Indiana
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#40
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#21
Pace70.3#148
Improvement-3.1#298

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#54
First Shot+2.0#111
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#30
Layup/Dunks+5.2#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#327
Freethrows+4.3#3
Improvement-4.8#350

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#33
First Shot+7.0#26
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#213
Layups/Dunks+1.5#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#96
Freethrows+1.4#91
Improvement+1.8#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.1% 2.3% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 9.0% 15.9% 5.4%
Top 6 Seed 27.9% 42.3% 20.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 68.2% 83.5% 60.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.4% 82.9% 59.2%
Average Seed 7.2 6.6 7.6
.500 or above 98.1% 99.8% 97.2%
.500 or above in Conference 46.5% 64.5% 36.8%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four5.9% 4.6% 6.6%
First Round65.3% 81.0% 56.8%
Second Round36.9% 48.8% 30.6%
Sweet Sixteen14.0% 19.5% 11.1%
Elite Eight5.3% 7.5% 4.1%
Final Four1.9% 2.8% 1.4%
Championship Game0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Home) - 35.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 37 - 11
Quad 24 - 111 - 13
Quad 34 - 015 - 13
Quad 45 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 332   Western Illinois W 98-65 98%     1 - 0 +19.6 +10.6 +7.3
  Nov 09, 2019 221   Portland St. W 85-74 94%     2 - 0 +4.7 +6.6 -1.7
  Nov 12, 2019 288   North Alabama W 91-65 96%     3 - 0 +15.8 +11.5 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2019 264   Troy W 100-62 95%     4 - 0 +29.4 +14.4 +11.6
  Nov 20, 2019 176   Princeton W 79-54 90%     5 - 0 +21.7 +8.6 +15.0
  Nov 25, 2019 87   Louisiana Tech W 88-75 77%     6 - 0 +16.4 +3.5 +10.9
  Nov 30, 2019 134   South Dakota St. W 64-50 86%     7 - 0 +13.3 -11.6 +24.9
  Dec 03, 2019 15   Florida St. W 80-64 48%     8 - 0 +27.6 +15.1 +12.6
  Dec 07, 2019 24   @ Wisconsin L 64-84 32%     8 - 1 0 - 1 -4.1 +8.7 -15.3
  Dec 10, 2019 78   Connecticut W 57-54 65%     9 - 1 +10.0 -8.8 +18.9
  Dec 13, 2019 120   Nebraska W 96-90 OT 84%     10 - 1 1 - 1 +6.2 +8.8 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2019 55   Notre Dame W 62-60 57%     11 - 1 +11.3 -1.1 +12.6
  Dec 29, 2019 39   Arkansas L 64-71 60%     11 - 2 +1.4 -1.9 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2020 7   @ Maryland L 59-75 22%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +3.1 -0.8 +3.7
  Jan 08, 2020 100   Northwestern W 66-62 80%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +5.9 -4.7 +10.7
  Jan 11, 2020 14   Ohio St. W 66-54 47%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +23.9 +1.1 +23.1
  Jan 15, 2020 32   @ Rutgers L 50-59 36%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +5.7 -10.4 +15.9
  Jan 18, 2020 120   @ Nebraska W 82-74 69%     14 - 4 4 - 3 +13.8 +5.5 +7.7
  Jan 23, 2020 4   Michigan St. L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 26, 2020 7   Maryland L 65-67 42%    
  Jan 29, 2020 30   @ Penn St. L 71-75 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 14   @ Ohio St. L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 19   Purdue L 62-63 50%    
  Feb 13, 2020 16   Iowa L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 16, 2020 22   @ Michigan L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 19, 2020 35   @ Minnesota L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 23, 2020 30   Penn St. W 73-72 56%    
  Feb 27, 2020 19   @ Purdue L 59-65 29%    
  Mar 01, 2020 34   @ Illinois L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 04, 2020 35   Minnesota W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 07, 2020 24   Wisconsin W 62-61 53%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.0 1.0 0.2 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.6 4.8 1.3 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 3.1 4.3 0.2 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 6.6 1.3 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 3.5 5.3 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 7.2 1.7 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 5.2 5.3 0.3 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.8 1.5 0.0 12.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 4.4 6.2 2.6 0.1 14.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.3 1.8 5.7 10.9 16.2 18.5 17.7 13.5 8.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 65.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 33.3% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 10.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.6% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.8% 100.0% 12.1% 87.9% 3.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7 4.5% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 4.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 100.0%
12-8 8.4% 100.0% 5.3% 94.7% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.0 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-9 13.5% 99.6% 3.1% 96.5% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.9 4.2 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.6%
10-10 17.7% 97.2% 1.9% 95.3% 7.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.1 4.8 4.3 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.5 97.2%
9-11 18.5% 81.6% 1.4% 80.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.8 3.8 3.6 2.6 0.3 3.4 81.4%
8-12 16.2% 38.8% 1.0% 37.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 3.0 0.9 0.0 9.9 38.2%
7-13 10.9% 7.3% 0.4% 6.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 10.1 6.9%
6-14 5.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.6%
5-15 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 1.8
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 68.2% 2.5% 65.8% 7.2 0.2 0.9 3.0 4.9 8.4 10.5 10.4 8.9 7.6 5.8 6.3 1.4 0.0 31.8 67.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%