Evansville
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#130
Expected Predictive Rating+30.8#1
Pace72.3#117
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#171
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 18.4% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.5% 5.5% 1.7%
Average Seed 11.7 11.4 12.3
.500 or above 72.8% 83.6% 62.0%
.500 or above in Conference 62.4% 70.3% 54.5%
Conference Champion 14.2% 17.9% 10.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 5.8% 11.4%
First Four2.3% 3.3% 1.3%
First Round12.9% 16.7% 9.0%
Second Round2.8% 4.1% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Home) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 4
Quad 38 - 710 - 10
Quad 47 - 217 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 113   Ball St. W 79-75 58%     1 - 0 +3.9 +1.8 +1.9
  Nov 12, 2019 5   @ Kentucky W 67-64 4%     2 - 0 +24.6 +7.1 +17.5
  Nov 18, 2019 97   SMU L 69-70 50%    
  Nov 22, 2019 217   East Carolina W 74-69 68%    
  Nov 30, 2019 255   @ IUPUI W 75-71 63%    
  Dec 04, 2019 306   Western Illinois W 79-65 89%    
  Dec 07, 2019 156   Miami (OH) W 76-71 67%    
  Dec 14, 2019 166   @ Green Bay L 80-81 47%    
  Dec 16, 2019 213   @ Jacksonville St. W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 21, 2019 115   Murray St. W 74-72 59%    
  Dec 31, 2019 141   @ Missouri St. L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 04, 2020 184   Valparaiso W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 08, 2020 111   Bradley W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 11, 2020 139   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 15, 2020 147   @ Indiana St. L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 18, 2020 141   Missouri St. W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 22, 2020 140   Drake W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 26, 2020 184   @ Valparaiso W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 29, 2020 163   @ Illinois St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 98   Northern Iowa W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 05, 2020 207   Southern Illinois W 69-62 73%    
  Feb 09, 2020 111   @ Bradley L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 12, 2020 139   Loyola Chicago W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 16, 2020 140   @ Drake L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 20, 2020 207   @ Southern Illinois W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 23, 2020 147   Indiana St. W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 26, 2020 98   @ Northern Iowa L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 29, 2020 163   Illinois St. W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 14.2 1st
2nd 0.3 2.5 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.6 5.0 3.2 0.7 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.5 2.9 0.5 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 2.7 0.4 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 2.6 0.6 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.2 5.0 7.2 8.8 10.5 11.5 11.3 11.2 10.0 7.3 5.0 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 97.3% 1.8    1.7 0.1
15-3 88.0% 3.0    2.4 0.6 0.0
14-4 71.0% 3.5    2.5 1.0 0.1
13-5 41.5% 3.0    1.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 16.5% 1.7    0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1
11-7 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 9.1 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.7% 86.8% 64.7% 22.1% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 62.5%
16-2 1.8% 69.9% 35.0% 35.0% 10.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 53.8%
15-3 3.4% 56.6% 32.6% 24.0% 11.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.5 35.7%
14-4 5.0% 40.8% 26.6% 14.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.1 2.9 19.5%
13-5 7.3% 25.7% 20.6% 5.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.4 6.4%
12-6 10.0% 20.6% 18.0% 2.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 8.0 3.2%
11-7 11.2% 13.4% 12.6% 0.8% 12.5 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 9.7 0.9%
10-8 11.3% 9.8% 9.7% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 0.1%
9-9 11.5% 7.7% 7.7% 13.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.6
8-10 10.5% 4.0% 4.0% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.1
7-11 8.8% 1.9% 1.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.6
6-12 7.2% 1.3% 1.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.1
5-13 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 1.9
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.2% 11.0% 3.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.7 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 85.9 3.5%