Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#328
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#91
Pace72.4#112
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#281
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.8
.500 or above 7.6% 18.2% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 14.8% 24.2% 12.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 35.2% 23.2% 38.4%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 48 - 119 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 312   @ Western Illinois W 77-75 33%     1 - 0 -4.5 +1.9 -6.3
  Nov 16, 2019 265   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-86 21%    
  Nov 18, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 55-86 0.2%   
  Nov 22, 2019 196   Iona L 75-84 20%    
  Nov 23, 2019 254   Monmouth L 70-76 28%    
  Nov 24, 2019 183   Western Carolina L 76-83 27%    
  Nov 30, 2019 119   @ Kent St. L 67-84 7%    
  Dec 03, 2019 339   Bethune-Cookman W 80-76 64%    
  Dec 07, 2019 327   @ VMI L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 15, 2019 238   Longwood L 75-79 36%    
  Dec 17, 2019 277   @ UNC Asheville L 71-79 24%    
  Dec 22, 2019 166   Florida International L 80-88 25%    
  Dec 30, 2019 63   @ South Carolina L 65-87 3%    
  Jan 02, 2020 194   Lipscomb L 78-84 30%    
  Jan 04, 2020 332   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 11, 2020 279   Florida Gulf Coast L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 16, 2020 309   @ North Alabama L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 302   @ Jacksonville L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 23, 2020 191   NJIT L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 91   Liberty L 61-75 11%    
  Jan 30, 2020 154   @ North Florida L 72-86 11%    
  Feb 01, 2020 194   @ Lipscomb L 75-87 15%    
  Feb 06, 2020 279   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 13, 2020 309   North Alabama W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 332   Kennesaw St. W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 20, 2020 191   @ NJIT L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 22, 2020 91   @ Liberty L 58-78 5%    
  Feb 27, 2020 154   North Florida L 75-83 24%    
  Feb 29, 2020 302   Jacksonville L 77-78 50%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.4 3.6 6.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.3 7.3 3.7 0.6 0.0 17.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 7.4 7.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 21.7 8th
9th 2.0 6.6 8.2 5.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 24.4 9th
Total 2.0 6.8 11.0 14.0 15.1 14.4 12.4 9.6 6.9 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 54.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1
12-4 28.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 0.2% 0.2
12-4 0.6% 11.4% 11.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-5 1.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
10-6 2.1% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 2.0
9-7 3.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
8-8 6.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 6.7
7-9 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.6
6-10 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-11 14.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
4-12 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
3-13 14.0% 14.0
2-14 11.0% 11.0
1-15 6.8% 6.8
0-16 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%