Illinois
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#29
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#35
Pace69.6#175
Improvement+4.7#18

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#39
First Shot+3.0#84
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#27
Layup/Dunks+4.6#28
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#317
Freethrows+1.9#54
Improvement+1.1#115

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#35
First Shot+4.5#57
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#42
Layups/Dunks+6.8#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#134
Freethrows+4.7#3
Improvement+3.5#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 11.5% 12.7% 4.5%
Top 6 Seed 31.7% 34.1% 17.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.0% 74.0% 54.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 69.7% 72.7% 52.9%
Average Seed 6.9 6.8 7.5
.500 or above 93.9% 95.7% 83.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.0% 81.9% 55.8%
Conference Champion 7.7% 8.6% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four4.2% 4.1% 4.7%
First Round69.2% 72.2% 52.0%
Second Round42.3% 44.5% 29.8%
Sweet Sixteen18.1% 19.4% 10.7%
Elite Eight7.5% 8.2% 4.1%
Final Four3.1% 3.3% 1.5%
Championship Game1.2% 1.3% 0.5%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: Northwestern (Home) - 84.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 10
Quad 23 - 210 - 12
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 205   Nicholls St. W 78-70 OT 94%     1 - 0 +2.3 -4.0 +5.4
  Nov 08, 2019 218   @ Grand Canyon W 83-71 88%     2 - 0 +11.5 +4.4 +6.4
  Nov 10, 2019 14   @ Arizona L 69-90 30%     2 - 1 -3.6 -2.8 +1.1
  Nov 18, 2019 180   Hawaii W 66-53 92%     3 - 1 +9.4 -8.1 +17.6
  Nov 20, 2019 285   The Citadel W 85-57 97%     4 - 1 +18.0 +7.2 +11.4
  Nov 23, 2019 329   Hampton W 120-71 98%     5 - 1 +35.4 +23.5 +6.8
  Dec 02, 2019 87   Miami (FL) L 79-81 79%     5 - 2 +1.4 +8.2 -6.9
  Dec 07, 2019 7   @ Maryland L 58-59 25%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +18.0 +0.5 +17.5
  Dec 11, 2019 19   Michigan W 71-62 55%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +19.7 +5.7 +14.3
  Dec 14, 2019 170   Old Dominion W 69-55 91%     7 - 3 +10.8 +0.8 +10.2
  Dec 21, 2019 66   Missouri L 56-63 65%     7 - 4 +1.0 -8.7 +9.4
  Dec 29, 2019 288   N.C. A&T W 95-64 97%     8 - 4 +20.8 +17.2 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 56-76 20%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +0.8 -8.3 +9.1
  Jan 05, 2020 17   Purdue W 63-37 54%     9 - 5 2 - 2 +37.1 +5.8 +34.6
  Jan 08, 2020 25   @ Wisconsin W 71-70 35%     10 - 5 3 - 2 +17.1 +16.2 +1.0
  Jan 11, 2020 32   Rutgers W 54-51 62%     11 - 5 4 - 2 +11.9 -5.6 +17.8
  Jan 18, 2020 109   Northwestern W 72-61 85%    
  Jan 21, 2020 17   @ Purdue L 61-66 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 19   @ Michigan L 67-71 33%    
  Jan 30, 2020 35   Minnesota W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 02, 2020 18   @ Iowa L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 07, 2020 7   Maryland L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 11, 2020 4   Michigan St. L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 15, 2020 32   @ Rutgers L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 18, 2020 37   @ Penn St. L 71-73 41%    
  Feb 24, 2020 121   Nebraska W 79-67 87%    
  Feb 27, 2020 109   @ Northwestern W 69-64 68%    
  Mar 01, 2020 43   Indiana W 71-67 66%    
  Mar 05, 2020 11   @ Ohio St. L 64-70 28%    
  Mar 08, 2020 18   Iowa W 75-74 54%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 5.3 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 5.4 5.1 0.9 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 6.8 1.6 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 6.4 3.1 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 3.0 6.1 0.5 9.7 6th
7th 0.7 5.9 2.1 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 4.9 0.3 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.3 1.6 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.0 0.1 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 6.5 11.5 16.3 18.2 17.2 13.1 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 98.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 86.2% 1.1    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 68.1% 2.5    1.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 33.5% 2.6    0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-7 8.0% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.7% 7.7 3.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 18.1% 81.9% 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.7% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 3.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 7.8% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 4.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.3 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-7 13.1% 99.5% 7.9% 91.6% 5.6 0.0 0.6 1.5 3.9 3.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.5%
12-8 17.2% 97.8% 5.7% 92.1% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.1 3.7 5.2 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 97.7%
11-9 18.2% 87.8% 2.4% 85.5% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 3.1 4.5 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 2.2 87.5%
10-10 16.3% 58.6% 1.5% 57.1% 9.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.7 58.0%
9-11 11.5% 19.5% 1.1% 18.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 9.3 18.7%
8-12 6.5% 2.6% 0.6% 2.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.4 2.0%
7-13 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
6-14 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.9
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 71.0% 4.5% 66.5% 6.9 0.4 1.2 4.2 5.7 9.5 10.7 11.8 10.3 6.5 5.1 4.8 0.9 0.0 29.0 69.7%