Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#280
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#290
Pace69.9#180
Improvement+1.8#72

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#211
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#229
Layup/Dunks-2.8#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#292
Freethrows-1.1#245
Improvement-1.2#249

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#316
First Shot-5.7#322
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#184
Layups/Dunks-4.3#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#302
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement+3.0#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.2% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 1.6% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 14.5% 16.7%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
First Round0.7% 0.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 47 - 88 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 05, 2020 45   @ Syracuse L 52-87 4%     0 - 1 -22.2 -17.6 -3.8
  Dec 08, 2020 80   @ St. John's L 79-82 7%     0 - 2 +5.9 +9.5 -3.6
  Dec 11, 2020 295   @ Manhattan W 82-64 46%     1 - 2 1 - 0 +11.5 +9.2 +1.9
  Dec 12, 2020 295   @ Manhattan L 77-87 46%     1 - 3 1 - 1 -16.5 +6.1 -22.6
  Dec 18, 2020 188   Iona L 56-70 37%     1 - 4 1 - 2 -18.0 -15.3 -3.6
  Dec 19, 2020 188   Iona L 64-72 37%     1 - 5 1 - 3 -12.0 -6.9 -5.6
  Dec 23, 2020 242   NJIT L 66-81 48%     1 - 6 -21.9 -9.3 -12.6
  Jan 01, 2021 313   @ Fairfield W 70-62 53%     2 - 6 2 - 3 -0.3 -1.2 +1.3
  Jan 02, 2021 313   @ Fairfield L 56-72 53%     2 - 7 2 - 4 -24.3 -12.0 -14.2
  Jan 08, 2021 239   @ Niagara W 76-70 34%     3 - 7 3 - 4 +2.9 +11.5 -7.8
  Jan 09, 2021 239   @ Niagara L 55-66 34%     3 - 8 3 - 5 -14.1 -13.5 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2021 153   Siena L 69-78 27%     3 - 9 3 - 6 -10.1 -4.6 -5.7
  Jan 16, 2021 153   Siena L 72-74 27%     3 - 10 3 - 7 -3.1 -6.1 +3.0
  Jan 22, 2021 286   Marist W 76-64 58%     4 - 10 4 - 7 +2.5 +1.8 +0.8
  Jan 23, 2021 286   Marist W 68-66 62%    
  Feb 06, 2021 167   @ St. Peter's L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 07, 2021 167   @ St. Peter's L 64-73 19%    
  Feb 12, 2021 244   Canisius L 74-75 53%    
  Feb 13, 2021 244   Canisius L 74-75 52%    
  Feb 19, 2021 283   @ Quinnipiac L 68-70 38%    
  Feb 20, 2021 283   @ Quinnipiac L 68-70 38%    
  Mar 05, 2021 162   Monmouth L 77-83 33%    
  Mar 06, 2021 162   Monmouth L 77-83 35%    
Projected Record 8 - 15 6 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 1.2 0.1 3.7 5th
6th 0.3 4.6 4.1 1.0 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 4.6 11.4 2.9 0.1 19.1 7th
8th 2.0 13.4 7.0 0.3 0.0 22.7 8th
9th 1.1 10.7 10.0 1.3 23.1 9th
10th 5.1 10.1 1.9 0.0 17.1 10th
11th 2.7 0.8 0.0 3.5 11th
Total 8.9 23.6 30.2 24.5 9.7 2.7 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.3% 20.6% 20.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
9-11 2.7% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.2 2.5
8-12 9.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 9.4
7-13 24.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 24.2
6-14 30.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 30.0
5-15 23.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.6
4-16 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%