Temple
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#122
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#85
Pace71.2#137
Improvement+1.7#87

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#172
First Shot+1.2#143
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#247
Layup/Dunks-5.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#117
Freethrows+2.4#38
Improvement+0.6#126

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#88
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#69
Layups/Dunks+2.6#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#250
Freethrows+3.1#17
Improvement+1.1#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.9 11.8 13.1
.500 or above 42.6% 49.2% 18.6%
.500 or above in Conference 13.0% 15.8% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.1% 11.1%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Home) - 78.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 35 - 27 - 10
Quad 43 - 09 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 19, 2020 247   NJIT W 72-60 84%     1 - 0 +4.9 -3.7 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2020 7   @ Houston L 50-76 8%     1 - 1 0 - 1 -6.6 -9.7 +2.2
  Dec 30, 2020 57   SMU L 71-79 31%     1 - 2 0 - 2 +0.6 -0.8 +1.5
  Jan 11, 2021 57   @ SMU L 68-79 21%     1 - 3 0 - 3 +0.9 +2.1 -1.7
  Jan 14, 2021 98   Central Florida W 62-55 50%     2 - 3 1 - 3 +10.5 -3.2 +14.2
  Jan 16, 2021 188   @ Tulane W 65-57 64%     3 - 3 2 - 3 +7.6 -4.3 +12.0
  Jan 23, 2021 7   Houston L 51-68 12%     3 - 4 2 - 4 -1.0 -8.1 +5.7
  Jan 26, 2021 91   Tulsa W 76-67 47%     4 - 4 3 - 4 +13.2 +7.4 +5.7
  Jan 31, 2021 188   Tulane W 70-63 78%    
  Feb 04, 2021 87   @ Cincinnati L 68-73 29%    
  Feb 07, 2021 68   @ Wichita St. L 67-74 23%    
  Feb 11, 2021 158   East Carolina W 70-65 71%    
  Feb 13, 2021 158   East Carolina W 70-65 71%    
  Feb 17, 2021 91   @ Tulsa L 63-67 31%    
  Feb 21, 2021 51   @ Memphis L 65-74 17%    
  Feb 24, 2021 104   South Florida W 66-65 56%    
  Feb 27, 2021 98   @ Central Florida L 66-69 33%    
  Mar 06, 2021 68   Wichita St. L 69-72 43%    
Projected Record 9 - 9 8 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.6 3.6 0.4 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 8.6 7.0 1.0 0.0 19.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 9.2 9.0 1.6 0.0 21.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 7.4 8.6 2.1 0.1 19.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 6.1 1.8 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.5 2.9 8.6 16.2 21.9 21.5 15.5 8.8 3.3 0.8 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 3.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 79.6% 14.0% 65.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.3%
12-8 0.8% 39.3% 8.2% 31.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 33.9%
11-9 3.3% 12.6% 3.9% 8.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 9.0%
10-10 8.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.4 1.1%
9-11 15.5% 1.7% 1.6% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.2 0.2%
8-12 21.5% 0.8% 0.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 21.3
7-13 21.9% 0.5% 0.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.8
6-14 16.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 16.2
5-15 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-16 2.9% 2.9
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.8% 1.0% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.2 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 90.0% 8.6 25.0 25.0 30.0 10.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 74.1% 9.7 7.4 25.9 22.2 18.5
Lose Out 0.4%