Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#339
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#332
Pace66.8#249
Improvement-2.1#273

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#343
First Shot-7.4#343
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#249
Layup/Dunks-1.9#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#92
Freethrows-5.2#353
Improvement+0.8#128

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#299
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#298
Layups/Dunks+0.2#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#294
Freethrows+1.0#125
Improvement-2.9#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 7.7% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 41.0% 20.5% 44.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Away) - 13.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 44 - 126 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 111   @ Western Kentucky L 64-76 5%     0 - 1 -5.1 -8.1 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2019 114   Wright St. L 80-85 OT 11%     0 - 2 -4.1 -0.4 -3.2
  Nov 15, 2019 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 30-64 3%     0 - 3 -24.6 -35.2 +10.0
  Nov 16, 2019 194   Appalachian St. L 47-69 16%     0 - 4 -24.0 -18.8 -8.7
  Nov 17, 2019 236   Montana St. L 39-52 21%     0 - 5 -17.2 -31.2 +12.4
  Nov 21, 2019 141   @ Winthrop W 61-58 6%     1 - 5 +7.5 -10.1 +17.7
  Nov 25, 2019 265   Lipscomb L 65-78 35%     1 - 6 -21.8 -13.2 -8.6
  Dec 08, 2019 207   @ Ohio L 54-81 12%     1 - 7 -27.0 -18.2 -9.7
  Dec 17, 2019 265   @ Lipscomb L 60-78 18%     1 - 8 -21.0 -16.9 -3.7
  Dec 21, 2019 154   Western Carolina L 76-89 16%     1 - 9 -15.0 -6.1 -8.2
  Dec 29, 2019 101   @ Mississippi L 63-80 4%     1 - 10 -9.4 -5.9 -3.7
  Jan 02, 2020 323   @ Eastern Kentucky L 59-74 30%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -22.2 -15.7 -6.6
  Jan 04, 2020 290   @ Morehead St. L 72-83 22%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -15.5 +0.1 -16.1
  Jan 09, 2020 172   Austin Peay L 62-75 19%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -16.3 -16.7 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2020 124   Murray St. L 69-81 13%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -12.2 -1.4 -11.4
  Jan 16, 2020 336   @ SIU Edwardsville W 72-69 38%     2 - 14 1 - 4 -6.4 -12.3 +5.7
  Jan 18, 2020 226   @ Eastern Illinois L 61-73 13%    
  Jan 23, 2020 290   Morehead St. L 65-67 42%    
  Jan 25, 2020 323   Eastern Kentucky W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 30, 2020 88   Belmont L 62-78 7%    
  Feb 01, 2020 232   Tennessee St. L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 06, 2020 297   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 08, 2020 331   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 13, 2020 235   Jacksonville St. L 62-68 30%    
  Feb 15, 2020 232   @ Tennessee St. L 63-74 14%    
  Feb 20, 2020 297   Tennessee Martin L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 331   Southeast Missouri St. W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 27, 2020 88   @ Belmont L 59-81 2%    
  Feb 29, 2020 235   @ Jacksonville St. L 59-70 15%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 1.7 0.2 4.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.2 3.3 7.1 1.9 0.1 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 4.8 10.4 4.3 0.3 0.0 20.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 6.7 11.9 6.3 0.5 26.8 11th
12th 2.3 7.7 9.9 4.8 0.6 0.0 25.2 12th
Total 2.3 9.0 17.1 21.6 20.8 14.8 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 1.4% 1.4
8-10 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
7-11 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
6-12 14.8% 14.8
5-13 20.8% 20.8
4-14 21.6% 21.6
3-15 17.1% 17.1
2-16 9.0% 9.0
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%