Tulsa
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#143
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#126
Pace69.9#177
Improvement-0.5#244

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#204
First Shot-2.9#256
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#84
Layup/Dunks+1.7#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.6#345
Freethrows+3.2#39
Improvement+0.1#151

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#110
First Shot+3.0#91
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#236
Layups/Dunks+7.3#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#251
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-0.6#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.3% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.8
.500 or above 46.8% 48.9% 21.7%
.500 or above in Conference 27.8% 28.8% 16.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 11.2% 19.2%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 92.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 22 - 63 - 11
Quad 35 - 47 - 16
Quad 49 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 296   Houston Baptist W 80-72 87%     1 - 0 -2.7 -7.4 +4.2
  Nov 09, 2019 109   @ Texas Arlington L 59-73 31%     1 - 1 -7.6 -5.6 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2019 180   Oral Roberts W 74-67 70%     2 - 1 +2.8 -5.9 +8.3
  Nov 16, 2019 240   Austin Peay W 72-65 79%     3 - 1 -0.2 -7.3 +7.2
  Nov 20, 2019 310   SE Louisiana W 73-66 90%     4 - 1 -5.5 -8.7 +2.7
  Nov 27, 2019 327   South Carolina St. W 78-63 92%    
  Nov 30, 2019 114   @ Vanderbilt L 67-72 33%    
  Dec 04, 2019 341   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-57 95%    
  Dec 07, 2019 234   Arkansas St. W 76-68 78%    
  Dec 11, 2019 111   Boise St. W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 14, 2019 27   @ Arkansas L 64-78 9%    
  Dec 21, 2019 164   Colorado St. W 71-69 55%    
  Dec 29, 2019 60   @ Kansas St. L 56-67 16%    
  Jan 03, 2020 89   Temple L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 08, 2020 25   @ Cincinnati L 60-75 10%    
  Jan 11, 2020 45   Houston L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 15, 2020 238   @ East Carolina W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 18, 2020 214   @ Tulane W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 22, 2020 23   Memphis L 72-81 21%    
  Jan 26, 2020 75   @ Connecticut L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 01, 2020 53   Wichita St. L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 06, 2020 75   Connecticut L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 09, 2020 117   @ Central Florida L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 12, 2020 238   East Carolina W 74-66 77%    
  Feb 15, 2020 142   @ South Florida L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 19, 2020 45   @ Houston L 63-75 14%    
  Feb 22, 2020 93   SMU L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 25, 2020 214   Tulane W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 29, 2020 117   Central Florida W 67-66 55%    
  Mar 04, 2020 89   @ Temple L 66-73 26%    
  Mar 08, 2020 53   @ Wichita St. L 62-73 17%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.4 2.0 0.2 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.1 4.0 0.5 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.9 4.5 0.7 0.0 15.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.1 3.7 0.7 0.0 14.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.7 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.8 9.3 12.2 14.1 14.1 12.7 10.2 7.6 4.8 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 72.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 40.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 76.9% 15.4% 61.5% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.7%
15-3 0.2% 56.0% 12.1% 44.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 50.0%
14-4 0.6% 32.7% 9.7% 23.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 25.5%
13-5 1.4% 15.2% 6.4% 8.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 9.5%
12-6 3.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.8 1.8%
11-7 4.8% 2.9% 2.4% 0.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6 0.5%
10-8 7.6% 1.4% 1.3% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.2%
9-9 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.1
8-10 12.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6 0.0%
7-11 14.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 14.1
5-13 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
3-15 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8 0.5%