Seattle
Western Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#173
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#131
Pace71.5#119
Improvement+2.0#40

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#157
First Shot+2.0#123
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#264
Layup/Dunks-1.2#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#14
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement+0.3#134

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#205
First Shot-1.4#228
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#149
Layups/Dunks-1.4#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#65
Freethrows-4.3#347
Improvement+1.7#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.3% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 89.7% 91.7% 72.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.1% 79.5% 66.0%
Conference Champion 8.3% 8.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round7.6% 8.1% 2.9%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 89.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 415 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 315   Alcorn St. W 69-66 85%     1 - 0 -8.8 -9.2 +0.3
  Nov 12, 2021 60   @ Washington St. L 61-79 15%     1 - 1 -7.3 -3.8 -4.8
  Nov 14, 2021 311   Idaho St. W 77-51 84%     2 - 1 +14.7 +3.6 +12.4
  Nov 18, 2021 314   Morgan St. W 93-80 85%     3 - 1 +1.2 +7.2 -7.0
  Nov 22, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-56 97%     4 - 1 -1.7 -7.3 +5.1
  Nov 27, 2021 329   St. Thomas W 81-64 89%     5 - 1 +3.1 +0.4 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2021 328   McNeese St. W 83-70 89%    
  Dec 05, 2021 261   VMI W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 08, 2021 147   @ UNLV L 67-72 33%    
  Dec 12, 2021 193   UC San Diego W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 18, 2021 145   @ Washington L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 30, 2021 102   New Mexico St. L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 01, 2022 217   @ California Baptist L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 06, 2022 355   @ Chicago St. W 81-66 91%    
  Jan 12, 2022 152   Utah Valley W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 306   Dixie St. W 85-74 83%    
  Jan 20, 2022 143   @ Abilene Christian L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 155   @ Tarleton St. L 62-66 36%    
  Jan 26, 2022 158   Stephen F. Austin W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 29, 2022 218   Sam Houston St. W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 03, 2022 110   @ Grand Canyon L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 05, 2022 102   @ New Mexico St. L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 10, 2022 286   UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 12, 2022 319   Lamar W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 16, 2022 286   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-76 62%    
  Feb 19, 2022 217   California Baptist W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 24, 2022 152   @ Utah Valley L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 306   @ Dixie St. W 82-77 66%    
  Mar 05, 2022 355   Chicago St. W 84-63 96%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 3.7 3.6 1.3 0.1 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.0 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.8 4.7 4.9 1.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.4 3.8 5.8 1.8 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.9 2.5 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.3 2.9 0.4 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.9 0.4 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.3 0.6 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.4 0.3 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.8 6.0 9.3 12.1 13.8 15.1 13.2 10.6 7.1 4.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.4% 1.5    1.2 0.3
15-3 67.8% 2.8    1.5 1.2 0.2
14-4 36.5% 2.6    0.7 1.2 0.6 0.1
13-5 9.6% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 3.8 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 95.7% 95.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 22.4% 22.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.7% 36.7% 36.7% 13.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-3 4.2% 24.4% 24.4% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 3.1
14-4 7.1% 22.9% 22.9% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 5.5
13-5 10.6% 14.9% 14.9% 14.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 9.1
12-6 13.2% 9.3% 9.3% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 11.9
11-7 15.1% 4.5% 4.5% 15.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 14.4
10-8 13.8% 3.6% 3.6% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.3
9-9 12.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.1 0.2 11.8
8-10 9.3% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.2
7-11 6.0% 6.0
6-12 3.8% 3.8
5-13 1.7% 1.7
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.3 1.1 2.7 2.8 0.8 92.3 0.0%