Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#278
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#283
Pace71.5#136
Improvement-0.9#227

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#328
First Shot-4.2#282
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#335
Layup/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#202
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement-1.5#271

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#149
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#102
Layups/Dunks-2.5#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement+0.6#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 21.8% 30.2% 12.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.0% 9.6% 1.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.7% 24.5% 50.8%
First Four1.2% 1.4% 0.9%
First Round1.6% 2.2% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 49 - 610 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-66 67%     1 - 0 +6.2 -1.1 +6.5
  Dec 02, 2020 171   Drexel L 48-66 27%     1 - 1 -18.8 -24.0 +4.5
  Dec 03, 2020 171   Drexel L 58-70 27%     1 - 2 -12.8 -9.4 -4.8
  Dec 06, 2020 227   New Hampshire W 64-58 45%     2 - 2 +0.0 -17.1 +16.6
  Jan 08, 2021 297   Manhattan W 84-79 2OT 61%     3 - 2 1 - 0 -5.1 -4.8 -1.3
  Jan 09, 2021 297   Manhattan L 42-45 61%     3 - 3 1 - 1 -13.1 -26.4 +13.0
  Jan 15, 2021 161   @ Monmouth L 80-92 OT 19%     3 - 4 1 - 2 -10.0 -15.8 +9.4
  Jan 16, 2021 161   @ Monmouth L 63-70 19%     3 - 5 1 - 3 -5.0 -11.4 +6.7
  Jan 22, 2021 245   Niagara L 65-66 54%    
  Jan 23, 2021 245   Niagara L 65-66 54%    
  Jan 27, 2021 275   @ Marist L 61-63 38%    
  Jan 30, 2021 244   @ Canisius L 66-70 33%    
  Jan 31, 2021 244   @ Canisius L 66-70 32%    
  Feb 03, 2021 187   Iona L 66-69 43%    
  Feb 10, 2021 275   @ Marist L 61-63 38%    
  Feb 10, 2021 187   Iona L 66-69 43%    
  Feb 12, 2021 313   @ Fairfield W 62-61 50%    
  Feb 13, 2021 313   @ Fairfield W 62-61 49%    
  Feb 19, 2021 293   Rider W 71-68 63%    
  Feb 19, 2021 142   @ Siena L 62-73 15%    
  Feb 20, 2021 293   Rider W 71-68 63%    
  Feb 20, 2021 142   @ Siena L 62-73 15%    
  Mar 05, 2021 177   St. Peter's L 61-65 40%    
  Mar 06, 2021 177   St. Peter's L 61-65 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 14 6 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 3.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 4.9 1.6 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 6.1 3.2 0.3 11.4 7th
8th 0.9 6.3 4.5 0.7 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.6 5.6 6.6 1.3 0.1 14.2 9th
10th 0.4 4.4 7.8 2.2 0.1 14.9 10th
11th 1.0 3.9 7.7 8.0 2.4 0.1 0.0 23.2 11th
Total 1.0 3.9 8.1 13.1 16.7 17.1 15.0 11.7 7.2 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 19.3% 19.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.5% 14.1% 14.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-9 1.8% 12.4% 12.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
10-10 3.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.4
9-11 7.2% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.1 0.4 6.7
8-12 11.7% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 11.2
7-13 15.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.7
6-14 17.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.0
5-15 16.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.6
4-16 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.1
3-17 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
2-18 3.9% 3.9
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%