Oral Roberts
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#123
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#156
Pace71.4#123
Improvement+1.1#130

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#43
First Shot+3.1#83
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#31
Layup/Dunks-0.5#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#120
Freethrows+0.2#152
Improvement+4.9#7

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#247
First Shot-3.4#291
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#110
Layups/Dunks-3.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#253
Freethrows+0.5#152
Improvement-3.8#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.3% 34.4% 27.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 92.3% 97.0% 87.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 99.8% 98.8%
Conference Champion 47.7% 61.1% 32.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.9%
First Round31.1% 34.3% 27.6%
Second Round3.7% 4.5% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 34 - 44 - 10
Quad 412 - 116 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 69   @ Oklahoma St. L 75-80 23%     0 - 1 +5.4 -5.7 +12.1
  Nov 08, 2019 344   Houston Baptist W 95-81 96%     1 - 1 -3.3 -15.5 +9.2
  Nov 12, 2019 77   @ Tulsa L 67-74 24%     1 - 2 +3.1 -1.6 +5.0
  Nov 15, 2019 16   @ Iowa L 74-87 10%     1 - 3 +4.2 +3.0 +1.6
  Nov 23, 2019 39   @ Wichita St. L 59-68 15%     1 - 4 +5.0 -2.0 +6.8
  Dec 03, 2019 29   @ Creighton L 60-72 12%     1 - 5 +3.4 -5.7 +8.6
  Dec 17, 2019 353   @ Chicago St. W 97-59 97%     2 - 5 +19.4 +12.4 +6.6
  Dec 21, 2019 144   Missouri St. W 82-72 67%     3 - 5 +8.4 +8.1 +0.1
  Dec 28, 2019 35   @ BYU L 73-79 14%     3 - 6 +8.7 +4.6 +4.2
  Jan 02, 2020 142   @ South Dakota St. L 79-96 44%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -12.6 +9.0 -22.6
  Jan 04, 2020 218   @ Nebraska Omaha L 67-74 62%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -7.4 -1.9 -6.1
  Jan 09, 2020 149   North Dakota St. W 79-73 68%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +4.0 +6.3 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2020 238   North Dakota W 88-73 83%     5 - 8 2 - 2 +7.6 +8.9 -1.5
  Jan 16, 2020 326   @ Western Illinois W 87-70 83%     6 - 8 3 - 2 +9.7 +8.7 +1.2
  Jan 18, 2020 271   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 92-68 72%     7 - 8 4 - 2 +20.8 +16.9 +3.6
  Jan 25, 2020 188   @ South Dakota W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 29, 2020 142   South Dakota St. W 81-77 65%    
  Feb 01, 2020 317   Denver W 84-69 92%    
  Feb 06, 2020 238   @ North Dakota W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 08, 2020 149   @ North Dakota St. L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 12, 2020 218   Nebraska Omaha W 83-74 80%    
  Feb 15, 2020 188   South Dakota W 82-75 74%    
  Feb 20, 2020 317   @ Denver W 81-72 81%    
  Feb 27, 2020 326   Western Illinois W 89-73 93%    
  Feb 29, 2020 271   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-69 87%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 11 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 5.8 18.5 17.7 5.4 47.7 1st
2nd 0.2 5.0 13.6 7.1 0.6 26.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 8.8 4.3 0.2 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.6 2.4 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.4 1.0 0.1 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 7.0 16.6 23.7 25.7 18.3 5.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 5.4    5.4
13-3 96.7% 17.7    13.9 3.7 0.1
12-4 71.8% 18.5    8.4 8.4 1.7 0.0
11-5 24.4% 5.8    0.8 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 47.7% 47.7 28.5 14.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 5.4% 47.4% 47.4% 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.5 2.9
13-3 18.3% 41.1% 41.1% 13.8 0.1 2.2 4.2 1.1 0.0 10.8
12-4 25.7% 35.2% 35.2% 14.4 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.0 0.2 16.7
11-5 23.7% 28.8% 28.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.1 0.7 16.9
10-6 16.6% 22.3% 22.3% 15.2 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.0 12.9
9-7 7.0% 18.8% 18.8% 15.5 0.7 0.7 5.7
8-8 2.7% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.4
7-9 0.6% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11 0.0% 0.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 31.3% 31.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.9 4.5 10.8 12.3 2.9 68.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.6% 100.0% 12.9 1.2 27.9 52.7 18.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%