Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#77
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#90
Pace74.4#64
Improvement-1.5#293

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#47
First Shot+6.5#22
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#256
Layup/Dunks+5.6#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#127
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-3.3#351

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#118
First Shot+3.4#76
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#291
Layups/Dunks+3.0#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows+2.6#44
Improvement+1.8#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 13.9% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.1% 12.3% 4.4%
Average Seed 10.1 10.1 10.2
.500 or above 91.7% 93.6% 81.5%
.500 or above in Conference 68.6% 70.5% 58.3%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.2% 2.5%
First Four4.4% 4.8% 2.0%
First Round10.2% 11.3% 4.2%
Second Round4.3% 4.8% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 35 - 8
Quad 37 - 312 - 12
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-77 85%     1 - 0 +2.6 +11.6 -8.7
  Nov 12, 2021 97   Stanford W 88-72 67%     2 - 0 +18.2 +14.6 +3.0
  Nov 16, 2021 88   Nevada W 96-74 64%     3 - 0 +25.0 +13.5 +9.4
  Nov 19, 2021 315   Cal Poly W 87-57 95%     4 - 0 +18.3 +9.9 +8.4
  Nov 22, 2021 89   TCU W 85-66 53%     5 - 0 +24.9 +15.6 +9.3
  Nov 24, 2021 121   Fresno St. L 52-59 65%     5 - 1 -4.1 -11.4 +6.3
  Nov 27, 2021 70   UC Irvine L 64-69 60%     5 - 2 -0.9 -1.0 -0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 186   Hawaii W 82-71 85%    
  Dec 04, 2021 112   Louisiana Tech W 82-76 70%    
  Dec 07, 2021 290   Mount St. Mary's W 76-59 94%    
  Dec 11, 2021 129   @ California W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 14, 2021 67   @ Boise St. L 68-72 38%    
  Dec 17, 2021 306   Florida A&M W 81-63 95%    
  Dec 19, 2021 170   Montana W 78-68 83%    
  Dec 21, 2021 289   @ San Jose St. W 83-72 84%    
  Dec 30, 2021 188   @ Pacific W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 01, 2022 142   San Diego W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 06, 2022 43   St. Mary's L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 254   @ Portland W 80-71 79%    
  Jan 13, 2022 188   Pacific W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 15, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 78-91 12%    
  Jan 20, 2022 43   @ St. Mary's L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 27, 2022 26   BYU L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 29, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 03, 2022 108   Loyola Marymount W 76-71 69%    
  Feb 05, 2022 142   @ San Diego W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 49   San Francisco W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 17, 2022 108   @ Loyola Marymount L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 75-94 4%    
  Feb 24, 2022 235   @ Pepperdine W 79-72 75%    
  Feb 26, 2022 254   Portland W 83-68 90%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.2 2.2 0.3 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 7.1 6.1 2.0 0.2 18.1 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 9.0 6.2 0.8 0.0 19.6 4th
5th 0.3 3.8 8.4 5.1 0.8 0.0 18.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.8 3.7 0.5 14.5 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 4.4 2.3 0.3 9.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 2.2 1.1 0.1 4.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.8 5.3 8.9 13.2 15.8 17.3 15.0 10.6 6.3 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 50.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
13-3 14.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
12-4 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.7% 90.9% 16.7% 74.2% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 89.1%
13-3 2.8% 79.8% 10.1% 69.7% 8.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.6 77.5%
12-4 6.3% 53.1% 5.1% 48.0% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.0 50.6%
11-5 10.6% 28.9% 2.8% 26.1% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.0 7.6 26.8%
10-6 15.0% 12.8% 1.6% 11.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 13.1 11.4%
9-7 17.3% 5.4% 1.5% 3.9% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 16.3 4.0%
8-8 15.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.6 0.8%
7-9 13.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.1 13.1 0.3%
6-10 8.9% 8.9
5-11 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 5.2
4-12 2.8% 2.8
3-13 0.9% 0.9
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 12.6% 1.7% 10.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.7 3.6 2.5 0.2 87.4 11.1%