Wofford
Southern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#122
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#155
Pace64.7#288
Improvement+0.5#123

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#100
First Shot+0.3#172
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#54
Layup/Dunks-0.7#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#114
Freethrows+1.5#87
Improvement+1.0#76

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#170
First Shot+0.5#154
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#213
Layups/Dunks+3.2#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
Freethrows-1.8#282
Improvement-0.5#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.8% 19.2% 14.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.5 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 80.8% 89.4% 73.2%
.500 or above in Conference 83.6% 87.9% 79.8%
Conference Champion 21.6% 26.2% 17.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.6%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round16.5% 18.9% 14.4%
Second Round2.5% 3.5% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 37 - 58 - 10
Quad 411 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 45   @ Clemson L 68-76 17%     0 - 1 +4.9 +1.4 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2021 335   Hampton W 77-60 94%     1 - 1 +2.7 -3.3 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2021 178   Georgia Southern W 70-52 73%     2 - 1 +14.3 +7.4 +9.5
  Nov 23, 2021 92   @ South Carolina L 74-85 28%     2 - 2 -2.3 +5.5 -7.5
  Nov 28, 2021 154   @ Georgia L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 01, 2021 76   Richmond L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 05, 2021 310   Kennesaw St. W 75-61 91%    
  Dec 08, 2021 204   @ Gardner-Webb W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 12, 2021 223   @ Coastal Carolina W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 18, 2021 281   @ Presbyterian W 67-61 72%    
  Dec 22, 2021 193   @ Duquesne W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 29, 2021 255   VMI W 74-63 84%    
  Jan 01, 2022 171   @ UNC Greensboro W 63-62 51%    
  Jan 05, 2022 110   Chattanooga W 65-63 56%    
  Jan 08, 2022 124   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 12, 2022 239   Samford W 81-71 80%    
  Jan 15, 2022 303   @ Western Carolina W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 19, 2022 240   The Citadel W 79-69 80%    
  Jan 22, 2022 103   Furman W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 26, 2022 110   @ Chattanooga L 62-66 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 171   UNC Greensboro W 66-60 71%    
  Jan 31, 2022 197   @ Mercer W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 124   East Tennessee St. W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 09, 2022 239   @ Samford W 78-74 62%    
  Feb 12, 2022 303   Western Carolina W 80-66 89%    
  Feb 16, 2022 240   @ The Citadel W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 19, 2022 103   @ Furman L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 23, 2022 255   @ VMI W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 197   Mercer W 73-65 74%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.0 6.0 5.7 3.7 1.8 0.4 21.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 5.3 6.8 4.3 1.1 0.2 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 5.8 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 16.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.2 4.9 1.4 0.2 13.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.3 0.3 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 5.0 6.3 9.7 11.6 13.1 13.2 12.5 10.6 6.8 3.9 1.8 0.4 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.8    1.8 0.0
16-2 95.2% 3.7    3.4 0.3
15-3 83.6% 5.7    4.2 1.3 0.1
14-4 56.4% 6.0    3.5 2.0 0.5
13-5 24.3% 3.0    0.8 1.6 0.6 0.1
12-6 6.7% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.6% 21.6 14.3 5.6 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 64.1% 46.2% 17.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.3%
17-1 1.8% 54.2% 47.5% 6.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 12.8%
16-2 3.9% 39.7% 38.7% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 1.7%
15-3 6.8% 36.6% 36.4% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.3 0.2%
14-4 10.6% 27.8% 27.8% 13.3 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.7
13-5 12.5% 19.9% 19.9% 13.8 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 10.0
12-6 13.2% 18.2% 18.2% 14.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 10.8
11-7 13.1% 11.2% 11.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 11.6
10-8 11.6% 8.4% 8.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 10.6
9-9 9.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 9.0
8-10 6.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 6.0
7-11 5.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.8
5-13 1.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 1.5
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.8% 16.6% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.5 4.6 4.6 3.1 1.1 83.2 0.3%