Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#244
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#214
Pace72.1#115
Improvement+0.6#136

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#236
First Shot+1.9#134
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#335
Layup/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement+0.2#154

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#246
First Shot-0.7#193
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#292
Layups/Dunks-6.3#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#58
Freethrows+1.1#124
Improvement+0.4#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 7.4% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 45.5% 68.5% 39.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.7% 59.3% 26.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 3.3% 13.6%
First Four1.1% 0.7% 1.2%
First Round4.0% 6.9% 3.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 21.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 33 - 33 - 7
Quad 48 - 511 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 11, 2020 274   Marist W 81-72 64%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +0.3 +6.6 -6.3
  Dec 12, 2020 274   Marist L 52-56 64%     1 - 1 1 - 1 -12.7 -22.6 +9.9
  Dec 27, 2020 155   @ Monmouth L 66-84 25%     1 - 2 1 - 2 -16.0 -11.3 -3.3
  Dec 28, 2020 155   @ Monmouth L 69-97 25%     1 - 3 1 - 3 -26.0 -10.7 -12.2
  Jan 01, 2021 177   St. Peter's W 70-58 42%     2 - 3 2 - 3 +8.9 -0.2 +9.1
  Jan 02, 2021 177   St. Peter's W 63-60 42%     3 - 3 3 - 3 -0.1 -0.2 +0.5
  Jan 08, 2021 155   @ Monmouth L 76-83 21%    
  Jan 09, 2021 155   @ Monmouth L 76-83 22%    
  Jan 22, 2021 314   @ Fairfield W 67-64 57%    
  Jan 23, 2021 314   @ Fairfield W 67-64 57%    
  Jan 30, 2021 277   Quinnipiac W 70-66 67%    
  Jan 31, 2021 277   Quinnipiac W 70-66 67%    
  Feb 12, 2021 295   @ Rider W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 13, 2021 295   @ Rider W 75-74 49%    
  Feb 19, 2021 299   Manhattan W 66-61 71%    
  Feb 20, 2021 299   Manhattan W 66-61 71%    
  Feb 26, 2021 139   @ Siena L 68-76 19%    
  Feb 27, 2021 139   @ Siena L 68-76 19%    
  Feb 27, 2021 187   Iona L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 28, 2021 187   Iona L 71-72 49%    
  Mar 05, 2021 247   @ Niagara L 69-71 40%    
  Mar 06, 2021 247   @ Niagara L 69-71 40%    
Projected Record 11 - 11 9 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.5 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.6 6.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 16.1 5th
6th 0.4 4.9 7.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.2 3.3 7.9 3.1 0.4 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 6.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.5 4.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.2 2.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.4 1.7 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.4 11th
Total 0.4 1.9 5.4 10.2 14.7 17.2 16.6 14.1 9.5 6.1 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 23.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.2% 29.8% 29.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 1.1% 23.4% 23.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9
13-7 2.6% 19.2% 19.2% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.1
12-8 6.1% 13.0% 13.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 5.3
11-9 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 8.6
10-10 14.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 13.2
9-11 16.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 16.0
8-12 17.2% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 16.7
7-13 14.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.5
6-14 10.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.1
5-15 5.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-16 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.0 95.3 0.0%