Mississippi
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#102
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#107
Pace69.5#169
Improvement-4.5#333

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#117
First Shot+3.5#74
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#279
Layup/Dunks-0.7#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#232
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement-2.0#281

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#95
First Shot-0.2#169
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#7
Layups/Dunks+1.8#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#78
Freethrows-2.3#307
Improvement-2.5#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.9 10.7 11.1
.500 or above 25.2% 41.4% 17.3%
.500 or above in Conference 3.3% 7.3% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 5.5% 16.4%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Home) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 63 - 11
Quad 22 - 55 - 16
Quad 32 - 17 - 18
Quad 48 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 197   Arkansas St. W 71-43 83%     1 - 0 +22.8 -5.9 +29.0
  Nov 12, 2019 262   Norfolk St. W 68-55 89%     2 - 0 +4.5 -5.6 +10.4
  Nov 15, 2019 231   Western Michigan W 85-58 86%     3 - 0 +20.0 +3.2 +15.3
  Nov 19, 2019 194   Seattle W 65-52 82%     4 - 0 +8.0 -4.7 +13.7
  Nov 23, 2019 54   @ Memphis L 86-87 23%     4 - 1 +11.4 +11.1 +0.4
  Nov 27, 2019 24   Penn St. W 74-72 22%     5 - 1 +15.0 +2.1 +12.7
  Nov 29, 2019 68   Oklahoma St. L 37-78 39%     5 - 2 -33.3 -32.5 +1.8
  Dec 03, 2019 21   Butler L 58-67 30%     5 - 3 +1.3 -4.0 +4.5
  Dec 07, 2019 233   Cal St. Bakersfield W 83-67 86%     6 - 3 +9.0 +17.8 -6.7
  Dec 14, 2019 286   Middle Tennessee W 82-64 91%     7 - 3 +8.2 +3.9 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2019 328   SE Louisiana W 83-76 91%     8 - 3 -3.4 +8.8 -12.0
  Dec 29, 2019 339   Tennessee Tech W 80-63 96%     9 - 3 +1.6 +2.1 -0.4
  Jan 04, 2020 40   @ Wichita St. L 54-74 19%     9 - 4 -6.1 -6.8 -0.1
  Jan 07, 2020 132   @ Texas A&M L 47-57 49%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -5.0 -14.2 +7.7
  Jan 11, 2020 38   Arkansas L 72-76 36%     9 - 6 0 - 2 +4.5 +2.1 +2.5
  Jan 14, 2020 22   @ Florida L 55-71 14%     9 - 7 0 - 3 +0.1 -4.7 +3.2
  Jan 18, 2020 32   LSU L 76-80 33%     9 - 8 0 - 4 +5.3 -1.4 +6.9
  Jan 21, 2020 44   @ Tennessee L 48-73 21%     9 - 9 0 - 5 -11.6 -11.8 -2.0
  Jan 25, 2020 83   @ Georgia W 70-60 32%     10 - 9 1 - 5 +19.5 +5.6 +14.6
  Jan 28, 2020 29   Auburn L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 32   @ LSU L 71-81 16%    
  Feb 05, 2020 88   South Carolina W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 22   Florida L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 11, 2020 41   Mississippi St. L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 15, 2020 12   @ Kentucky L 63-76 12%    
  Feb 18, 2020 79   @ Missouri L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 22, 2020 34   Alabama L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 25, 2020 29   @ Auburn L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 29, 2020 161   Vanderbilt W 76-68 77%    
  Mar 04, 2020 79   Missouri W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 07, 2020 41   @ Mississippi St. L 64-73 20%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 6th
7th 0.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.8 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.8 0.2 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.7 1.3 0.0 12.3 10th
11th 0.9 5.8 9.2 2.8 0.1 18.8 11th
12th 0.0 1.4 7.4 11.2 4.5 0.3 0.0 24.9 12th
13th 0.1 2.2 8.5 10.3 4.2 0.4 0.0 25.7 13th
14th 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.6 14th
Total 0.7 4.2 12.0 19.4 21.9 19.4 12.3 6.8 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 55.8% 14.0% 41.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48.6%
10-8 0.7% 27.8% 1.9% 25.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 26.3%
9-9 2.4% 12.4% 0.5% 11.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1 12.0%
8-10 6.8% 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.6 1.1%
7-11 12.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.1%
6-12 19.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 19.3
5-13 21.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 21.9
4-14 19.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 19.4
3-15 12.0% 12.0
2-16 4.2% 4.2
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 99.1 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%