Louisiana
Sun Belt
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#258
Pace80.1#15
Improvement-3.2#346

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#238
First Shot-5.4#320
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#27
Layup/Dunks-4.2#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#234
Freethrows+2.6#36
Improvement+0.1#164

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#142
First Shot+0.7#146
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#166
Layups/Dunks+0.4#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#90
Freethrows-1.2#257
Improvement-3.3#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 48.4% 54.3% 27.0%
.500 or above in Conference 64.1% 67.3% 52.7%
Conference Champion 10.7% 12.2% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.6% 8.8%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round8.0% 9.0% 4.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 78.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 49 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 247   @ Southern Miss W 66-45 52%     1 - 0 +19.4 -10.8 +28.3
  Nov 21, 2021 34   @ Indiana L 44-76 8%     1 - 1 -17.2 -23.6 +8.6
  Nov 23, 2021 114   @ Marshall L 79-93 24%     1 - 2 -7.7 -6.1 +0.9
  Nov 27, 2021 258   Jackson St. L 70-75 75%     1 - 3 -13.4 -7.4 -5.7
  Dec 03, 2021 285   New Orleans W 85-77 78%    
  Dec 08, 2021 328   McNeese St. W 85-73 87%    
  Dec 11, 2021 109   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-82 23%    
  Dec 14, 2021 7   @ Houston L 58-80 2%    
  Dec 30, 2021 172   @ Appalachian St. L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 01, 2022 227   @ Coastal Carolina L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 06, 2022 229   Arkansas St. W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 08, 2022 289   Arkansas Little Rock W 80-71 78%    
  Jan 13, 2022 234   @ Texas Arlington L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 15, 2022 138   @ Texas St. L 67-73 28%    
  Jan 20, 2022 157   South Alabama W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 22, 2022 240   Troy W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 27, 2022 141   Georgia St. L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 29, 2022 176   Georgia Southern W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 03, 2022 289   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 05, 2022 229   @ Arkansas St. L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 10, 2022 138   Texas St. L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 12, 2022 234   Texas Arlington W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 17, 2022 263   @ Louisiana Monroe W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 263   Louisiana Monroe W 80-73 75%    
  Feb 23, 2022 176   @ Georgia Southern L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 141   @ Georgia St. L 76-82 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.5 3.2 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 10.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 1.1 4.1 3.9 1.7 0.1 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.8 4.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 5.3 1.6 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.9 1.8 0.2 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 4.6 2.7 0.3 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.7 0.5 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 0.9 0.1 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.2 4.3 6.8 8.7 11.6 11.7 13.4 11.3 10.0 8.3 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 96.2% 1.1    1.0 0.2
15-3 87.9% 2.6    2.0 0.5 0.0
14-4 66.7% 3.2    1.7 1.2 0.3
13-5 29.7% 2.5    0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 6.1 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 38.3% 38.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.2% 34.1% 34.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8
15-3 2.9% 28.5% 28.5% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
14-4 4.9% 20.0% 20.0% 14.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.9
13-5 8.3% 18.0% 18.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 6.8
12-6 10.0% 14.8% 14.8% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.2 8.5
11-7 11.3% 10.4% 10.4% 15.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 10.1
10-8 13.4% 6.2% 6.2% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 12.6
9-9 11.7% 3.5% 3.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.3
8-10 11.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.1 0.2 11.3
7-11 8.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.6
6-12 6.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.8
5-13 4.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.2
4-14 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.5 1.5 91.7 0.0%