Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#306
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#263
Pace65.1#296
Improvement+0.3#132

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#342
First Shot-8.6#342
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#172
Layup/Dunks-0.9#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#218
Freethrows-5.6#348
Improvement+0.1#147

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#181
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#331
Layups/Dunks+2.2#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#136
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+0.3#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.4
.500 or above 2.4% 4.7% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 21.5% 14.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 24.2% 19.5% 27.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 37.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 46 - 98 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 78   @ Western Kentucky L 64-76 5%     0 - 1 -2.2 -6.2 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2019 106   Wright St. L 80-85 OT 18%     0 - 2 -4.4 -1.2 -2.7
  Nov 15, 2019 90   @ UNC Greensboro L 30-64 6%     0 - 3 -25.4 -34.6 +8.5
  Nov 16, 2019 181   Appalachian St. L 47-69 23%     0 - 4 -23.3 -17.6 -9.1
  Nov 17, 2019 203   Montana St. L 39-52 26%     0 - 5 -15.4 -29.8 +12.7
  Nov 21, 2019 170   @ Winthrop W 61-58 14%     1 - 5 +5.5 -8.8 +14.4
  Nov 25, 2019 213   Lipscomb L 64-67 37%    
  Dec 08, 2019 168   @ Ohio L 58-70 14%    
  Dec 17, 2019 213   @ Lipscomb L 61-70 20%    
  Dec 21, 2019 159   Western Carolina L 65-71 29%    
  Dec 29, 2019 47   @ Mississippi L 53-75 2%    
  Jan 02, 2020 265   @ Eastern Kentucky L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 04, 2020 211   @ Morehead St. L 60-69 20%    
  Jan 09, 2020 240   Austin Peay L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 11, 2020 113   Murray St. L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 16, 2020 328   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 18, 2020 187   @ Eastern Illinois L 60-70 18%    
  Jan 23, 2020 211   Morehead St. L 63-66 38%    
  Jan 25, 2020 265   Eastern Kentucky L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 30, 2020 59   Belmont L 63-78 9%    
  Feb 01, 2020 243   Tennessee St. L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 06, 2020 290   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 08, 2020 304   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 13, 2020 226   Jacksonville St. L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 15, 2020 243   @ Tennessee St. L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 20, 2020 290   Tennessee Martin W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 22, 2020 304   Southeast Missouri St. W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 27, 2020 59   @ Belmont L 60-81 3%    
  Feb 29, 2020 226   @ Jacksonville St. L 60-69 23%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.1 0.8 0.1 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.6 2.1 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.4 2.9 0.2 0.0 13.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.7 3.8 0.4 0.0 14.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.5 6.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 17.1 11th
12th 0.6 2.5 4.6 4.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 15.4 12th
Total 0.6 2.6 5.9 9.9 12.6 14.6 14.3 12.7 10.0 7.3 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 31.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 15.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 17.1% 17.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 6.5% 6.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 5.0% 5.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
10-8 4.7% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
9-9 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-10 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
7-11 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 14.3% 14.3
5-13 14.6% 14.6
4-14 12.6% 12.6
3-15 9.9% 9.9
2-16 5.9% 5.9
1-17 2.6% 2.6
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%