Mississippi
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#51
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#147
Pace70.3#169
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#49
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#64
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 6.2% 6.5% 1.3%
Top 6 Seed 13.7% 14.3% 3.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.8% 44.2% 19.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.5% 41.8% 19.0%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 8.6
.500 or above 75.9% 77.5% 49.6%
.500 or above in Conference 49.4% 50.5% 30.8%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.1% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 6.3% 12.5%
First Four4.5% 4.6% 3.4%
First Round40.6% 41.9% 18.5%
Second Round23.1% 23.8% 11.5%
Sweet Sixteen8.8% 9.1% 3.6%
Elite Eight3.4% 3.6% 1.1%
Final Four1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 94.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 24 - 39 - 12
Quad 33 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 283   Arkansas St. W 71-43 95%     1 - 0 +18.2 -6.7 +25.3
  Nov 12, 2019 310   Norfolk St. W 68-55 97%     2 - 0 +0.6 -8.1 +8.9
  Nov 15, 2019 237   Western Michigan W 82-65 94%    
  Nov 19, 2019 240   Seattle W 78-61 94%    
  Nov 23, 2019 20   @ Memphis L 77-84 26%    
  Nov 27, 2019 25   Penn St. L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 03, 2019 39   Butler W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 07, 2019 213   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-61 92%    
  Dec 14, 2019 162   Middle Tennessee W 77-64 88%    
  Dec 21, 2019 319   SE Louisiana W 81-61 96%    
  Dec 29, 2019 297   Tennessee Tech W 82-61 96%    
  Jan 04, 2020 66   @ Wichita St. L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 07, 2020 74   @ Texas A&M L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 11, 2020 31   Arkansas W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 14, 2020 22   @ Florida L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 18, 2020 26   LSU W 80-79 50%    
  Jan 21, 2020 29   @ Tennessee L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 25, 2020 65   @ Georgia L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 28, 2020 33   Auburn W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 01, 2020 26   @ LSU L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 05, 2020 63   South Carolina W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 08, 2020 22   Florida L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 11, 2020 57   Mississippi St. W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 15, 2020 5   @ Kentucky L 64-76 15%    
  Feb 18, 2020 44   @ Missouri L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 22, 2020 52   Alabama W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 25, 2020 33   @ Auburn L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 121   Vanderbilt W 76-66 81%    
  Mar 04, 2020 44   Missouri W 70-68 59%    
  Mar 07, 2020 57   @ Mississippi St. L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 2.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.4 3.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 4.6 1.5 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.6 2.6 0.2 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.7 0.6 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.2 1.0 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.0 1.8 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.4 1.9 0.2 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 5.3 7.8 9.8 11.2 11.6 12.0 10.9 9.3 6.7 4.9 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 82.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 66.3% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 39.2% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 46.7% 53.3% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 25.4% 74.6% 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.6% 100.0% 19.5% 80.5% 3.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.0% 99.8% 14.2% 85.7% 4.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 4.9% 99.4% 15.0% 84.3% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
12-6 6.7% 97.1% 10.3% 86.8% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.8%
11-7 9.3% 88.9% 6.9% 82.1% 8.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.0 88.1%
10-8 10.9% 74.4% 3.0% 71.4% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.3 0.3 2.8 73.6%
9-9 12.0% 49.4% 2.3% 47.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.7 0.5 6.1 48.2%
8-10 11.6% 23.9% 1.3% 22.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.2 8.8 22.9%
7-11 11.2% 5.6% 0.4% 5.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.6 5.2%
6-12 9.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.6 0.9%
5-13 7.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.1%
4-14 5.3% 5.3
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 42.8% 3.9% 38.9% 7.6 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.6 3.9 5.1 5.8 6.0 5.9 5.2 1.2 0.0 57.2 40.5%