
Improvement+1.3#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.7% 22.9% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.2% 22.3% 10.5%
Average Seed 9.9 9.9 10.1
.500 or above 89.4% 92.7% 75.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 39.6% 16.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.6% 9.1%
First Four6.6% 7.2% 3.7%
First Round17.2% 19.0% 8.7%
Second Round6.7% 7.5% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 1.9% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Home) - 81.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 12
Quad 34 - 213 - 13
Quad 45 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 15   Florida St. W 63-61 35%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +13.6 +2.3 +11.5
  Nov 09, 2019 209   Nicholls St. L 70-75 89%     1 - 1 -10.8 -3.4 -7.5
  Nov 12, 2019 223   @ Robert Morris W 71-57 79%     2 - 1 +13.1 +8.1 +7.0
  Nov 15, 2019 11   West Virginia L 53-68 33%     2 - 2 -2.8 -5.9 +1.6
  Nov 18, 2019 203   Monmouth W 63-50 89%     3 - 2 +7.5 -3.3 +12.2
  Nov 21, 2019 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-41 98%     4 - 2 +6.9 -1.8 +12.3
  Nov 25, 2019 82   Kansas St. W 63-59 54%     5 - 2 +10.7 -0.7 +11.5
  Nov 27, 2019 100   Northwestern W 72-59 62%     6 - 2 +17.7 +3.1 +14.8
  Dec 03, 2019 32   Rutgers W 71-60 45%     7 - 2 +20.1 +8.0 +12.3
  Dec 06, 2019 6   @ Louisville L 46-64 14%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +1.6 -7.8 +6.0
  Dec 16, 2019 188   Northern Illinois W 59-50 86%     8 - 3 +4.9 -5.7 +11.9
  Dec 20, 2019 335   Binghamton W 79-53 97%     9 - 3 +11.9 -3.6 +15.2
  Dec 30, 2019 234   Canisius W 87-79 91%     10 - 3 +1.1 +9.5 -8.7
  Jan 04, 2020 112   Wake Forest L 65-69 74%     10 - 4 1 - 2 -2.8 -2.9 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2020 69   @ North Carolina W 73-65 40%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +18.4 +4.1 +14.1
  Jan 12, 2020 85   @ Miami (FL) L 58-66 44%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +1.2 -7.4 +7.8
  Jan 14, 2020 6   Louisville L 68-73 OT 27%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +9.0 +0.4 +8.8
  Jan 18, 2020 69   North Carolina W 66-52 61%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +18.8 +1.3 +18.7
  Jan 22, 2020 150   Boston College W 68-59 82%    
  Jan 25, 2020 51   @ Syracuse L 62-67 32%    
  Jan 28, 2020 2   @ Duke L 61-76 7%    
  Feb 02, 2020 85   Miami (FL) W 69-65 66%    
  Feb 05, 2020 55   @ Notre Dame L 63-67 33%    
  Feb 08, 2020 84   Georgia Tech W 65-61 66%    
  Feb 12, 2020 71   Clemson W 62-59 61%    
  Feb 15, 2020 60   @ Virginia Tech L 60-64 36%    
  Feb 18, 2020 15   @ Florida St. L 60-70 18%    
  Feb 22, 2020 46   Virginia L 52-53 50%    
  Feb 26, 2020 51   Syracuse W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 43   @ North Carolina St. L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 04, 2020 84   @ Georgia Tech L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 4.4 1.8 0.1 8.3 5th
6th 0.9 5.3 3.4 0.3 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 3.9 5.9 1.0 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 7.6 2.8 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 5.7 5.7 0.5 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 7.8 1.7 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.7 3.5 0.2 10.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.2 0.6 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.1 1.1 0.0 5.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.1 2.9 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 15th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.2 7.8 13.8 19.0 20.0 16.6 10.8 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 30.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 15.7% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 1.4% 98.6% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.5% 98.4% 8.4% 90.0% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.2%
13-7 2.0% 94.2% 3.9% 90.2% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.9%
12-8 5.3% 80.6% 2.2% 78.4% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 80.1%
11-9 10.8% 58.6% 1.3% 57.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.4 0.2 4.5 58.0%
10-10 16.6% 32.9% 0.9% 32.0% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 3.0 0.6 11.2 32.3%
9-11 20.0% 8.9% 0.5% 8.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 18.2 8.5%
8-12 19.0% 1.7% 0.3% 1.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 18.7 1.4%
7-13 13.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.1%
6-14 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 7.8
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.7% 0.7% 20.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.4 5.1 7.3 1.4 0.0 79.3 20.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%