Washington
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#131
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#159
Pace74.8#61
Improvement+2.8#24

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#175
First Shot-1.4#219
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#103
Layup/Dunks-2.7#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#295
Freethrows+2.7#40
Improvement+2.6#12

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#96
First Shot+6.3#25
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#339
Layups/Dunks+2.8#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#21
Freethrows-3.6#335
Improvement+0.2#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 1.7% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.5 10.3 11.5
.500 or above 15.5% 19.6% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 12.0% 13.7% 8.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.8% 23.5% 30.8%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round1.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 68.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 9
Quad 23 - 54 - 14
Quad 35 - 49 - 18
Quad 44 - 213 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 312   Northern Illinois L 64-71 90%     0 - 1 -18.4 -18.0 +0.2
  Nov 11, 2021 316   Northern Arizona W 73-62 90%     1 - 1 -0.7 -13.4 +11.7
  Nov 15, 2021 201   Texas Southern W 72-65 76%     2 - 1 +2.2 -4.0 +6.1
  Nov 18, 2021 91   Wyoming L 72-77 OT 49%     2 - 2 -2.2 -10.9 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2021 117   George Mason W 77-74 47%     3 - 2 +6.4 +7.7 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2021 59   South Dakota St. W 87-76 30%     4 - 2 +18.8 +8.9 +9.3
  Nov 24, 2021 88   Nevada L 62-81 37%     4 - 3 -13.0 -13.0 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2021 161   Winthrop W 81-76 68%    
  Dec 02, 2021 6   @ Arizona L 66-84 5%    
  Dec 05, 2021 5   UCLA L 68-80 13%    
  Dec 12, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 69-93 1%    
  Dec 18, 2021 176   Seattle W 77-71 71%    
  Dec 21, 2021 153   Utah Valley W 73-68 66%    
  Dec 29, 2021 48   @ Washington St. L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 06, 2022 51   @ Utah L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 09, 2022 75   @ Colorado L 67-74 25%    
  Jan 12, 2022 129   California W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 15, 2022 97   Stanford W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 20, 2022 128   @ Oregon St. L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 23, 2022 56   @ Oregon L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 27, 2022 75   Colorado L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 29, 2022 51   Utah L 69-72 37%    
  Feb 03, 2022 129   @ California L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 06, 2022 97   @ Stanford L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 10, 2022 96   Arizona St. W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 12, 2022 6   Arizona L 69-81 15%    
  Feb 17, 2022 14   @ USC L 62-77 9%    
  Feb 19, 2022 5   @ UCLA L 65-83 6%    
  Feb 26, 2022 48   Washington St. L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 03, 2022 56   Oregon L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 05, 2022 128   Oregon St. W 70-67 60%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.7 1.3 0.1 12.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 5.1 5.3 1.7 0.1 13.9 9th
10th 0.3 1.8 5.9 6.3 1.9 0.1 16.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.9 5.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 17.0 11th
12th 0.4 2.1 3.9 5.3 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 16.7 12th
Total 0.4 2.1 4.5 8.6 11.5 14.2 14.8 13.0 11.2 7.8 5.6 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 4.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.4% 71.4% 9.5% 61.9% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 68.4%
13-7 0.9% 44.1% 2.2% 41.9% 10.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 42.9%
12-8 1.8% 22.9% 2.8% 20.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 20.7%
11-9 3.2% 6.6% 1.3% 5.3% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.0 5.4%
10-10 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 1.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 1.4%
9-11 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 7.8
8-12 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
7-13 13.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 12.9
6-14 14.8% 14.8
5-15 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-16 11.5% 11.5
3-17 8.6% 8.6
2-18 4.5% 4.5
1-19 2.1% 2.1
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.6% 0.3% 1.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4 1.4%