Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#126
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#130
Pace61.9#336
Improvement-0.9#266

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#144
First Shot+1.0#143
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks-0.5#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#110
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-1.8#330

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#106
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#39
Layups/Dunks+2.4#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#133
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement+0.9#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 21.0% 15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.7 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 93.2% 97.8% 90.8%
.500 or above in Conference 91.1% 94.5% 89.4%
Conference Champion 20.7% 26.1% 18.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round17.0% 21.0% 15.1%
Second Round2.4% 3.4% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 33.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 9
Quad 414 - 220 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 332   Grambling St. W 74-53 93%     1 - 0 +7.0 -1.7 +9.5
  Nov 12, 2021 277   North Florida W 65-51 87%     2 - 0 +4.7 -4.4 +11.0
  Nov 17, 2021 266   Prairie View W 91-64 86%     3 - 0 +18.2 +17.3 +1.8
  Nov 22, 2021 91   Wyoming L 61-68 49%     3 - 1 -4.2 -3.5 -1.5
  Nov 27, 2021 235   @ Pepperdine W 59-56 63%     4 - 1 +2.3 -11.5 +13.9
  Nov 29, 2021 108   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-68 33%    
  Dec 02, 2021 296   Texas San Antonio W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 04, 2021 358   Mississippi Valley W 85-55 99.8%   
  Dec 09, 2021 96   @ Arizona St. L 65-71 31%    
  Dec 18, 2021 49   San Francisco L 62-69 27%    
  Dec 21, 2021 88   @ Nevada L 67-73 27%    
  Dec 30, 2021 355   Chicago St. W 79-55 98%    
  Jan 06, 2022 282   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 08, 2022 318   @ Lamar W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 13, 2022 147   Abilene Christian W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 15, 2022 180   Tarleton St. W 64-58 72%    
  Jan 20, 2022 152   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 22, 2022 216   @ Sam Houston St. W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 29, 2022 93   @ New Mexico St. L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 03, 2022 176   Seattle W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 05, 2022 215   California Baptist W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 10, 2022 153   @ Utah Valley L 65-66 45%    
  Feb 12, 2022 301   @ Dixie St. W 76-69 74%    
  Feb 16, 2022 215   @ California Baptist W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 93   New Mexico St. L 63-64 50%    
  Feb 23, 2022 355   @ Chicago St. W 76-58 94%    
  Feb 26, 2022 216   Sam Houston St. W 69-61 75%    
  Mar 03, 2022 153   Utah Valley W 68-63 66%    
  Mar 05, 2022 301   Dixie St. W 79-66 87%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.3 6.8 5.2 2.6 0.5 20.7 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 6.6 6.5 2.7 0.4 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.7 6.2 1.9 0.1 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.4 5.1 1.4 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.4 2.9 4.6 1.5 0.1 9.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.1 1.9 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.8 0.2 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.2 2.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.4 6.9 10.2 12.9 14.4 15.8 12.7 9.6 5.5 2.6 0.5 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 2.6    2.4 0.1
16-2 93.1% 5.2    4.1 1.1 0.0
15-3 70.8% 6.8    4.0 2.3 0.4 0.0
14-4 33.5% 4.3    1.5 1.8 0.9 0.1
13-5 8.9% 1.4    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.7% 20.7 12.6 5.8 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 63.5% 55.8% 7.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 17.4%
17-1 2.6% 48.2% 46.7% 1.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 2.9%
16-2 5.5% 40.8% 40.6% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 3.3 0.3%
15-3 9.6% 34.5% 34.5% 13.4 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.3
14-4 12.7% 28.2% 28.2% 13.9 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.0 9.1
13-5 15.8% 19.0% 19.0% 14.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 12.8
12-6 14.4% 11.4% 11.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 12.8
11-7 12.9% 7.7% 7.7% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 11.9
10-8 10.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 9.6
9-9 6.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 6.7
8-10 4.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.3
7-11 2.6% 2.6
6-12 1.3% 1.3
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.1% 17.0% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.3 5.8 3.8 0.9 82.9 0.1%