Weber St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#279
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#295
Pace68.2#214
Improvement+4.1#36

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#266
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#336
Layup/Dunks-1.8#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#74
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#130
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+2.6#57

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#276
First Shot-4.7#320
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#86
Layups/Dunks-3.7#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows+3.1#24
Improvement+1.4#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 2.2% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.1% 22.7% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 3.3% 11.1%
First Four1.0% 1.8% 0.9%
First Round0.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 112 - 15
Quad 47 - 69 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 55   @ Utah St. L 34-89 5%     0 - 1 -42.7 -30.0 -16.3
  Nov 14, 2019 200   San Diego L 56-71 45%     0 - 2 -20.4 -15.5 -5.1
  Nov 25, 2019 105   Wright St. L 57-72 15%     0 - 3 -10.4 -11.1 -0.1
  Nov 26, 2019 120   Murray St. L 68-69 18%     0 - 4 +2.0 -0.6 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2019 129   Northeastern L 69-79 20%     0 - 5 -7.8 -3.3 -4.8
  Dec 04, 2019 258   @ Utah Valley W 72-67 35%     1 - 5 +2.5 -5.1 +7.2
  Dec 14, 2019 109   Utah L 49-60 15%     1 - 6 -6.7 -17.6 +9.5
  Dec 21, 2019 35   @ BYU L 61-91 4%     1 - 7 -15.5 -9.7 -4.5
  Dec 28, 2019 171   Eastern Washington L 77-79 37%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -5.3 -1.6 -3.6
  Dec 30, 2019 330   Idaho W 69-68 75%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -12.5 -9.5 -3.0
  Jan 04, 2020 208   @ Northern Arizona L 64-72 26%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -8.0 -2.8 -6.2
  Jan 09, 2020 130   Northern Colorado L 64-65 29%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -1.8 -7.5 +5.7
  Jan 11, 2020 220   @ Sacramento St. L 57-71 28%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -14.7 +0.1 -17.8
  Jan 16, 2020 316   @ Idaho St. W 76-68 OT 50%     3 - 11 2 - 4 +1.5 -7.6 +8.4
  Jan 20, 2020 219   @ Portland St. L 76-92 28%     3 - 12 2 - 5 -16.6 -7.6 -7.6
  Jan 23, 2020 236   Montana St. L 61-62 52%     3 - 13 2 - 6 -8.2 -17.1 +9.0
  Jan 25, 2020 185   Montana W 87-85 OT 40%     4 - 13 3 - 6 -2.0 +7.6 -9.7
  Jan 30, 2020 144   @ Southern Utah L 62-73 15%    
  Feb 01, 2020 130   @ Northern Colorado L 61-73 14%    
  Feb 06, 2020 220   Sacramento St. L 61-62 50%    
  Feb 08, 2020 208   Northern Arizona L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 13, 2020 185   @ Montana L 64-72 22%    
  Feb 15, 2020 236   @ Montana St. L 66-71 31%    
  Feb 22, 2020 144   Southern Utah L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 29, 2020 219   Portland St. L 74-75 50%    
  Mar 02, 2020 316   Idaho St. W 72-66 70%    
  Mar 05, 2020 330   @ Idaho W 67-66 54%    
  Mar 07, 2020 171   @ Eastern Washington L 72-81 19%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.2 0.7 0.2 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 2.7 0.2 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.5 5.4 1.4 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 5.5 9.5 3.7 0.2 19.8 8th
9th 0.3 4.2 12.4 14.1 5.4 0.4 36.9 9th
10th 0.2 2.9 7.3 6.6 1.8 0.2 19.1 10th
11th 0.7 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.1 11th
Total 1.0 5.1 12.7 20.0 21.9 18.8 12.3 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 16.2% 16.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.5% 11.9% 11.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-9 1.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 1.9
10-10 5.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.5
9-11 12.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.1
8-12 18.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 18.6
7-13 21.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 21.7
6-14 20.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 19.9
5-15 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.7
4-16 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-17 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%