Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#48
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#60
Pace68.2#216
Improvement-0.9#259

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#29
First Shot+3.1#88
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#24
Layup/Dunks-5.9#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#120
Freethrows+3.9#11
Improvement-0.3#229

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#89
First Shot+6.7#22
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#340
Layups/Dunks+6.6#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#75
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement-0.5#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.0% 4.3% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 9.9% 10.5% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.5% 46.0% 22.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.9% 43.4% 20.1%
Average Seed 8.5 8.4 9.6
.500 or above 92.5% 93.7% 75.6%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 74.1% 55.4%
Conference Champion 4.3% 4.5% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.4% 5.9%
First Four7.8% 7.9% 5.9%
First Round40.7% 42.2% 18.6%
Second Round21.0% 21.8% 8.1%
Sweet Sixteen7.5% 7.9% 1.9%
Elite Eight3.0% 3.1% 1.3%
Final Four1.2% 1.3% 0.8%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 93.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 6
Quad 25 - 37 - 9
Quad 38 - 216 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 326   Alcorn St. W 85-67 97%     1 - 0 +4.9 +7.8 -2.6
  Nov 12, 2021 176   Seattle W 79-61 88%     2 - 0 +14.4 +9.1 +6.5
  Nov 15, 2021 95   UC Santa Barbara W 73-65 75%     3 - 0 +10.5 +3.8 +7.0
  Nov 18, 2021 350   @ Idaho W 109-61 96%     4 - 0 +36.3 +27.1 +7.8
  Nov 22, 2021 161   Winthrop W 92-86 87%     5 - 0 +3.5 +9.6 -6.6
  Nov 27, 2021 237   Eastern Washington W 84-68 94%    
  Dec 01, 2021 96   @ Arizona St. W 75-74 54%    
  Dec 04, 2021 14   USC L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 08, 2021 102   Weber St. W 78-70 76%    
  Dec 11, 2021 59   South Dakota St. W 81-79 55%    
  Dec 15, 2021 93   New Mexico St. W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 18, 2021 179   Northern Colorado W 80-67 89%    
  Dec 22, 2021 67   Boise St. W 68-66 58%    
  Dec 29, 2021 131   Washington W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 06, 2022 75   @ Colorado L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 51   @ Utah L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 12, 2022 97   Stanford W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 15, 2022 129   California W 71-61 82%    
  Jan 20, 2022 56   @ Oregon L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 22, 2022 128   @ Oregon St. W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 26, 2022 51   Utah W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 30, 2022 75   Colorado W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 03, 2022 97   @ Stanford W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 129   @ California W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 10, 2022 6   Arizona L 72-77 33%    
  Feb 12, 2022 96   Arizona St. W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 17, 2022 5   @ UCLA L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 20, 2022 14   @ USC L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 26, 2022 131   @ Washington W 75-71 64%    
  Mar 03, 2022 128   Oregon St. W 74-64 81%    
  Mar 05, 2022 56   Oregon W 73-69 64%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.8 3.3 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 4.8 2.9 0.9 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.1 5.3 2.4 0.5 18.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.8 4.0 1.1 0.2 15.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.0 2.9 0.5 0.1 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.9 1.6 0.3 8.8 7th
8th 0.3 1.6 2.6 1.3 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.9 0.1 4.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.2 4.5 6.8 9.5 11.0 12.8 12.6 11.8 9.3 7.4 4.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 96.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
18-2 83.0% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
17-3 53.5% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 25.5% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2
15-5 9.6% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.9% 100.0% 18.1% 81.9% 3.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.2% 100.0% 22.1% 77.9% 4.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.6% 98.9% 14.8% 84.1% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.7%
15-5 7.4% 96.9% 10.1% 86.8% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 96.6%
14-6 9.3% 87.5% 8.6% 78.8% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.2 1.2 86.3%
13-7 11.8% 69.7% 5.0% 64.7% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.1 1.9 0.5 3.6 68.1%
12-8 12.6% 53.6% 3.0% 50.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.9 52.2%
11-9 12.8% 31.3% 2.4% 28.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.8 0.1 8.8 29.6%
10-10 11.0% 15.9% 0.7% 15.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 9.3 15.3%
9-11 9.5% 4.0% 0.9% 3.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.1 3.1%
8-12 6.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.6%
7-13 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 4.5
6-14 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 3.2
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 44.5% 4.5% 40.0% 8.5 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.3 4.5 5.1 6.2 7.2 8.2 3.1 0.2 0.0 55.5 41.9%