Indiana
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#35
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#120
Pace69.6#183
Improvement+0.9#79

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#29
First Shot+6.0#44
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#130
Layup/Dunks+7.7#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#308
Freethrows+4.2#17
Improvement+0.4#104

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#55
First Shot+3.9#74
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#123
Layups/Dunks+2.9#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#137
Freethrows-1.8#275
Improvement+0.4#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 2.7% 3.2% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 10.6% 12.2% 4.6%
Top 6 Seed 23.2% 25.9% 12.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.3% 60.3% 40.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 54.8% 58.8% 39.3%
Average Seed 7.1 6.9 7.8
.500 or above 86.0% 89.4% 72.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 61.7% 47.7%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.0% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.4% 2.7%
First Four4.5% 4.5% 4.6%
First Round54.1% 58.1% 38.2%
Second Round33.5% 36.4% 21.7%
Sweet Sixteen14.3% 16.0% 7.6%
Elite Eight6.2% 7.1% 2.8%
Final Four2.5% 2.9% 1.0%
Championship Game1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 79.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 311   Western Illinois W 98-65 98%     1 - 0 +20.5 +9.5 +9.2
  Nov 09, 2019 286   Portland St. W 85-74 97%     2 - 0 +1.3 +6.0 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2019 297   North Alabama W 91-65 97%     3 - 0 +15.2 +10.5 +3.6
  Nov 16, 2019 295   Troy W 100-62 97%     4 - 0 +27.5 +13.1 +10.9
  Nov 20, 2019 210   Princeton W 79-54 94%     5 - 0 +19.4 +8.8 +12.5
  Nov 25, 2019 89   Louisiana Tech W 74-65 80%    
  Nov 30, 2019 229   South Dakota St. W 85-67 95%    
  Dec 03, 2019 20   Florida St. W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 07, 2019 29   @ Wisconsin L 63-67 36%    
  Dec 10, 2019 84   Connecticut W 78-72 70%    
  Dec 13, 2019 137   Nebraska W 77-64 88%    
  Dec 21, 2019 52   Notre Dame W 69-67 58%    
  Dec 29, 2019 28   Arkansas W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 04, 2020 7   @ Maryland L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 08, 2020 136   Northwestern W 73-60 88%    
  Jan 11, 2020 6   Ohio St. L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 15, 2020 91   @ Rutgers W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 18, 2020 137   @ Nebraska W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 23, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 26, 2020 7   Maryland L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 29, 2020 22   @ Penn St. L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 6   @ Ohio St. L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 08, 2020 16   Purdue W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 13, 2020 64   Iowa W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 16, 2020 31   @ Michigan L 66-70 38%    
  Feb 19, 2020 73   @ Minnesota W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 23, 2020 22   Penn St. W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 27, 2020 16   @ Purdue L 66-71 32%    
  Mar 01, 2020 49   @ Illinois L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 04, 2020 73   Minnesota W 74-66 75%    
  Mar 07, 2020 29   Wisconsin W 66-64 57%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.5 2.2 0.2 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.3 5.3 7.8 10.2 11.6 12.6 12.4 10.9 8.7 6.5 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 93.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
17-3 66.3% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 39.2% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 23.4% 76.6% 1.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.0% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.2% 100.0% 15.7% 84.3% 2.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.1% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 3.9 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 6.5% 99.9% 8.5% 91.3% 5.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 8.7% 98.5% 6.0% 92.6% 6.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.4%
12-8 10.9% 94.9% 3.9% 91.0% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.4 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.6 94.7%
11-9 12.4% 84.2% 2.5% 81.8% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.3 0.1 2.0 83.8%
10-10 12.6% 62.9% 1.4% 61.6% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.7 62.4%
9-11 11.6% 30.8% 0.9% 29.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.0 30.2%
8-12 10.2% 9.6% 0.7% 9.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.3 9.0%
7-13 7.8% 2.3% 0.3% 1.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.7 1.9%
6-14 5.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 5.3 0.2%
5-15 3.3% 3.3
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 56.3% 3.3% 53.0% 7.1 0.9 1.8 3.5 4.4 5.9 6.7 7.2 7.4 6.5 5.8 5.3 1.0 0.0 43.7 54.8%