Western Illinois
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#330
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#330
Pace76.8#33
Improvement-1.3#232

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#253
First Shot-0.8#204
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#295
Layup/Dunks-3.6#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#97
Freethrows-1.5#285
Improvement-3.2#322

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#344
First Shot-8.3#350
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#154
Layups/Dunks-7.7#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#263
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+1.9#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.2% 8.8% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.1% 13.0% 32.9%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 92 - 11
Quad 44 - 95 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 43   @ Indiana L 65-98 2%     0 - 1 -19.4 -3.4 -14.2
  Nov 09, 2019 320   Stetson L 75-77 58%     0 - 2 -14.8 -0.8 -14.1
  Nov 13, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin L 91-98 51%     0 - 3 -17.8 +2.6 -20.2
  Nov 20, 2019 190   Northern Illinois L 81-86 27%     0 - 4 -9.3 +7.3 -16.7
  Nov 26, 2019 99   @ Ball St. W 69-62 5%     1 - 4 +14.7 +0.1 +14.4
  Nov 30, 2019 241   @ UMKC L 67-68 20%     1 - 5 -2.6 -7.3 +4.6
  Dec 04, 2019 246   @ Evansville L 86-90 20%     1 - 6 -5.9 +0.0 -5.3
  Dec 16, 2019 226   Eastern Illinois L 47-85 35%     1 - 7 -44.7 -30.3 -13.8
  Dec 29, 2019 203   South Dakota W 82-75 31%     2 - 7 1 - 0 +1.3 -4.8 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2020 156   @ North Dakota St. L 74-94 10%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -16.3 -0.9 -14.8
  Jan 04, 2020 131   @ South Dakota St. L 56-91 8%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -30.0 -19.2 -9.4
  Jan 08, 2020 242   Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-77 38%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -15.5 -9.8 -5.5
  Jan 11, 2020 328   Denver W 86-80 60%     3 - 10 2 - 3 -7.4 -0.2 -7.7
  Jan 16, 2020 139   Oral Roberts L 70-87 19%     3 - 11 2 - 4 -18.2 -6.9 -11.4
  Jan 23, 2020 196   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-85 14%    
  Jan 25, 2020 234   @ North Dakota L 75-84 18%    
  Jan 30, 2020 156   North Dakota St. L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 01, 2020 131   South Dakota St. L 74-84 18%    
  Feb 05, 2020 242   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-81 19%    
  Feb 12, 2020 203   @ South Dakota L 74-85 16%    
  Feb 15, 2020 234   North Dakota L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 196   Nebraska Omaha L 77-82 31%    
  Feb 27, 2020 139   @ Oral Roberts L 74-89 8%    
  Feb 29, 2020 328   @ Denver L 76-79 39%    
Projected Record 5 - 19 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.4 0.2 7.1 6th
7th 0.2 3.2 8.2 5.7 0.8 0.0 18.1 7th
8th 3.9 16.9 21.7 11.0 1.9 0.0 55.4 8th
9th 6.5 6.7 2.0 0.1 15.4 9th
Total 10.4 23.9 26.9 20.3 11.5 4.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 46.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.1
9-7 0.5% 0.5
8-8 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
7-9 4.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-10 11.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.4
5-11 20.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 20.2
4-12 26.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 26.8
3-13 23.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.8
2-14 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.2%