LSU
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#32
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#25
Pace73.0#85
Improvement-0.3#194

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#5
First Shot+7.5#10
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#21
Layup/Dunks+3.9#45
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#260
Freethrows+1.5#65
Improvement+0.9#126

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#118
First Shot+0.7#142
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#83
Layups/Dunks+3.3#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#339
Freethrows+3.2#22
Improvement-1.1#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.2% 1.7% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 4.4% 6.2% 1.5%
Top 4 Seed 19.8% 25.9% 9.8%
Top 6 Seed 46.8% 55.3% 32.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.3% 96.9% 89.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.3% 96.3% 88.5%
Average Seed 6.4 6.0 7.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.6% 99.9% 99.1%
Conference Champion 43.5% 53.8% 26.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.2% 0.6% 2.4%
First Round93.6% 96.6% 88.6%
Second Round58.0% 62.2% 50.9%
Sweet Sixteen24.7% 27.9% 19.3%
Elite Eight9.8% 10.9% 7.8%
Final Four3.7% 4.2% 2.8%
Championship Game1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
National Champion0.5% 0.7% 0.2%

Next Game: Alabama (Home) - 62.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 6
Quad 27 - 313 - 9
Quad 36 - 119 - 9
Quad 45 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 147   Bowling Green W 88-79 90%     1 - 0 +7.2 +1.6 +4.5
  Nov 13, 2019 42   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 82-84 44%     1 - 1 +11.6 +9.3 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2019 214   Nicholls St. W 75-65 95%     2 - 1 +3.9 -5.2 +8.2
  Nov 19, 2019 292   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-50 97%     3 - 1 +16.7 -0.8 +17.3
  Nov 22, 2019 55   Utah St. L 78-80 61%     3 - 2 +7.4 +6.2 +1.3
  Nov 24, 2019 59   Rhode Island W 96-83 64%     4 - 2 +21.4 +18.7 +1.3
  Nov 29, 2019 143   Missouri St. W 73-58 89%     5 - 2 +13.5 +10.7 +4.7
  Dec 03, 2019 321   New Orleans W 90-54 98%     6 - 2 +23.3 +5.5 +16.3
  Dec 08, 2019 331   Northwestern St. W 109-59 98%     7 - 2 +36.4 +22.8 +9.9
  Dec 18, 2019 64   East Tennessee St. L 63-74 75%     7 - 3 -6.0 -1.1 -5.9
  Dec 21, 2019 56   USC L 68-70 61%     7 - 4 +7.4 -6.2 +13.8
  Dec 29, 2019 85   Liberty W 74-57 79%     8 - 4 +20.6 +16.1 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2020 44   @ Tennessee W 78-64 45%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +27.4 +21.9 +6.9
  Jan 08, 2020 38   Arkansas W 79-77 64%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +10.5 +12.2 -1.8
  Jan 11, 2020 41   Mississippi St. W 60-59 66%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +9.0 -5.1 +14.2
  Jan 14, 2020 132   @ Texas A&M W 89-85 OT 75%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +9.0 +17.7 -8.9
  Jan 18, 2020 102   @ Mississippi W 80-76 67%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +11.7 +6.1 +5.3
  Jan 21, 2020 22   Florida W 84-82 57%     14 - 4 6 - 0 +12.3 +14.3 -2.0
  Jan 25, 2020 63   @ Texas W 69-67 54%     15 - 4 +13.0 +8.9 +4.3
  Jan 29, 2020 34   Alabama W 86-83 63%    
  Feb 01, 2020 102   Mississippi W 81-71 84%    
  Feb 05, 2020 161   @ Vanderbilt W 83-74 80%    
  Feb 08, 2020 29   @ Auburn L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 11, 2020 79   Missouri W 76-68 79%    
  Feb 15, 2020 34   @ Alabama L 83-85 41%    
  Feb 18, 2020 12   Kentucky W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 22, 2020 88   @ South Carolina W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 26, 2020 22   @ Florida L 72-76 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 132   Texas A&M W 76-63 88%    
  Mar 04, 2020 38   @ Arkansas L 76-78 42%    
  Mar 07, 2020 83   Georgia W 83-74 78%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 4.7 12.8 14.0 8.5 2.9 0.3 43.5 1st
2nd 0.1 3.6 11.4 7.7 1.5 0.1 24.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 7.2 4.4 0.5 13.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.5 4.1 0.5 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.1 0.9 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 1.0 0.0 2.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.8 9.1 16.0 21.0 21.0 15.5 8.6 2.9 0.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 2.9    2.9 0.0
16-2 99.1% 8.5    7.8 0.7
15-3 90.4% 14.0    10.2 3.6 0.2
14-4 60.7% 12.8    5.0 5.9 1.8 0.2
13-5 22.2% 4.7    0.4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.1
12-6 1.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 43.5% 43.5 26.6 11.9 3.7 1.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 100.0% 32.9% 67.1% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
17-1 2.9% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 2.8 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 8.6% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 3.6 0.5 1.4 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 100.0%
15-3 15.5% 99.8% 18.1% 81.7% 4.8 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.8 4.3 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-4 21.0% 99.6% 16.6% 83.0% 6.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.4 5.5 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.1 99.5%
13-5 21.0% 97.6% 13.5% 84.2% 7.1 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.8 6.3 5.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.5 97.3%
12-6 16.0% 92.7% 9.3% 83.4% 8.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.8 4.0 1.6 0.4 1.2 92.0%
11-7 9.1% 84.5% 7.6% 76.9% 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.4 83.3%
10-8 3.8% 62.6% 3.3% 59.3% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.4 61.3%
9-9 1.3% 42.9% 4.7% 38.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8 40.1%
8-10 0.4% 12.4% 3.1% 9.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.6%
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.3% 14.1% 80.2% 6.4 1.2 3.2 5.6 9.8 12.7 14.3 15.8 14.3 10.1 4.9 2.2 0.1 5.7 93.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.8 38.7 41.9 19.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.9 39.2 35.3 25.5