Hawaii
Big West
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#222
Pace68.2#217
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#125
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#57
Layup/Dunks-0.7#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#216
Freethrows+3.5#22
Improvement+1.9#26

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#260
First Shot-4.7#311
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#59
Layups/Dunks-4.3#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#280
Freethrows-2.1#289
Improvement-1.8#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 8.0% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.5 14.6
.500 or above 45.1% 67.1% 41.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.8% 71.7% 56.4%
Conference Champion 4.2% 8.1% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.8% 4.3%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round5.0% 7.8% 4.4%
Second Round0.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 49 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 179   Northern Colorado L 78-81 60%     0 - 1 -6.7 -2.3 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2021 188   Pacific W 73-61 62%     1 - 1 +7.8 +0.3 +7.6
  Nov 25, 2021 250   Illinois-Chicago W 88-80 64%     2 - 1 +3.2 +16.3 -12.9
  Nov 26, 2021 157   South Alabama L 69-72 43%     2 - 2 -2.3 -1.1 -1.3
  Nov 30, 2021 77   @ Santa Clara L 71-82 15%    
  Dec 23, 2021 80   Vanderbilt L 67-75 23%    
  Dec 31, 2021 214   UC Davis W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 02, 2022 132   UC Riverside L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 06, 2022 192   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 08, 2022 288   @ Long Beach St. W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 14, 2022 70   UC Irvine L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 16, 2022 187   UC San Diego W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 20, 2022 203   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 315   @ Cal Poly W 71-66 65%    
  Jan 28, 2022 297   Cal St. Northridge W 75-65 80%    
  Jan 30, 2022 95   UC Santa Barbara L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 03, 2022 132   @ UC Riverside L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 214   @ UC Davis L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 11, 2022 288   Long Beach St. W 83-74 78%    
  Feb 13, 2022 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 17, 2022 187   @ UC San Diego L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 19, 2022 70   @ UC Irvine L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 25, 2022 315   Cal Poly W 74-63 81%    
  Feb 27, 2022 203   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-65 63%    
  Mar 04, 2022 95   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-75 20%    
  Mar 05, 2022 297   @ Cal St. Northridge W 72-68 62%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.8 4.4 3.0 0.9 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.5 2.6 0.7 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.5 5.1 2.3 0.4 13.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 4.6 5.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.7 1.4 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.7 2.9 0.8 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 3.6 5.6 8.0 9.5 10.7 12.0 11.5 11.0 8.8 6.7 4.5 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 78.4% 0.9    0.6 0.3
16-4 51.8% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.0
15-5 21.3% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1
14-6 5.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 44.0% 42.0% 2.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3.4%
17-3 1.2% 25.9% 25.9% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.5% 25.5% 25.5% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.8
15-5 4.5% 17.3% 17.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 3.7
14-6 6.7% 9.7% 9.7% 14.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.0
13-7 8.8% 7.8% 7.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.1
12-8 11.0% 5.8% 5.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 10.4
11-9 11.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.1
10-10 12.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.1 0.3 11.7
9-11 10.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.5
8-12 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.4
7-13 8.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.0
6-14 5.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.6
5-15 3.6% 3.6
4-16 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.3% 5.2% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.2 94.7 0.0%