Illinois
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#54
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#40
Pace75.5#59
Improvement+0.4#119

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#52
First Shot+4.8#68
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#147
Layup/Dunks+1.4#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#280
Freethrows+4.2#21
Improvement-0.5#246

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#71
First Shot-1.3#209
After Offensive Rebounds+5.3#10
Layups/Dunks+1.0#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#162
Freethrows+3.6#27
Improvement+0.9#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.8% 3.9% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 9.9% 10.1% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.2% 34.6% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.1% 33.5% 13.1%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 9.1
.500 or above 69.3% 69.9% 40.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 41.9% 25.7%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 3.6% 9.7%
First Four5.3% 5.3% 3.9%
First Round31.7% 32.1% 12.9%
Second Round16.7% 17.0% 5.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.2% 6.3% 1.9%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 97.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 35 - 112 - 14
Quad 45 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 209   Nicholls St. W 78-70 OT 91%     1 - 0 +2.5 -5.6 +7.2
  Nov 08, 2019 155   @ Grand Canyon W 83-71 72%     2 - 0 +15.2 +6.1 +8.4
  Nov 10, 2019 13   @ Arizona L 69-90 18%     2 - 1 -2.0 -1.2 +1.0
  Nov 18, 2019 206   Hawaii W 66-53 91%     3 - 1 +7.7 -8.8 +16.5
  Nov 20, 2019 307   The Citadel W 96-74 98%    
  Nov 23, 2019 259   Hampton W 89-71 95%    
  Dec 02, 2019 49   Miami (FL) W 78-75 60%    
  Dec 07, 2019 8   @ Maryland L 69-80 17%    
  Dec 11, 2019 31   Michigan W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 14, 2019 111   Old Dominion W 71-62 79%    
  Dec 21, 2019 42   Missouri L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 29, 2019 327   N.C. A&T W 85-62 98%    
  Jan 02, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 68-83 10%    
  Jan 05, 2020 17   Purdue L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 08, 2020 29   @ Wisconsin L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 11, 2020 92   Rutgers W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 18, 2020 136   Northwestern W 74-63 82%    
  Jan 21, 2020 17   @ Purdue L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 25, 2020 31   @ Michigan L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 30, 2020 73   Minnesota W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 02, 2020 64   @ Iowa L 80-82 42%    
  Feb 07, 2020 8   Maryland L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 11, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 71-80 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 92   @ Rutgers W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 18, 2020 22   @ Penn St. L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 24, 2020 139   Nebraska W 78-67 82%    
  Feb 27, 2020 136   @ Northwestern W 71-66 65%    
  Mar 01, 2020 41   Indiana W 77-76 54%    
  Mar 05, 2020 7   @ Ohio St. L 65-76 18%    
  Mar 08, 2020 64   Iowa W 83-79 62%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 2.0 2.2 0.8 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.9 1.4 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 1.9 0.3 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.5 5.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.3 2.1 5.0 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 3.6 1.0 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.0 3.5 0.8 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 7.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.0 6.1 8.7 11.6 12.2 12.8 12.5 10.1 7.5 5.6 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 68.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 46.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 14.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 29.0% 71.0% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 29.4% 70.6% 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.8% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 3.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.7% 99.9% 7.1% 92.8% 4.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 3.1% 98.3% 9.3% 89.0% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.1%
13-7 5.6% 97.7% 4.4% 93.2% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
12-8 7.5% 91.0% 3.2% 87.8% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.7 90.7%
11-9 10.1% 72.1% 2.1% 70.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.8 71.5%
10-10 12.5% 47.0% 1.0% 46.0% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.6 46.5%
9-11 12.8% 17.0% 1.1% 15.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.6 16.1%
8-12 12.2% 5.3% 0.4% 4.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.6 4.9%
7-13 11.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.2%
6-14 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 8.7
5-15 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 6.1
4-16 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 4.0
3-17 2.1% 2.1
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 34.2% 1.7% 32.5% 7.9 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 5.2 1.4 0.0 65.8 33.1%