Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#193
Pace84.5#4
Improvement+0.8#115

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#169
First Shot+3.1#88
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#312
Layup/Dunks-0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#111
Freethrows+1.5#87
Improvement-1.5#274

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#167
First Shot+4.2#57
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#342
Layups/Dunks+1.0#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#82
Freethrows-1.2#258
Improvement+2.4#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.6% 25.5% 20.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 98.8% 99.4% 96.6%
.500 or above in Conference 98.1% 97.6% 99.9%
Conference Champion 65.7% 70.1% 49.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 3.0%
First Round23.5% 24.8% 18.8%
Second Round1.4% 1.6% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 78.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 32 - 5
Quad 418 - 420 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 15, 2020 173   Hofstra L 88-96 61%     0 - 1 -10.7 +2.4 -12.1
  Dec 18, 2020 177   St. Peter's W 78-76 63%     1 - 1 1 - 0 -1.1 -3.0 +1.6
  Dec 19, 2020 177   St. Peter's L 76-78 63%     1 - 2 1 - 1 -5.1 +1.0 -6.0
  Dec 27, 2020 244   Canisius W 84-66 75%     2 - 2 2 - 1 +11.0 +0.8 +8.8
  Dec 28, 2020 244   Canisius W 97-69 75%     3 - 2 3 - 1 +21.0 +9.6 +8.2
  Jan 03, 2021 142   @ Siena L 77-78 38%     3 - 3 3 - 2 +2.3 -1.8 +4.2
  Jan 04, 2021 142   @ Siena L 62-76 38%     3 - 4 3 - 3 -10.7 -12.8 +2.5
  Jan 08, 2021 244   Canisius W 83-76 78%    
  Jan 09, 2021 275   Marist W 80-64 80%     4 - 4 4 - 3 +7.2 +7.7 +0.0
  Jan 09, 2021 244   Canisius W 83-76 78%    
  Jan 10, 2021 275   Marist W 72-62 80%     5 - 4 5 - 3 +1.2 -5.2 +6.0
  Jan 15, 2021 278   Quinnipiac W 92-80 OT 81%     6 - 4 6 - 3 +3.0 -8.4 +7.8
  Jan 16, 2021 278   Quinnipiac W 70-63 81%     7 - 4 7 - 3 -2.0 -5.7 +3.4
  Jan 22, 2021 297   @ Manhattan W 72-65 70%    
  Jan 23, 2021 297   @ Manhattan W 72-65 70%    
  Jan 29, 2021 187   @ Iona W 78-77 48%    
  Jan 29, 2021 313   Fairfield W 77-65 89%    
  Jan 30, 2021 187   @ Iona W 78-77 48%    
  Jan 30, 2021 313   Fairfield W 77-65 89%    
  Feb 05, 2021 275   Marist W 76-67 83%    
  Feb 06, 2021 275   Marist W 76-67 83%    
  Feb 12, 2021 245   @ Niagara W 77-73 59%    
  Feb 13, 2021 245   @ Niagara W 77-73 59%    
  Feb 19, 2021 313   Fairfield W 77-65 89%    
  Feb 20, 2021 313   Fairfield W 77-65 89%    
  Mar 05, 2021 293   @ Rider W 83-77 68%    
  Mar 06, 2021 293   @ Rider W 83-77 68%    
Projected Record 19 - 8 17 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.0 8.6 13.8 15.9 12.7 7.1 63.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 5.2 7.4 7.6 5.5 2.6 0.5 32.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.5 6.8 11.5 16.2 19.3 18.5 13.2 7.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 7.1    6.9 0.3
19-1 96.0% 12.7    11.3 1.4
18-2 85.8% 15.9    12.8 3.1
17-3 71.7% 13.8    10.2 3.6 0.0
16-4 53.4% 8.6    5.7 3.0 0.0
15-5 35.0% 4.0    2.2 1.7 0.1 0.0
14-6 19.6% 1.3    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-7 7.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.4% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 63.8% 63.8 49.5 13.9 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 7.1% 37.6% 37.6% 13.7 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.5
19-1 13.2% 32.0% 32.0% 14.2 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.3 0.1 9.0
18-2 18.5% 28.2% 28.2% 14.6 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.5 0.4 13.3
17-3 19.3% 24.0% 24.0% 15.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.0 14.6
16-4 16.2% 20.0% 20.0% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.3 13.0
15-5 11.5% 17.4% 17.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 9.5
14-6 6.8% 14.5% 14.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.8
13-7 3.5% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 3.1
12-8 1.3% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
11-9 0.6% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.1 0.5
10-10 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.6% 23.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 2.0 6.9 9.2 5.4 76.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 12.7 0.3 2.5 4.7 31.1 46.9 13.9 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%