Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#98
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#140
Pace62.1#336
Improvement-1.7#327

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#125
First Shot-1.6#225
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#35
Layup/Dunks+1.7#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#265
Freethrows+1.4#100
Improvement-1.9#347

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#80
First Shot+3.6#79
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#200
Layups/Dunks+2.3#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#189
Freethrows+1.0#137
Improvement+0.3#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 6.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.2% 6.3% 0.6%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.1
.500 or above 28.6% 29.0% 7.8%
.500 or above in Conference 8.0% 8.2% 1.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 23.4% 23.1% 36.0%
First Four1.4% 1.5% 0.2%
First Round5.4% 5.6% 0.4%
Second Round2.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 97.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 15
Quad 33 - 28 - 17
Quad 45 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 25   Florida St. W 63-61 32%     1 - 0 +11.8 +0.8 +11.1
  Nov 09, 2019 209   Nicholls St. L 70-75 84%     1 - 1 -10.5 -4.5 -6.0
  Nov 12, 2019 283   @ Robert Morris W 71-57 79%     2 - 1 +10.3 +7.4 +4.9
  Nov 15, 2019 45   West Virginia L 53-68 40%     2 - 2 -7.5 -13.1 +4.2
  Nov 18, 2019 269   Monmouth W 63-50 89%     3 - 2 +4.4 -5.2 +11.0
  Nov 21, 2019 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-52 98%    
  Nov 25, 2019 58   Kansas St. L 57-61 35%    
  Dec 03, 2019 92   Rutgers W 66-63 59%    
  Dec 06, 2019 3   @ Louisville L 58-76 5%    
  Dec 16, 2019 156   Northern Illinois W 67-59 76%    
  Dec 20, 2019 336   Binghamton W 74-54 97%    
  Dec 30, 2019 298   Canisius W 75-59 92%    
  Jan 04, 2020 106   Wake Forest W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 08, 2020 6   @ North Carolina L 65-81 8%    
  Jan 12, 2020 49   @ Miami (FL) L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 14, 2020 3   Louisville L 61-73 15%    
  Jan 18, 2020 6   North Carolina L 68-78 20%    
  Jan 22, 2020 97   Boston College W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 25, 2020 61   @ Syracuse L 58-65 27%    
  Jan 28, 2020 2   @ Duke L 60-78 5%    
  Feb 02, 2020 49   Miami (FL) L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 05, 2020 50   @ Notre Dame L 58-66 25%    
  Feb 08, 2020 67   Georgia Tech L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 12, 2020 74   Clemson W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 15, 2020 63   @ Virginia Tech L 57-64 28%    
  Feb 18, 2020 25   @ Florida St. L 60-71 18%    
  Feb 22, 2020 10   Virginia L 50-59 22%    
  Feb 26, 2020 61   Syracuse L 61-62 47%    
  Feb 29, 2020 38   @ North Carolina St. L 67-76 21%    
  Mar 04, 2020 67   @ Georgia Tech L 60-66 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 3.7 1.3 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 8.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 5.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 5.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 12.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.8 5.1 6.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 15.5 13th
14th 0.3 1.6 5.0 5.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 15.2 14th
15th 0.8 2.9 4.8 4.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.6 15th
Total 0.8 3.2 6.6 11.2 13.5 15.2 13.8 12.2 9.3 6.1 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 7.7% 0.0    0.0
15-5 21.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 100.0% 3.8% 96.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 100.0% 3.8% 96.2% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.4% 98.9% 11.5% 87.4% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
12-8 1.2% 90.4% 0.9% 89.6% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 90.3%
11-9 2.2% 65.9% 0.5% 65.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 65.8%
10-10 4.0% 43.4% 0.2% 43.2% 10.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.1 2.3 43.2%
9-11 6.1% 15.0% 0.1% 15.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 5.2 15.0%
8-12 9.3% 4.6% 0.6% 4.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.9 4.0%
7-13 12.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.4%
6-14 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.0%
5-15 15.2% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 15.2
4-16 13.5% 13.5
3-17 11.2% 11.2
2-18 6.6% 6.6
1-19 3.2% 3.2
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 6.3% 0.2% 6.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 93.7 6.2%