LSU
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#26
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#70
Pace77.9#33
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+9.5#6
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
#1 Seed 3.4% 3.4% 1.1%
Top 2 Seed 8.2% 8.4% 2.0%
Top 4 Seed 20.8% 21.3% 6.3%
Top 6 Seed 35.0% 35.7% 13.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 69.4% 70.2% 43.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.6% 67.4% 41.1%
Average Seed 6.3 6.3 7.5
.500 or above 86.8% 87.5% 63.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.3% 71.9% 50.2%
Conference Champion 10.6% 10.8% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.3% 7.8%
First Four3.6% 3.7% 2.6%
First Round67.6% 68.4% 42.1%
Second Round44.6% 45.3% 22.1%
Sweet Sixteen20.8% 21.1% 8.8%
Elite Eight9.1% 9.3% 2.9%
Final Four3.9% 4.0% 0.8%
Championship Game1.5% 1.5% 0.3%
National Champion0.6% 0.6% 0.3%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 311 - 11
Quad 35 - 117 - 12
Quad 44 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 101   Bowling Green W 88-79 85%     1 - 0 +10.5 +4.2 +5.2
  Nov 13, 2019 42   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 82-84 45%     1 - 1 +11.8 +8.8 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2019 248   Nicholls St. W 90-70 97%    
  Nov 19, 2019 204   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 81-63 95%    
  Nov 22, 2019 23   Utah St. L 79-80 47%    
  Nov 24, 2019 92   Rhode Island W 81-74 74%    
  Nov 29, 2019 142   Missouri St. W 82-68 90%    
  Dec 03, 2019 262   New Orleans W 89-68 97%    
  Dec 08, 2019 343   Northwestern St. W 93-64 99.6%   
  Dec 18, 2019 70   East Tennessee St. W 82-74 76%    
  Dec 21, 2019 59   USC W 84-80 63%    
  Dec 29, 2019 91   Liberty W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 05, 2020 29   @ Tennessee L 78-81 40%    
  Jan 08, 2020 31   Arkansas W 83-80 60%    
  Jan 11, 2020 57   Mississippi St. W 79-72 71%    
  Jan 14, 2020 74   @ Texas A&M W 79-77 58%    
  Jan 18, 2020 51   @ Mississippi L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 21, 2020 22   Florida W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 25, 2020 21   @ Texas L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 29, 2020 52   Alabama W 88-82 69%    
  Feb 01, 2020 51   Mississippi W 82-76 69%    
  Feb 05, 2020 121   @ Vanderbilt W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 08, 2020 33   @ Auburn L 79-81 41%    
  Feb 11, 2020 44   Missouri W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 15, 2020 52   @ Alabama L 84-85 50%    
  Feb 18, 2020 5   Kentucky L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 22, 2020 63   @ South Carolina W 81-79 55%    
  Feb 26, 2020 22   @ Florida L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 74   Texas A&M W 82-74 76%    
  Mar 04, 2020 31   @ Arkansas L 80-83 40%    
  Mar 07, 2020 65   Georgia W 88-80 74%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.2 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.6 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.1 3.3 0.7 0.1 11.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.2 0.5 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 4.3 1.0 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 3.9 1.6 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.6 2.1 0.2 6.7 8th
9th 0.4 2.6 2.7 0.5 6.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.5 2.6 0.9 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.2 0.1 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 3.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.5 5.1 7.4 9.3 10.5 12.1 12.1 11.6 9.5 7.3 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.7% 1.1    1.0 0.1
16-2 89.5% 2.1    1.5 0.6 0.0
15-3 67.4% 3.1    1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.4% 2.9    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
13-5 11.2% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.0 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 70.7% 29.3% 1.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
17-1 1.1% 100.0% 39.3% 60.7% 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.3% 100.0% 36.2% 63.8% 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.6% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 2.5 0.9 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.3% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 3.6 0.6 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 9.5% 99.7% 14.7% 85.0% 4.8 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 11.6% 98.3% 11.0% 87.3% 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.1%
11-7 12.1% 95.7% 7.2% 88.5% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.5 95.4%
10-8 12.1% 83.8% 3.6% 80.2% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.1 2.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.0 83.2%
9-9 10.5% 66.3% 2.0% 64.3% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.5 65.6%
8-10 9.3% 35.9% 1.2% 34.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 35.1%
7-11 7.4% 11.5% 0.7% 10.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 6.6 10.9%
6-12 5.1% 3.1% 0.6% 2.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.9 2.6%
5-13 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.7%
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 69.4% 8.5% 60.9% 6.3 3.4 4.9 5.7 6.9 6.9 7.3 8.2 7.7 7.2 6.1 4.3 0.9 0.0 30.6 66.6%