Ohio
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#158
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#35
Pace72.5#106
Improvement-1.7#329

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#209
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#193
Layup/Dunks+1.7#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#60
Freethrows-4.7#341
Improvement-0.3#212

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#132
First Shot+3.0#89
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#271
Layups/Dunks+3.3#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#94
Freethrows-3.5#317
Improvement-1.4#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 9.7% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.6 11.9 12.7
.500 or above 52.4% 77.6% 49.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.3% 62.7% 43.4%
Conference Champion 5.0% 10.1% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 5.8% 12.4%
First Four0.3% 1.1% 0.2%
First Round4.5% 9.1% 4.0%
Second Round0.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Neutral) - 9.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 36 - 68 - 13
Quad 46 - 214 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 143   @ St. Bonaventure W 65-53 35%     1 - 0 +16.3 +3.0 +14.8
  Nov 13, 2019 198   @ Iona W 81-72 47%     2 - 0 +9.9 +0.8 +8.4
  Nov 16, 2019 14   @ Villanova L 54-78 6%     2 - 1 -5.7 -9.8 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2019 19   Baylor L 68-82 10%    
  Nov 30, 2019 284   Detroit Mercy W 80-70 82%    
  Dec 08, 2019 322   Tennessee Tech W 72-58 90%    
  Dec 17, 2019 16   Purdue L 62-73 16%    
  Dec 21, 2019 213   Morehead St. W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 29, 2019 262   Campbell W 74-65 78%    
  Jan 04, 2020 241   @ Western Michigan W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 07, 2020 193   Eastern Michigan W 66-61 67%    
  Jan 11, 2020 99   Bowling Green L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 14, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 75-82 27%    
  Jan 18, 2020 193   @ Eastern Michigan L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 21, 2020 87   Toledo L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 25, 2020 134   Akron W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 28, 2020 160   @ Northern Illinois L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 01, 2020 101   @ Ball St. L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 161   Miami (OH) W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 11, 2020 241   Western Michigan W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 15, 2020 120   @ Kent St. L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 18, 2020 132   Central Michigan W 83-82 53%    
  Feb 22, 2020 99   @ Bowling Green L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 25, 2020 104   Buffalo L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 120   Kent St. W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 03, 2020 134   @ Akron L 66-71 34%    
  Mar 06, 2020 161   @ Miami (OH) L 70-73 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.3 0.9 0.1 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 1.4 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 4.8 1.8 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.6 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 4.2 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.0 7.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.4 5.8 8.4 10.6 11.7 12.2 11.7 10.2 8.3 6.5 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 79.8% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 59.5% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 29.5% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 72.2% 36.1% 36.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 56.5%
16-2 0.5% 47.4% 28.2% 19.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 26.7%
15-3 1.3% 31.5% 23.0% 8.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 11.1%
14-4 2.5% 21.9% 18.5% 3.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 4.1%
13-5 4.1% 16.3% 15.6% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.4 0.9%
12-6 6.5% 12.9% 12.9% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 5.6
11-7 8.3% 8.7% 8.6% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.6 0.1%
10-8 10.2% 4.6% 4.6% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.7
9-9 11.7% 2.9% 2.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.4
8-10 12.2% 1.2% 1.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 11.7% 0.9% 0.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
4-14 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 5.8
3-15 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.4
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.7% 4.3% 0.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 95.3 0.4%