Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#212
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#326
Pace80.5#23
Improvement-0.2#216

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#259
First Shot+0.5#153
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#314
Layup/Dunks-0.7#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#284
Freethrows+1.7#82
Improvement-0.9#310

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#168
First Shot+0.8#145
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#235
Layups/Dunks-1.6#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#45
Freethrows-1.2#239
Improvement+0.7#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 11.8% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 31.3% 54.2% 25.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.0% 83.8% 67.6%
Conference Champion 7.8% 11.4% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 2.4% 4.0%
First Four2.0% 2.3% 1.9%
First Round7.3% 11.1% 6.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Home) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 410 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 164   Middle Tennessee L 70-73 52%     0 - 1 -6.4 -11.2 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2019 242   @ Tennessee St. L 78-79 44%     0 - 2 -2.3 +0.6 -2.8
  Nov 15, 2019 97   @ Duquesne L 36-58 16%     0 - 3 -14.0 -32.2 +18.1
  Nov 20, 2019 63   Belmont L 79-87 21%    
  Nov 22, 2019 269   @ Navy L 69-70 49%    
  Nov 25, 2019 319   @ Tennessee Tech W 70-65 66%    
  Nov 30, 2019 35   @ Xavier L 64-81 6%    
  Dec 03, 2019 63   @ Belmont L 76-90 9%    
  Dec 17, 2019 319   Tennessee Tech W 73-62 82%    
  Dec 20, 2019 79   @ Vermont L 63-76 13%    
  Dec 29, 2019 24   @ Auburn L 69-88 5%    
  Jan 02, 2020 338   @ Stetson W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 04, 2020 290   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 09, 2020 331   Kennesaw St. W 80-69 83%    
  Jan 11, 2020 300   North Alabama W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 16, 2020 184   @ NJIT L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 80   @ Liberty L 62-75 14%    
  Jan 23, 2020 272   Jacksonville W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 152   North Florida L 79-80 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 338   Stetson W 80-68 85%    
  Feb 06, 2020 300   @ North Alabama W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 08, 2020 331   @ Kennesaw St. W 77-72 69%    
  Feb 13, 2020 184   NJIT W 74-72 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 290   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 20, 2020 272   @ Jacksonville W 71-70 49%    
  Feb 22, 2020 152   @ North Florida L 77-83 32%    
  Feb 29, 2020 80   Liberty L 65-72 27%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.2 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.1 7.8 1st
2nd 0.8 2.4 5.8 5.0 2.3 0.5 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 5.6 7.9 5.7 1.4 0.1 21.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 5.8 8.2 3.9 0.5 0.1 19.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.4 4.5 1.5 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.2 0.9 4.3 3.3 0.4 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.9 0.4 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.4 3.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.3 1.7 9th
Total 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.6 4.8 8.8 10.2 11.6 16.1 14.3 12.6 7.7 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
14-2 78.1% 1.8    1.2 0.7
13-3 56.4% 3.1    1.3 1.5 0.2
12-4 15.4% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3
11-5 5.8% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 3.6 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.8% 37.2% 37.2% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-2 2.4% 30.8% 30.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6
13-3 5.5% 23.4% 23.4% 14.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 4.2
12-4 7.7% 23.1% 23.1% 14.8 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.3 5.9
11-5 12.6% 10.8% 10.8% 15.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 11.3
10-6 14.3% 7.1% 7.1% 15.7 0.3 0.7 13.3
9-7 16.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.9 0.1 0.8 15.2
8-8 11.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 11.2
7-9 10.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.0
6-10 8.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-11 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-12 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-13 1.2% 1.2
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.6 91.8 0.0%